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Oil prices increase after Israeli attack on Qatar and Trump's Russia tariff push

The oil prices rose Wednesday, after Israel attacked Hamas leaders in Qatar and U.S. president Donald Trump requested Europe to impose tariffs against buyers of Russian crude. However, a weak outlook for the market capped gains.

Brent crude futures rose by 35 cents or 0.53% to $66.74 per barrel at 0033 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate Crude futures also gained 36 cents or 0.57% to $62.99 per barrel.

Prices settled at 0.6% higher in the previous session, after Israel claimed it had attacked Hamas leaders in Doha. Qatar's Prime Minister said that this attack threatened to derail talks between Hamas & Israel.

Oil prices were seen to be relatively low due to the overall weakness of the market. Both benchmarks rose by almost 2% after the attack but then fell after the U.S. assured Doha that such an event would never happen again.

The modest reaction of crude oil prices in response to the news, coupled with skepticism about President Trump's claims that sanctions could be increased against Russian oil, leaves crude oil vulnerable for lower prices," IG analyst Tony Sycamore wrote in a report.

Sources claim that Trump has asked the European Union (EU) to impose tariffs of 100% on China and India in order to exert pressure on Russian President Vladimir Putin.

China and India have been major purchasers of Russian oil since Russia invaded Ukraine in 2022. This has allowed Russia to maintain its finances despite the heavy sanctions imposed by the U.S.

"The expansion to secondary tariffs for other major buyers, such as China, could disrupt Russian crude oil exports and tighten the global supply. This would be a bullish sign for oil prices," LSEG analyst wrote.

"However there is uncertainty over how far the Administration will go as aggressive action may conflict with efforts to control inflation and influence Federal Reserve to lower interest rates."

The Federal Reserve is expected to lower interest rates at its meeting next Monday, which will boost the economy and increase demand for oil.

But fundamentals remain weak. U.S. Energy Information Administration warned that global crude prices would be significantly impacted in the months to come due to rising inventories, as OPEC+ increased output. (Reporting and editing by Stephen Coates; Colleen howe)

(source: Reuters)