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Vietnam's Q1 growth slows due to Middle East energy testing 2026.

Data showed that the economy of Vietnam slowed down in the first three months compared to the previous three months. This was due to a 'heavy exposure' to Middle Eastern oil imports, which boosted inflation, making it difficult for the country reach its annual growth goal, officials said.

The National Statistics Office reported that the gross domestic product (GDP) grew by 7.83% from January to the end of March compared with the same period last year, but fell below the 8.46% growth rate in the fourth quarter.

The NSO said on Saturday that "the pressure from rising energy and input prices remains, posing a challenge for economic governance."

It said that consumer prices increased by 4.65% on an annual basis in March, due to a 10.81% increase in transport costs. This was a significant acceleration from the 3.35% rise in February.

The Southeast Asian economy is facing pressure to meet its growth target for this year of at least 10%. This is because it imports over 80% of its crude oil from the Middle East where the Iran War, which has now entered its sixth week of conflict, has disrupted supplies.

Nguyen Th Huong, Director of the NSO, said: "Vietnam's socio-economic condition continues to face challenges, and meeting 2026 growth targets remains a major challenge."

The rising?fuel price has prompted Vietnamese airlines to cut back on operations, and the government to try to reduce costs. This includes reducing taxes, subsidising fuel prices, and encouraging remote working to reduce consumption.

The growth rate was higher than the 7.5% annual expansion in the first quarter 2025.

The report stated that exports increased 20.1% to $46.44 Billion in March from a year ago. The report said that March industrial production increased 6.9% compared to a year ago, but was slower than the growth of 8.6% during the same month last year.

Petrolimex, a leading fuel retailer in Vietnam has reported that the war has caused gasoline and diesel prices to increase by 21% and 84% respectively.

Senior officials have sought alternative oil suppliers from Gulf states, Japan and South Korea.

Vietnam's imports in March rose by 27.8%, to $47.11 Billion. This represents a trade deficit of 670 M$.

Exports grew 19.1% in the first quarter to $122,93 billion while imports grew 27.0% to $126.57 billion. This led to a $3.64 billion deficit.

Retail sales increased 10.9% in the third quarter.

The NSO reported that foreign investment inflows for the first quarter of this year rose by 9.1% compared to the same period last year, to $5.41 Billion. Meanwhile, pledges, which are indicative of future inflows grew 42.9%, to $15.2 Billion.

Pham 'Minh Chinh, the Prime Minister, said that Vietnam would maintain its 10% growth target despite current challenges. He promised to take steps like?increased public investment, diversification of supply chains and export markets, and greater public investments.

Chinh said at a cabinet session that "Our country faces many limitations, shortcomings and challenges, as well as risks and difficulties related to macroeconomic management, energy security and the pressures of managing it." (Reporting and editing by William Mallard, Clarence Fernandez and Khanh Vu)

(source: Reuters)