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Oil prices spike, Wall Street falls as tensions between the US and Iran increase

Late on Tuesday, oil prices spiked on renewed fears of a fragile peace between the U.S. Stocks fell on investor concerns about the?longevity of the AI rally. The Nasdaq Composite, which is heavily tech-heavy, suffered the biggest decline of 1.16%, to 25,818.69. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.25%, to 52,925.15. And the S&P 500 declined 0.45% to 7,503.85.

MSCI's global index of stocks fell by 0.64%, to 1,121.20. The selloff started after Samsung Electronics's blockbuster results, despite the fact that the company forecasted a 19-fold increase in operating profit from April to June at 89.4 trillion dollars ($58.4 billion), marking the third consecutive quarter of record-breaking?operating profits for the world’s largest memory chipmaker. The results did not reassure investors but rather triggered a sell-off in Samsung and rival SK Hynix. Investors are increasingly questioning whether artificial intelligence-related profit growth can be sustained in the event that supply bottlenecks for key components like memory chips ease. A report that Chinese startup DeepSeek is developing its own AI chip was also weighing heavily on the markets. This could help it reduce its dependence on other major chipmakers for training and running its AI models. The market pessimism grew after Qatar accused Iran of an attack on vessels in the Strait of Hormuz. One LNG tanker was forced to evacuate crew members due to the threat of explosion. As part of a move to reduce tensions after the three-month conflict that disrupted global energy supply, the White House revoked the license it had granted Iran to export oil. Both nations are in negotiations to reach a final settlement. The oil prices rose 3% on Tuesday and continued to rise after the settlement. U.S. crude oil was up 5.3% at $72.20 per barrel. Brent reached $76.09, an increase of 5.9%.

Josh Young, Chief Investment Officer at Bison interests said that the U.S. sanctions against Iran are a major escalation. "Iran could respond with force and further limit exports through Strait of Hormuz. This would put oil prices at $100+ again in the short term."

NATO MEETS TURKEY NATO Leaders met in Turkey on Tuesday. European leaders announced arms deals worth billions of dollars. U.S. president Donald Trump, however, expressed frustration over what he called 'insufficient support for U.S. and Israeli war against Iran. He also resurfaced his calls for the U.S. gaining control of Greenland away from Denmark.

NATO allies were expected to discuss plans for a multinational naval mission in the Strait of Hormuz on the sidelines of this summit, along with Gulf Arab Foreign Ministers. Trump stated on Monday that the U.S. will either reach a deal or "finish the task" with Iran. He renewed his threat of military actions as Tehran shows defiance after the funeral of Supreme leader Ayatollah Ayatollah?Khamenei.

The dollar index, which measures the U.S. dollar against six other currencies, rose 0.21% at 101.07 while the euro fell 0.24% when compared to the dollar. The yen was hovering above its 40-year low and was at 162.06 dollars per yen. The traders were on alert for any?intervention, given the signs of a possible change in strategy from Japanese?authorities.

Before the release on Wednesday of the minutes from the Federal Open Market Committee’s last meeting, the yield of benchmark U.S. 10 year notes had risen 7.01 basis points. Investors may get a better idea of how the new Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh will approach monetary policy. (Editing by Mark Potter and Kevin Liffey; Additional reporting by Satoshi sugiyama in Tokyo, and Amanda Cooper in London)

(source: Reuters)