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How Green is your rally?

By Anna Szymanski

What Mike Dolan, the ROI team and I are looking forward to reading, watching and listening to this weekend.

From the Editor

Hello Morning Bid readers!

Greenland will soon be a "piece of ice", but the Arctic saga of this week is still significant. This week's Arctic saga is a reminder that President Donald Trump will always find a way out, even when it didn't seem possible a few hours ago. It also shows that no deal made with the U.S. should be regarded as final. The major U.S. equity indexes suffered their largest one-day percentage drop in three months Tuesday, when tensions were at a fever pitch over Greenland. However, the indices rallied on Wednesday, after the news broke that a "concept of deal" had been reached over the self-governing Danish territories. This meant President Trump wouldn't be slapping 10% additional tariffs on a number of European allies. President Trump, who delivered a bellicose address at the World Economic Forum on Wednesday in Davos Switzerland, has indicated that the U.S. is now committed to securing "total and permanently" access to Greenland.

The Davos detente, however, is not the end of this story. As the U.S. President's willingness in using non-economic disputes to negotiate reopening seemingly closed trade agreements will only increase the uncertainty amongst businesses and trading partners. The dollar index is on course to have its largest weekly decline since June. This reflects the anxiety in the market. Gold, the safe haven, continues to rise, and has now broken through $4,900 an ounce. The European stock market is set to close the week on a negative note for the first time since over a month and the U.S. recovery looks like it may be slowing down. The Greenland controversy also brought to light a few issues that investors should be aware of: Europe's dependence on U.S. gasoline remains a major weakness, and the bond market will likely remain Trump's kryptonite. Japan was the other major market this week. The yield on the 10-year Japanese Government Bond jumped over 18 basis points in just two days, hitting a 27-year record high of 2.38% Tuesday. After Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi, who promised to boost Japanese growth through massive stimulus, called for a snap election in February. On Friday, the yen fluctuated a little bit even though Bank of Japan kept interest rates at their current level. The yen rose to 157 dollars at one point. Some interpret this as an indication that the government is about to intervene. Some may have forgotten, amid the drama of this week, that Tuesday marked the?one-year anniversary' of Trump's 2nd inauguration. Although domestic political tensions are high, the U.S. economic performance continues to be impressive. The third quarter of the year 2025 saw the U.S. grow at a rate of 4,4%. Oil and gas is one industry in the United States that may be particularly concerned about U.S. policies. Although the embrace by the president of the energy industry was initially welcomed, it now feels a little awkward. Next week will see a Federal Reserve Meeting. The inflation rate is still a little high, as the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index rose 2.8% over the past 12 months, which is just above the 2.7% increase recorded the previous month. This data is a bit noisy because of the government shutdown last fall.

The market will be primarily focused on who will succeed Jerome Powell, whose term is set to end in May. Stay tuned! Check out Open Interest for more news on commodities and markets. Open Interest has more commodities and markets news.

Check out what the ROI team recommends you read, watch, or listen to as we enter the weekend. This will help keep you informed and prepared for the coming week. Please contact me via email.

This weekend we are reading...

MIKE DOLAN is a columnist for ROI Finance & Markets. The Bank for International Settlements released a new study on Thursday that examines the dollar's dominance in the global bond market and its use. The report documents three waves of dollarisation since the 1960s and concludes that neither dollarisation nor de-dollarisation have been monotonous trends. Dollar usage is more like a wave-like pattern.

ANDY HOME is a columnist for ROI Metals. Our colleagues Steve Holland and Tim Reid published an insightful article about the U.S. The obsession of President Donald Trump with acquiring Greenland is still very relevant. Rare earths? Strategic defense? It may be easier than you think.

GAVIN MAGUIRE: Columnist for Global Energy Transition, ROI. Ember's European Electricity Review, 2026, highlights several important energy milestones, including that in 2025 wind and solar generated a greater share of electricity than fossil fuels.

Listening to...

RON BOUSSO is a columnist for the ROI Energy. Rystad Energy's "Let's Talk Energy", their latest podcast, features a discussion on the future of Venezuela's petroleum industry.

We're always watching...

JAMIE McGEEVER, ROI Financial Columnist: Canadian PM Mark Carney's pointed speech at the World Economic Forum argues we're witnessing a "rupture of the rules based global order" of the last 80 years, and the emergence... we don't even know what. (From 3 minutes 55 seconds)

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The opinions expressed are solely those of their authors. These opinions do not represent the views of News. News is bound by the Trust Principles to maintain integrity, independence and freedom from bias. (By Anna Szymanski)

(source: Reuters)