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Key data: Stocks fall ahead of central bank decision

Asian stocks fell on Monday as investors reined back risk-taking ahead of a week that is packed with "important central bank decisions" and economic data.

MSCI's broadest Asia-Pacific index outside Japan fell 1.2%. This was led by a fall of?of?as much?as 2.7% in South Korean stocks, which is one of the best-performing markets worldwide this year.

Marc Velan is the head of investments for Lucerne Asset Management, a Singapore-based asset management firm. He said that "the risk-off tone in Asia appears to be more a spillover effect from last Friday's sale in U.S. tech and momentum than a regional catalyst." The unwinding of the AI-capex trade has weighed down on global risk appetite. In thin year-end liquid, these moves tend to spread quickly across regions.

S&P 500 futures rose 0.3% while the yield of the 10-year Treasury bond in the U.S. fell 2.2 basis points to 4.1743%. Investors were awaiting a series of economic data releases as well as central bank decisions.

CHINA PROPERTY WORRIES

The U.S. Dollar fell 0.1% against the Chinese Yuan trading offshore to 7.0486, which is its highest level in over a year. Factory output and retail sales numbers for November showed a further slowdown.

Official data released on Monday showed that the price of new homes continued to decline in November. This indicates that despite government promises to stabilize the housing sector, there is still no sign of a recovery.

China Vanke announced that it would convene another bondholder meeting after the state-backed developer failed to get bondholder approval for an extension of a bond payment due on Monday. This increased the risk of default, and renewed concerns about the property crisis-hit sector.

Jeff Zhang, Morningstar's equity analyst, said: "If Vanke defaults in the end, the ramifications for the China property sector could be significant." Investors are more likely to be concerned with the government's attitude toward bailouts, even for'safe' names.

CENTRAL BANK LOOM DECISIONS

Bank of England could make a similar cut of 3.75%. Along with Sweden's Riksbank, and Norway's Norges Bank, the European Central Bank will likely keep rates at current levels.

Investors can also catch up with economic data delayed by the U.S. shutdown. This includes the November jobs report and the monthly consumer price index.

Ben Bennett, Hong Kong's head of investment strategy Asia for L&G Asset Management said that the data this week should be taken with a grain of salt due to the difficulties in collecting data and the direct impact of the shutdown on the economy. We'll need to wait until the year 2026 before we can get a better idea of how the U.S. economy is doing. economy."

Stocks in Japan gained support on Monday after the BOJ released its closely watched "tankan", or business survey, which showed that the big manufacturers' sentiment had reached a four-year high. This indicated the economy could be coping with the impact of higher U.S. Tariffs. Topix rose 0.2% last week, and the yen gained 0.6% against the dollar to reach 154.955, its highest level in over a week.

The kiwi currency fell?0.4%, to $0.5781, after New Zealand's central bank governor Anna Breman warned that financial market conditions have tightened over the past few weeks. This has led investors to reduce their expectations of rate hikes for next year.

Brent crude rose 0.5% to $61.44 on supply concerns from the U.S. - Venezuela tensions, among other factors.

Imperial Oil announced on Sunday that it had issued an alert for a fire at its?120,000 barrels per day refinery in Ontario, Canada. Russia has said that a Ukrainian drone did not damage an oil refinery located in Afipsky.

Steve Witkoff, the U.S. ambassador to Berlin said that "a lot of progress has been made" on the geopolitical side in the peace talks in Berlin for the end of the Ukraine conflict.

Gold has extended its recent rally for a fifth consecutive day, as it nears a record-high of $4381.21. Last week, spot bullion prices rose 1.0% to $4,344.89.

The cryptocurrency markets ended a three-day losing run, with bitcoin ending the day up 1.3% to $89,598.96, and ether= increasing 1.5% to 3,127.57. (Reporting and editing by Shri Navaratnam, Sam Holmes and Gregor Stuart Hunter)

(source: Reuters)