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BRICS' climate leadership aims hang on healing deep divides

The BRICS' ambitions to play a more prominent role in climate change, following the success of the United Nations' nature talks last month, will depend on how well the countries can overcome their fractious political differences and deep-seated disagreements about money.

Brazil, Russia India China and South Africa – collectively known as BRICS – are well placed to influence the outcome of high-profile conferences this year.

A dozen sources said that they established their credentials when they proposed a draft document which ensured agreement during the COP16 discussions in Rome in February. This could have unlocked billions of dollars for the protection of ecosystems.

Narend Singh said that the BRICS will now influence discussions on other platforms.

South Africa has a newfound profile this year as the G20 president, and another BRICS country, Brazil is preparing to host COP30 Climate talks in November.

Maria Angelica Ikeda said that the BRICS countries can fill a gap in multilateral negotiations at this time.

Susana Muhamad from Colombia, who is the president of the COP16 Nature Talks, stated that the BRICS countries are positioning themselves to be "bridge-builders".

She said, "They're trying to create an balance to represent the Global South before the far-right governments emerging in the U.S.A., Italy and Argentina."

"I know there are a lot countries that want to join BRICS because, if they have to face something like the U.S. then, at least, they're not alone."

Unnamed British officials present at the meeting said that other countries should consider the impact of the BRICS's more aggressive approach on global institutions.

DISPARATE GROUP

If BRICS is to fill the vacuum created by President Donald Trump in the United States, then it must address its internal divisions on politics and finance.

Timo Leiter, distinguished policy fellow at London School of Economics and a former UN official, warned that the group's refusal of taking on the financial obligations of donors could be a major obstacle.

The BRICS countries with middle incomes have so far refused to share their financial liabilities, despite the demands of cash-strapped, developed nations. This has complicated the search for compromise in the U.N. climate negotiations and upcoming discussions on development financing in Seville, Spain.

Data from the OECD revealed that nearly three quarters of the 25.8 billion dollars in funding for biodiversity in 2022 came from five different sources: European Union institutions (EU), France, Germany, Japan, and the United States.

The BRICS may be divided by divergent national interests. For example, Russia wants to keep its fossil fuel sales, while Brazil is pushing countries to accelerate their decarbonisation at COP30.

Li Shuo is the director of China Climate at Asia Society. He said that "they (the BRICS countries) are dramatically different in terms development stage and emission trajectory."

The geopolitical ambitions of both countries are what binds them together, and this leads to the question: Can they agree on a positive agenda?

Analysts said that a test of the group’s solidarity would be at a June meeting in Bonn, where countries will begin to present their COP30 negotiating position.

The Financing for Development Conference in Seville, Spain in June will also be pivotal. Ministers are expected to discuss global sustainability and the ongoing reform of international financial systems.

Leiter stated that "this will be a perfect entry point for BRICS in order to further their goal of changing the world order and having a greater say in the international financial system," he said. The new U.S. role is a kind of gift.

In the short-term, it is likely that the BRICS will renew their demands for a greater say in the Global Environment Facility. The GEF distributes a large portion of biodiversity financing around the world.

GEF reform has become a priority as richer nations cut their development budgets while demanding that nature-rich countries protect ecosystems like the Amazon.

Ikeda, a Brazilian, said: "It is a serious problem that countries are updating their nuclear weapons or purchasing more armaments, instead of directing more money to nature and biodiversity."

"At the Same Time, They Demand More and More Obligations from Us, The Mega-Diverse Countries."

(source: Reuters)