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Euro stocks drop as traders await US jobs data; dollar steady

Early trading Tuesday saw European stocks fall as traders remained cautious ahead of important U.S. employment data. The dollar also remained near its lowest level in the past two months.

Investors waited for the U.S. Employment Reports for October and November due later in session. Data collection was delayed during the U.S. Government Shutdown.

After the Fed's comments when it reduced rates last week were interpreted as being less hawkish that anticipated, this could affect expectations for the U.S. Federal Reserve monetary policy in the coming year. This would strengthen expectations for further rate cuts by 2026. The stock markets dropped during Asian trading. MSCI's broadest Asia-Pacific share index outside Japan fell to its lowest level in three weeks. Data showed that growth in China's manufacturing output stagnated to a low of 15 months in November. European indexes opened lower before slightly edging higher. STOXX 600, London's FTSE 100, and Germany's DAX were all down on the day at 0956 GMT. The progress in the Russia-Ukraine talks has contributed to a drop in European defence stocks. The pullback is still in context with stock markets reaching record highs by 2025. STOXX 600 is on track to gain 14.8% in 2025.

The MSCI world index fell?by 0.3% for the day, but was up 19.8% over the course of the year. The U.S. jobs report is expected to show that federal cost-cutting has led to a decrease in nonfarm payrolls for October. This will be followed by an increase in job growth for November.

"Either the economy accelerates or you get good numbers." You may not have a good number, and therefore expect the Federal Reserve to cut rates further," said Kevin Thozet.

CENTRAL BANK METINGS, MORE DATA Investors will also be watching for U.S. Inflation data on Thursday. However, a few key details may not be available. Also, central bank meetings, including the rate decisions of the Bank of England?, the European Central Bank?, and the Bank of Japan. The U.S. Dollar Index was barely changed at 98.204. It fell by less than 0.1% for the day, and is close to multi-week highs against the euro or yen. The euro remained steady at $1.1754 after European PMI data revealed that the growth of business activity in the Euro zone was slower than expected by 2025.

Lower energy prices have pushed the euro zone terms of trade (export relative to import prices) closer to the highest levels in the past four years. In a letter to clients, ING's global head of markets Chris Turner wrote: "This is a clean positive for the euro."

The German 10-year bond yield was 2.8458, a slight decrease from the previous month. Data showed that the unemployment rate in Britain reached its highest level?since 2021, and the pay growth in Britain's private sector was at its lowest in five years. The UK's five-year and ten-year gilt yields rose after stronger-than-expected ?UK flash PMI data.

Bitcoin was trading at $86,341.41, close to its two-week low from the previous session.

Gold was near its highest level in seven weeks, boosted by the dollar's weakness and expectations of a rate cut from the United States.

Oil prices dropped, falling below $60 per barrel for the very first time since months. Traders believed that a Russia-Ukraine deal was more likely. This raised expectations of sanctions being eased and more oil becoming available, which would lead to lower prices. (Reporting and editing by Sharon Singleton in Paris)

(source: Reuters)