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Asia shares rise, dollar underpinned by elevated bond yields

Asian stocks edged up on Tuesday, though moves were suppressed in a holidaycurtailed week, while the greenback held near a twoyear high helped by raised U.S. Treasury yields as financiers prepared for less Federal Reserve rate cuts in 2025.

After a recent run of central bank decisions, today is much quieter, with Japan's October conference minutes and Australia's December minutes launched on Tuesday morning, offering more information on their choices to hold rates at the time. There are no Fed speeches and U.S. data is of secondary value.

Otherwise the themes were mainly the same, with the dollar's strength a burden for products and gold.

It is likewise a headache for emerging market nations from Brazil to Indonesia that are needing to intervene to stop their currencies from falling too far and stiring domestic inflation.

MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan rose 0.35% early in the session, tracking Wall Street's overnight gain.

Japan's Nikkei fell 0.37%, while the more comprehensive Topix ticked down 0.03%.

The Committee on Foreign Financial Investment in the United States ( CFIUS) has actually told the White House it is unable to reach a. consensus on national security dangers involved in Nippon Steel's. quote for U.S. Steel, the Washington Post reported. on Monday.

Shares of Nippon Steel last traded 1.5% greater.

Likewise in Japanese business news, Honda's stock. cost surged almost 17%, while that of Nissan's alleviated. 0.07%.

The two remain in speak with merge by 2026, they stated on Monday,. a historic pivot for Japan's automobile industry that underlines the. risk Chinese electric vehicle makers now present to the world's. long-dominant tradition automobile makers.

In China, the CSI300 blue-chip index rose 0.5%,. while the Shanghai Composite Index advanced 0.47%.

Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index leapt 0.7%.

Still, financiers remain mindful on the outlook for the. world's second-largest economy as it continues to fight a. stammering healing regardless of Chinese leaders pledging more. assistance.

China faces substantial challenges getting in 2025. The. continuous realty crisis has actually shattered customer self-confidence. while a potential trade war with the United States might trigger. the worst development downturn in decades, said Ronald Temple, chief. market strategist at Lazard.

Financier expectations have been raised and rushed more than. once in China recently, and 2025 may prove to be no. different. China's financial and market outlook may mainly. depend on the speed and magnitude of federal government reforms.

FED OUTLOOK

In the wider market, expectations of less U.S. rate cuts. in 2025 remained top of investors' minds.

Markets are now pricing in almost 35 basis points of. alleviating for 2025, which has in turn sent out U.S. Treasury yields. rising and the dollar to new highs.

The two-year Treasury yield last stood at. 4.3345%, while the standard 10-year yield steadied. near a seven-month high at 4.5825%.

Like markets, the Fed will require to think about U.S. policies. on tariffs and immigration in its inflation and growth outlook. Our company believe the subtle slowing down in the U.S. labor market will. still be the Fed's vital issue, said experts at Citi. Wealth.

While constantly uncertain, our base case expectation for a. 3.75% policy rate is the same. It's a far cry from the 1.7%. U.S. policy rate average of the previous 20 years.

Ahead of U.S. President-elect Donald Trump's return to the. White House in January, worldwide central banks have actually advised care. over their rate paths due to uncertainty on how his planned. tariffs, lower taxes and immigration curbs might impact policy.

Data on Monday showed U.S. customer self-confidence suddenly. deteriorated in December as the post-election bliss fizzled and. concerns about future service conditions emerged.

In currencies, the dollar index held near a two-year. high at 108.11, having climbed up more than 2% for the month thus. far.

The euro eased 0.04% to $1.0401, while the yen. languished near a five-month low at 157.11 per dollar.

Japan's Financing Minister Katsunobu Kato on Tuesday. restated Tokyo's discomfort over excessive foreign exchange. moves and put speculators on notification that authorities are ready. to act to stabilise a faltering yen.

The strong dollar combined with high bond yields to weigh on. gold, which stood at $2,615.59 an ounce after slipping 1%. recently.

Oil rates edged higher, with Brent unrefined futures. rising 0.37% to $72.90 a barrel, while U.S. crude got. 0.35% to $69.48 per barrel.

(source: Reuters)