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Stocks and Treasury yields fall as Trump's interview fuels concerns about growth

MSCI's global equity gauge fell 1.7% on Monday after hitting a two-month-low earlier in the day. U.S. Bond yields also dropped, as investors became concerned about an economic slowdown following Donald Trump's refusal to rule out a recession related to tariffs.

Investors began seeking safety even as early as the Sunday after Trump, in an interview with Fox News, talked about a "period transition". He declined to predict if his tariffs against China and Canada would lead to a U.S. economic recession.

Robert Pavlik is a senior portfolio manager with Dakota Wealth, in Fairfield, Connecticut. He cited concerns about tariffs, including Trump's recent interview, as the main factors for Monday's risk off mood.

When he says that there will be pain, he is telling you it may not be a short-term situation. Pavlik said that this may not be a tactic for negotiation.

Tariffs can create uncertainty about costs, inflation, and economic growth. "You don't have a clear idea of the final goal and the outcome," he said. How do you prepare for this? How can you invest in the future if you do not know what it holds?

The S&P 500 index was down 114.82, or 1.99%, at 5,655.38, and the Nasdaq composite was 641.86 or 3.48% lower at 17,562.91, both reaching their lowest levels since Sept.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 370.16 or 0.86% to 42,431.56,

MSCI's global stock index fell by 14.79 points or 1.74% to 837.31, its lowest point since mid-January.

The pan-European STOXX 600 fell by 0.99% and reached its lowest level for a month.

After the Trump interview, investor confidence was shattered and yields dropped on U.S. Government bonds.

Will Compernolle is a macro-strategist at FHN. He said: "If the White House occupant himself is not optimistic about the short-term expectations for growth, then why should the markets be optimistic?"

The yield on the benchmark 10-year U.S. notes dropped 9.9 basis points, to 4.219% from 4.318%, late Friday.

The 30-year bond rate fell by 8.7 basis point to 4.5299%, while the 2-year yield, which is typically in line with the Federal Reserve's interest rate expectations, dropped by 7.9 basis points, to 3.923%.

The U.S. Dollar fell 0.68%, to 147.03 Japanese yen. The euro fell 0.04% to $1.0828, while sterling dropped 0.09% at $1.2909.

Prices of oil fell on concerns about the impact U.S. Tariffs and increased production from OPEC+ producers. However, sanctions against Iranian oil exports prevented prices from dropping further.

U.S. crude oil fell by 0.75%, to $66.54 per barrel. Brent dropped to $69.81 a barrel, a drop of 0.78%.

Gold prices fell as profit-taking offset support from safe haven demand. Attention is also focused on the U.S. Inflation print due later this week.

Spot gold dropped 0.31% to 2,901.73 dollars an ounce. U.S. Gold Futures rose 0.1% to 2,907.50 per ounce. Copper fell 0.76% to $9540.00 per metric ton.

Bitcoin fell by 3.54%, to $80 140.80.

The U.S. executive orders on creating a reserve of strategic cryptocurrencies was issued on Friday. However, many investors were disappointed by the fact that there would not be any additional purchases of bitcoin.

Data showed earlier that deflationary pressure was present in China. The consumer price index for February missed expectations, and dropped at the fastest pace in 13 month, and producer prices deflation continued, as seasonal demands faded, and as households were cautious in their spending due to job and income concerns.

The benchmark Hang Seng Index in Hong Kong fell 1.9%, while China's blue chip CSI300 Index ended 0.4% lower. (Reporting and editing by Sinead carew, Nell Mackenzie, and Kevin Buckland, Kirby Donovan, and Andrew Heavens).

(source: Reuters)