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The list of things to do for Yen gets longer from here

Ankur Banerjee gives us a look at what the future holds for European and global markets

Tokyo's coordinated efforts to?pull the Japanese yen away from its 40-year-lows were probably the thing that was needed to?turn the tide for the frail?yen. But monetary policy?follow-through?will be required to make the move last.

Japan and the United States have conducted a coordinated yen buying intervention, Japan’s finance ministry announced on Monday. This is a rare bilateral move, the first since 2011. They also warned that they would not hesitate to take additional action.

The joint effort was highlighted in a photograph taken on Friday. U.S. Treasury secretary Scott Bessent revealed a "to-do list" during a Cabinet meeting, indicating he is 'contemplating U.S. purchase of Japanese yen worth $5 billion to 10 billion dollars.

The Camp David notepad, which was taken over Bessent’s shoulder during a on-the-record part of the meeting, bears the highlighted words "To Do", followed by "Buy Japanese Yuen (JPY), $5-10 bil."

Japan's to-do lists are likely to be longer. After Donald Trump announced that talks would take place with Iran later in the afternoon, the oil-importing nation will be hoping for a deal ending the Middle East war.

Oil prices fell following Trump's remarks, but Asian stocks continued to be under pressure due to investors remaining sceptical about a deal.

Analysts point out that Japan’s monetary policies?remain the critical part of the overall picture, as interest rate differentials must be narrowed for the yen's strength.

This has put pressure on the Bank of Japan to raise rates and soon. The yield on the two-year JGB, which is the most sensitive to near-term policy changes, briefly reached 1.545%. This was the highest level since 1995 as markets priced in an early rate hike.

Analysts believe that the sudden spike in the early Asian hours could have been another intervention. The currency was now trading at 156.54 U.S. dollars, which is well away from the July 1986 lows of 163.99.

The key developments that may influence the markets on Monday are: Germany retail sales data for June and July, PMI data from France, Germany, UK, and the Euro zone. (By Ankur Banerjee, Singapore; edited by Jacqueline Wong.

(source: Reuters)