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Shares hold near record high with Powell in focus, dollar in the doldrums

World shares steadied on Friday, sitting just 1% shy of alltime highs, while the dollar suffered around oneyear lows ahead of a speech by the world's most effective main lender which markets will browse for guidance on the shape of U.S. rate cuts.

Europe's broad Stoxx 600 index increased 0.14% in early trading, Asian shares outside Japan nudged down 0.1%, however Japan's Nikkei gained 0.4% as investors absorbed inflation data and remarks from Bank of Japan governor Kazuo Ueda flagging a desire to raise interest rates if the economy and inflation turn out as forecast.

That left MSCI's all nation world index up a hair, and with early August's turmoil in the rear view mirror, it is now trading around 1% off its mid July perpetuity peak. S&P 500 futures rose 0.3%.

The centerpiece of the week is still to come however: Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's keynote speech to the Kansas City Fed's annual Jackson Hole Research conference, which comes as U.S. financial information gives the Federal Reserve the green light to cut rates of interest.

Markets are totally priced for a 25 bp rate cut in September and see a cut at each of the Fed's 3 remaining conferences this year, and for one to be a larger 50 bp move.

The speech will be seen carefully to see whether it difficulties or highlights such rates, though Powell's. opportunities to offer too much of a surprise seem minimal.

As any choice that deviates from market rates will rest. on yet unidentified data, it is hard to see how Powell can commit. to much beyond some easing of some sort in September, and even. then, just disallowing information mishaps, stated Rob Carnell, local. head of research, Asia-Pacific, at ING.

Expectations that rate cuts are coming have actually kept U.S. Treasury prices supported and not returning their safe-haven. gains from early August.

The benchmark ten years Treasury yield was flat at 3.857% - it. has just been above 4% for a very brief duration in August, after. investing nearly all of 2024 there.

Its German equivalent was likewise steady at 2.25%.

The low U.S. yields have actually injured the dollar, which has actually lost. ground on practically all significant peers in August.

The euro was last at $1.1119, stable on the day. and just off a 13 month peak struck earlier this week, and sterling. was up 0.2% at $1.312, struggling to press through its. July 2023 level, which would take it to its greatest in well over. 2 years.

The Japanese yen gained with the dollar down 0.3% at 145.85. after Bank of Japan Kazuo Ueda flagged a willingness. to raise rates of interest if the economy and inflation end up as. projection.

The yen purchasing today is understandable offered Guv Ueda. revealed very little sign of a shift in the views and strategies of the. BoJ following the financial market turmoil earlier this month,. stated Derek Halpenny, head of research international markets EMEA at. MUFG in a note to clients.

Information out early in the day revealed Japan's core inflation. accelerated for a third straight month, but a slowdown in. demand-drive price gains suggest no seriousness for any immediate. rate hikes.

Products looked set to end the week lower.

Brent crude futures were up 0.5% at $77.59 a barrel,. although they are down more than 3% for the week as swelling. U.S. unrefined stocks and a deteriorating demand outlook in China have. raised pessimism.

Gold rates are up 0.5% to $2,496.6 an ounce,. recharging towards its record high of $2,531.6 hit simply on. Tuesday.

(source: Reuters)