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Asia shares fall as markets revalue Fed expectations and oil gains

After the U.S. lifted sanctions against?Iran on Tuesday, oil prices rose and traders were concerned that the Federal Reserve might take more aggressive measures to combat inflation in the second half of the year.

S&P 500 futures and MSCI's broadest Asia-Pacific index outside Japan both fell by 0.5%. Brent crude rose 0.2% to $78.03 a barrel.

The Nikkei was down 0.6%. This is a reversal of some losses. Data showed that Japan's manufacturing industry experienced robust growth in the month of June. New orders surged at their highest rate in over four years.

South Korean stocks fluctuated between gains, losses, and last 2% lower. Taiwanese shares opened 0.9% higher and set a new high.

Chris Weston is the head of research for Pepperstone Group Ltd. in Melbourne. The former generals in the market have lost their momentum and investors are moving into areas that are more conservative, less AI focused and offer more predictable cash flows.

The S&P 500 fell 0.4% overnight and the Nasdaq composite?slid 1.3%. Megacap?technology companies such as Alphabet, SpaceX and others were primarily responsible for the declines.

Oil prices fell more than 3% after U.S. vice president JD Vance announced that progress had been achieved in negotiations with Iran, and that the Strait of Hormuz is open.

The yen is flat against the US dollar, at 161.55yen. This is a return to its lowest levels in over 40 years, following a volatile overnight trading session in the U.S. A source familiar with the meeting said that Japanese Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama met online late Monday night with U.S. Treasury Sec. Scott Bessent, amid growing concerns over currency fluctuations.

The British pound is flat at $1.3247, after Prime Minister Keir starmer announced on Monday that he would be resigning. This will pave the way for an orderly transfer to Andy Burnham.

The U.S. Dollar Index, which measures greenback strength against six currencies, traded at 101.04, close to its highest level since May of last year.

The Federal Reserve, under the leadership Kevin Warsh, is expected to increase rates more quickly.

FedWatch, the CME Group tool, shows that Fed funds futures price an implied 54% probability of at least two 25 basis-point increases before the end of the year. This compares to a 15.2% chance one week ago.

The yield of the 10-year Treasury Bond in the United States was 4.501%, down 0.2 basis points.

Gold fell 0.2% to $4,180.38. Bitcoin fell 0.8% to $63,873.71 while ether dropped 0.5% to $1,724.08. (Reporting and editing by Jacqueline Wong; Reporting by Gregor Stuart Hunter)

(source: Reuters)