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Oil prices fall on weak China demand and geopolitical uncertainties

Oil prices fall on weak China demand and geopolitical uncertainties

The oil prices dropped on Tuesday as a result of uncertainty surrounding the U.S.-Iran nuclear negotiations and Russia-Ukraine talks. Meanwhile, new government data revealed a cautious outlook for China's economy, which is the world's largest crude importer. Brent futures fell 42 cents or 0.6% to $65.12 per barrel at 11:02 am EDT (1502 GMT), whereas U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude (WTI) dropped 26 cents or 0.4% to $62.43.

Iran's

Ayatollah Khamenei, the Supreme Leader of Iran, said that U.S. demands for Tehran to stop enriching its uranium were "excessive" and "outrageous," and expressed doubts about whether negotiations on a new deal in nuclear energy will be successful.

According to U.S. Federal Energy data, Iran will be the third largest crude oil producer in the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries group (OPEC) in 2024 after Saudi Arabia and Iraq.

Alex Hodes, StoneX analyst, said that a deal between Iran, the U.S., and other countries would allow Iran's oil exports to increase by 300,000-400,000 barrels a day if sanctions are eased. StoneX analyst Alex Hodes said that the European Union and Britain did not wait for the U.S. before announcing new sanctions against Russia. This was a day after U.S. president Donald Trump met with Russian President Vladimir Putin, but without a ceasefire promise in Ukraine.

Ukraine wants to know more

Group of Seven

The (G7) advanced economies will reduce their price caps on Russian oil shipped by sea to $30 per barrel. The current G7 price cap is imposed over

Russia's war on Ukraine

The price of a? is $60.

It does not appear likely that the Russia/Ukraine conflict will be resolved immediately. While it may lead to more Russian oil on the market in the future, this is uncertain and out of time as Russia still has its obligations to OPEC+, said Bjarne Shieldrop.

A peace agreement between the two countries to end their war

Russia

The Ukraine and Russia could enable Moscow to export even more oil. Russia is a part of the OPEC+ countries.

Other producers.

The second largest crude oil producer in the world was Russia.

According to U.S. Federal Energy Data, in 2024.

CHINESE DATA On Tuesday, at least seven Federal Reserve officials will speak.

Traders expect that the U.S. Central Bank will deliver at least two 25 basis-point rate cuts in 2025. The first is expected to be in September.

Interest rates are used by central banks such as the Fed to control price inflation. By lowering consumer borrowing costs, lower interest rates can boost economic growth and oil demand.

Analysts expect a decline in fuel demand in the world's largest oil importer. Data showing a deceleration in industrial output and retail sales has put more pressure on oil. Goldman Sachs, however, pointed to an increase in China trade late Monday. The analysis did not take into account a 90 day pause between the U.S. In Germany, Europe's largest economy, Finance Minister Lars Klingbeil has promised to take swift measures in order to boost investment in the face of global trade uncertainty.

OIL INVENTORIES On Tuesday and Wednesday respectively, the American Petroleum Institute (API), a trade group, and the U.S. Energy Information Administration will release data about U.S. crude oil inventories.

Analysts predict that energy companies will have removed about 1.4 millions barrels of crude oil from U.S. stocks during the week ending May 16.

This would be the third decrease in four weeks. The same week last season, there was an increase in barrels of 1.8 millions barrels. Over the past five-year period (2020-2024), the average decline has been 3.5 million barrels. (Reporting and editing by Scott DiSavino and Trixie Yap; Louise Heavens, Clarence Fernandez and Paul Simao).

(source: Reuters)