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Keep calm and carry on with MORNING BID AMERICAS

What is important in U.S. markets and global markets today

By Anna Szymanski, Editor-in-Charge, Open Interest

Hello Morning Bid readers! The U.S. shutdown has not affected global equity markets much this week. All three major U.S. indexes reached record highs on the Thursday, and Asian and European markets are on track to post gains for the week early on Friday. This shutdown may delay vital government data and make the Federal Reserve's task even more difficult. Artificial intelligence may be to blame for the Fed's current economic situation, which is characterized by a slow job growth rate and an annualized growth of almost 4%. Mike Dolan, Editor-at-Large at ROI Financial Markets, argues, that the U.S. economic system could be affected if the AI equity bubble bursts.

The private payrolls for September have been released. Investors, while not putting too much weight on this data (which economists don't tend to do), took note of the largest monthly decline in employment since over two years. Gold's seventh consecutive weekly increase was boosted by hopes of continued Fed easing. Oil prices dropped on energy markets for most of the week due to expectations of increased supply. This could include accelerated production from OPEC+. However, Brent crude fell 1% on Friday morning following the news of a Chevron refinery fire in El Segundo, which is one of the biggest on the U.S. West Coast. Ron Bousso, ROI Energy's Columnist, argues that Big Oil has become more bullish on the future outlook while becoming more bearish in the short term. Clyde Russell of ROI Asia Commodities writes that predicting what will happen on the oil market this year is difficult. Three of the main drivers of crude price are the unwinding OPEC+ cuts in production, China storage flows, and geopolitical conflicts. All of these are hard to predict accurately. Gavin Maguire, ROI Energy Transition columnist, explains how Italy's economic troubles may actually have climate benefits. Clyde Russell explains why the low prices for some minerals do not reflect the importance of these minerals to the global energy transformation. Andy Home, ROI Metals columnist, looks at the fragility in the copper supply chain and highlights the disastrous events that occurred at Freeport McMoRan’s Grasberg Mine last month.

Check out what the ROI team recommends you read, watch, and listen to as we enter the weekend. Stay informed and prepared for the coming week. Please contact me at

This weekend we are reading...

GAVIN MAGUIRE

ROI Global Energy Transition: According to this analysis by Carbon Brief, the electricity demand of Great Britain will be fully met by clean energy for an unprecedented period in 2025. This is pretty impressive considering that the country was powered by fossils fuels to a high percentage up until 2010.

ANDY HOME: ROI Metals columnist Anjana Ahuja's article in the Financial Times is my read of the week. She discusses groundbreaking work on the concept black hole stars. This raises the cosmological questions of whether black holes or galaxies with matter came first.

RON BOUSSO is the ROI Energy Columnist. The book More and more and more by Jean-Baptiste Fressoz provides a fascinating history of energy throughout the centuries. The book argues against the notion of an energy shift, arguing that new energy sources have always been added to the world.

JAMIE MCGEEVER, Columnist at ROI Markets:

United States, Inc. is a compilation of four Project Syndicate Articles that highlight several fundamental flaws when trying to run the U.S. Government like a business.

Listening to...

The UN General Assembly is examined in depth. Correspondents examine the challenges of global multilateralism in a time when history is changing.

"Facing Coming Storms", a podcast produced by the British Army Centre for Historical and Conflict Research and the Project for Study of the 21st Century, is available on iTunes. This episode features a conversation between PS21 Executive Director Peter Apps and Admiral Nils vang, the former head of Denmark's Navy.

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The opinions expressed are solely those of their authors. These opinions do not represent the views of News. News is bound by the Trust Principles to maintain integrity, independence and freedom from bias. (By Anna Szymanski)

(source: Reuters)