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MORNING quote AMERICAS-Dollar bends once again, Japan cautions

A look at the day ahead in U.S. and global markets from Mike Dolan

The U.S. dollar is bending muscle yet once again as the first quarter grinds to a close, rising anew on Wednesday against Japan's. yen, the Swiss franc and China's yuan - and drawing stern. warnings from Japanese federal government authorities in the process.

The dollar/yen exchange rate hit a 34-year high just a. whisker from 152 over night-- going beyond previous peaks from. 2022 that drew intervention from the Bank of the Japan at the. time. The dollar has actually now jumped almost 20% against the yen since. the start of in 2015.

Clearly keeping an eye on the yen's slide in real time, Japan's. finance minister Shunichi Suzuki released his strongest caution to. date in the current episode and said the authorities could take. decisive actions - an expression previously used in Fall 2022 simply. before Japan actioned in to offer dollars on the open market.

What annoys Japanese authorities most is the reality the yen's fall. has actually sped up even after the Bank of Japan has begun to. normalise its super-loose financial policy - prompting. speculation the central bank may have to move much faster on that. score no matter any currency market steps.

And of course Japanese stocks lapped up the weaker currency. as an extra export fillip, with the Nikkei criteria. jumping practically 1% on Wednesday.

The weakening yen tends to pressure other completing Asia. currencies, not least China's yuan - which likewise fell. once again previously.

Unlike the Nikkei, Chinese stocks got no solace. from the currency move, however, and recoiled to near one-month. lows.

Although information showed Chinese commercial earnings got. at the start of the year, political stress and property sector. concerns have actually seen foreign financiers continue to leave the marketplace. - with almost a $1 billion offered again on Wednesday through the Stock. Connect system, the biggest outflow considering that mid-January.

China's President Xi Jinping consulted with American company. leaders at the Great Hall of individuals in Beijing as the. government tries to woo foreign investors back to the country. and global firms look for reassurance over new regulations.

However the dollar is pumped up more normally - lifted. by slightly more hawkish Federal Reserve noises on the. trajectory for policy rates through next year and beyond.

Above-forecast U.S. resilient items orders data on Tuesday. boosted the view of a robust economy, while business costs. on devices showed tentative signs of healing and customer. confidence held steady.

With the Swiss National Bank having beat the gun on its. major central banking peers recently by cutting rates of interest,. the Swiss franc leads the way lower versus the dollar in. Europe and struck its weakest point because November 3 last year.

A growing feeling that other European reserve banks might move. to alleviate ahead of the Fed has actually put every central bank conference. under the microscopic lense.

Sweden's crown touched its weakest levels of the year. versus both the dollar and euro on Wednesday after the. Riksbank, Sweden's central bank, held its essential rate consistent at 4%. but stated inflationary pressures had eased enough for it to make. the first of numerous policy rate cuts in the coming months.

The European Central Bank, meantime, is progressively. confident that inflation will fall back to its 2% target by. mid-2025 as wage growth moderates, strengthening the case for. lower rates of interest, ECB board member Piero Cipollone stated.

European stocks were marginally higher on the day,. although oil and gas shares there were the greatest drag. on the index as crude oil costs lessened on rising U.S. crude. inventories and signs Russia is struggling to get payment for. oil deliveries amid sanctions hazards on associated banking circulations.

Back on Wall St, the downbeat start to the week for stocks. advanced Tuesday - but futures were positive again ahead of. Wednesday's bell. Treasury yields were flat.

In politics, much of the focus on Tuesday was on how shares. of Donald Trump's Trump Media & & Innovation Group surged. as much as 59% in their Nasdaq debut, lifted by the previous U.S. president's fans and offering him a possible windfall as. he faces the costs of several legal cases.

However the latest opinion poll trackers reveal President Joe. Biden's approval scores among American voters picking up in. March to their finest levels of the year so far. Key journal items that may provide direction to U.S. markets later. on Wednesday:

* Federal Reserve Board Guv Christopher Waller speaks,. Swiss National Bank Vice Chairman Martin Schlegel speaks. * South Africa Reserve Bank policy decision. * United States corporate earnings: Cintas, Carnival, Paychex. * US Treasury offers 7-year notes, 2-year floating rate notes. * Dutch Prime Minister Mark Rutte fulfills Chinese President Xi. Jinping in Beijing; Brazil President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva. satisfies French President Emmanuel Macron in Rio de Janeiro

(source: Reuters)