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Asian stocks are hesitant following Trump's visa crackdown

The dollar was stable on Monday, as traders considered the U.S. policy direction after the Federal Reserve cut rates last week. Meanwhile, President Donald Trump's crackdown on immigration and worker visas held back sentiment.

After the Trump administration announced on Friday that it would charge companies $100,000 per year to obtain new H-1B visas, the focus will shift to Indian and tech stocks. This is a blow for the tech sector which relies heavily on skilled workers in India and China.

S&P futures fell by 0.1% in the early morning trading. MSCI's broadest Asia-Pacific share index outside Japan rose 0.09%. Tokyo's Nikkei rose 1% after dropping on Friday.

India's $283-billion information technology sector will feel the pinch in the short term as the deteriorating relationship between India and the United States continues.

Trump doubled tariffs last month on Indian imports to 50%, in part due to New Delhi's purchase of Russian oil.

It's a threat to operating costs and margins. Kyle Rodda is a senior financial analyst with Capital.com. He said that it was possible to increase wages and labour costs.

If they are unable to find enough workers within the U.S., tech companies could also face punitive actions.

Investors are still keen to assess the U.S. macroeconomic policy after the Fed reduced interest rates last weekend but suggested a future phase of gradual easing.

The week will be filled with a number of speeches from policymakers, and data on the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge is due Friday. This information will set the tone for rates in the near term.

Tony Sycamore is a market analyst for IG. He believes that the PCE core price index will rise 0.2% monthly, keeping the annual rate at 2.9%. This is the same as it was in July and higher than the 2.6% lowest level reached in April.

The traders are pricing in a 44 basis point easing at the end of this year.

The dollar is currently on an upward trend. The dollar index (which measures the U.S. money against six other currencies) was at 97.716.

Chris Weston is head of research for Pepperstone. He said that "the USD's trajectory is less clear and the greenback's trading in the near term is a subject of greater debate."

Treasury yields may drive USD flows, as a flood of Treasurys will be coming to the market and Fed speakers are scheduled.

The Japanese yen is slightly weaker today at 148.20 U.S. dollars after strengthening on Friday, following the Bank of Japan’s hawkish vote where two members of its board voted against maintaining interest rates.

The central bank maintained short-term rates at 0.5%. Board members Hajime Tamura and Naoki Tamura proposed, but failed, an increase to 0.75%. Markets interpreted this as a sign of a rise in borrowing costs in the near future.

Vasu Menon is the managing director for investment strategy at OCBC. He said that Friday's announcement will be interpreted by markets as an indication that Japan's central bank has begun to become more hawkish.

He said that it could lead to "expectations about future rate hikes, and the possibility of higher JGB yields as well as a stronger yen. This may not be good news for Japanese stocks and bonds on the short-term."

Brent crude futures rose 0.3% to $66.89 per barrel in the commodities market. U.S. West Texas Intermediate Futures rose by 0.35% to 62.9.

Gold prices rose 0.24%, to $3,692.79 an ounce. This is just a little bit short of the record high reached last week. (Editing by Shri Navaratnam).

(source: Reuters)