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Asian stocks benefit from the drop in US inflation rate

Stock markets in Asia rallied Wednesday, after a surprising slowdown in U.S. Inflation lowered expectations for interest rate increases. Meanwhile, oil prices took a break as the U.S. canceled a plan to levy shipping across the Strait of Hormuz.

South Korea's volatile KOSPI Index surged by 7% before the next test of the AI rally. Earnings are due from ASML, Europe's largest company and world's leading supplier of equipment to make AI chips.

The Nikkei 225 index in Japan rose by 1%, while the MSCI broadest Asia-Pacific share index outside Japan rose by 2.4%.

IBM's stock price dropped by 25% overnight after its?revenue estimate missed analyst expectations. This shows how stretched the rally for AI-related stocks is.

The S&P 500, Nasdaq, and U.S. Futures all rose on Tuesday, thanks to the stellar profit made by Wall Street banks.

The U.S. Dollar was lower in terms of currencies, except against the stubbornly low yen.

Short-term bonds also rallied. Two-year Treasury yields fell 11 basis points, to 4.19%, from a 17-month high near 4.3% on Tuesday.

In the U.S., the headline consumer price index fell by 0.4% in June. This was its first drop since COVID-19. Core inflation, however, rose to 2.6% annually, versus expectations of 2.8%.

In a note to clients, J.P. Morgan analysts stated that "for market bulls, this is even better than Goldilocks would have imagined."

"Inflation is lower when earnings are growing positively. This should ease any concerns about a rate hike in July and could also calm fears for September. This allows the market to rise and broaden at the same time.

The market price for the likelihood of an interest rate increase in July has been halved, to 16%.

CHINA GROWTH MIS

Official data released on Wednesday showed that China's economic growth had slowed to just 4.3% for the second quarter. This was below analysts' expectations due to weaker domestic demand, the oil shock caused by the war in the Middle East, and a lack of exports.

Investors have a positive outlook on the Chinese retail sales rebounding in June, a relatively strong nominal GDP and the hope that authorities will respond.

Woei Chen, economist at UOB, said: "I do not think they will be concerned?enough to?announce any big'stimulus. But it will be targeted. They are aware that the growth is only in the tech areas, whereas the overall economy continues to underperform."

The yuan of China traded at an all-time high of 6.7635 per dollar. The euro was stable at $1.14, and the Australian Dollar held on to its 0.8% gain.

Brent crude futures remained at $85.80 per barrel after gaining almost 13% on the back of a flare-up in Middle East conflict.

U.S. president Donald Trump reimposed on Tuesday a naval blockade against Iranian ports and threatened to attack power plants and bridges if Iran did not resume negotiations with the United States in order to end their conflict. He also scrapped his plan for a 20 percent fee on shipping through Hormuz.

BNY, Morgan Stanley and Johnson & Johnson report their earnings in the U.S. before the morning bell, and United Airlines reports after the market close. (Reporting and editing by Christopher Cushing; Tom Westbrook)

(source: Reuters)