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Dollar and stocks are both on the rise this week as a result of hints about tariff relief

Dollar and stocks are both on the rise this week as a result of hints about tariff relief

Investors were encouraged by signs that the U.S. was willing to end its trade war with China. The dollar also rose for the first time in over a month.

The benchmark STOXX Index in Europe rose 0.3% amid hopes for a easing of trade tensions. It was also boosted by positive earnings reports, from the Finnish forestry company Stora Enso and French jet engine manufacturer Safran.

U.S. Futures also climbed as tech giant Alphabet, the parent company of Google, beat profit expectations. It also reaffirmed AI expenditure targets. This pushed its shares up by nearly 5% after-hours and pulled along other peers.

The dollar, after a turbulent few weeks of tariff announcements and reversals, and flight from U.S. assets found its footing at around $1.1330 for the euro and 143.4 Japaneseyen.

Eli Lee, Chief Investment Strategist at Bank of Singapore said that the peak of tariff threats is likely to be behind us.

Both sides have stated that they will not increase rates above current levels.

The tit-for-tat tariffs, which began on April 2, when U.S. president Donald Trump announced hefty import duties, had threatened to stall the trade between two of the world's largest economies. They also sparked concerns of a global slowdown.

The U.S. changed its tone this week and declared that the current situation is unsustainable. China, meanwhile, may exempt some U.S. imported goods from the 125% tariffs, in what could be the most significant sign of Beijing's concern about the potential economic consequences.

UNEASY CALM

Hong Kong's Hang Seng index rose 1%, and mainland China’s Shanghai Composite Index and blue-chip CSI300 also saw small gains.

The Nikkei 225 index rose 1.8% in Japan on Friday. It has recovered all of its losses following Trump's announcement that the United States would be imposing the highest tariffs it had ever seen. Trump suspended most of these tariffs, with the exception of China, which will have a 10% tariff.

In a client note, ING currency analyst Francesco Pesole said that there is a sense among market participants that they can now impose a more favourable stance from the U.S. Government.

Investors will seek confirmation of a more optimistic view on U.S. Assets to justify further dollar gains.

The U.S. Dollar Index was up 0.2% this week to 99.623.

WARNING SIGNAGE

There were plenty of warnings that the calm on the surface may not last.

Procter & Gamble cut their forecasts or canceled them due to the increased uncertainty of consumers.

Gold was steady at $3,296 per ounce, and analysts from Phillip Securities in Singapore noted that the Gold/S&P500 ratio, which is a measure of investor's gloom, had reached its highest level since the bear market driven by the pandemic of 2020.

The 10-year yields remained at 4.30%, easing the pressure on the U.S. Treasury Market. It was heavily sold as Trump's tariffs rattled confidence in U.S. assets and leadership. After a Tokyo inflation rate that was higher than expected, Japanese yields increased along the curve.

(source: Reuters)