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Oil prices rise as fears of a glut ease despite low demand

After closing at a two-week low on lower demand in the previous session, oil prices rose on Friday as concerns about oversupply eased.

Brent crude futures rose 17 cents or 0.27% to $63.69 a bar at 0455 GMT. U.S. West Texas intermediate futures gained 18 cents or 0.3% to $59.78.

The global oil price fell for a third consecutive month in October, as OPEC and its allies increased production while non-OPEC producers also continued to increase their output.

Haitong Securities reported that after U.S.-British sanctions against Russia's largest oil companies two week ago, the market's aggressively bearish stance was moderated. However, the oil price momentum changed at the end October.

Haitong Securities stated that OPEC+’s plan to halt further production increases during the first quarter next year has also helped ease concerns about an oversupply.

Nevertheless, there is still concern about the weakening demand.

J.P. Morgan said that the global oil demand had increased by 850,000 barrels a day through November 4. This is below the 900,000 barrels a day growth projected by J.P. Morgan earlier.

The note stated that "high-frequency indicators indicate that U.S. petroleum consumption remains subdued", pointing out the weak travel activity as well as lower container shipments.

Oil prices dropped in the previous session after the U.S. Energy Information Administration reported that U.S. crude stockpiles rose by 5.2m barrels to 421.2m barrels last weekend, as opposed to expectations of a 603,000 barrel increase.

Capital Economics wrote in a report that they believe the downward pressure on oil will continue, which supports their forecast below consensus of $60 per barrel by end-25 and 50 per barrel at end-26.

Saudi Arabia, which is the largest oil exporter in the world, slashed the price of its crude oil for Asian buyers sharply in December. This was a response to a market that had been oversupplied as OPEC+ producers increased production. (Reporting from Tokyo by Katya Glubkova and Beijing by Sam Li; editing by Tom Hogue).

(source: Reuters)