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US EPA proposes to end mandatory greenhouse gas reporting
The U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) proposed a rule on Friday to end the mandatory reporting of greenhouse gas emissions by 8,000 facilities. This program, the EPA said, was burdensome for businesses but left the public in the dark about the environmental impact. The agency stated that mandatory collection of GHG emission data is unnecessary as it "is not directly related to potential regulations and has no significant impact on improving the health and environment of humans." KEY QUOTE The Greenhouse Gas Reporting Program, according to EPA Administrator Lee Zeldin, is nothing but bureaucratic red-tape that doesn't improve air quality. BACKGROUND The rule is a response to an executive order that was issued on the first day of President Donald Trump's presidency. It aims to remove barriers to releasing more U.S. Energy, especially fossil fuels. This is just the latest in a long line of regulatory rollbacks that have undone previous U.S. attempts to combat climate changes. Earlier this year, the EPA revealed plans to repeal its "endangerment findings" which allowed it to regulate greenhouse gases from stationary and vehicle sources. The proposal, if finalized, would eliminate reporting obligations for all large facilities, fuel and industrial gas providers, and CO2 injector sites. The Trump administration also announced that it would pull the U.S. out of the Paris Climate Agreement, which requires all countries to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. Key Context The Trump administration also took steps to stop the collection of environmental databases by the EPA and other federal agencies such as the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration and NASA's satellites that monitor greenhouse gases. DETAILS Under the Greenhouse Gas Reporting Program, 47 categories of sources covering 8,000 suppliers and facilities are required to calculate their greenhouse gas emission and submit it annually. The agency will continue to require the submission of data on methane emissions for large oil-and-gas operations that are subject to a charge for waste emissions. (Reporting and editing by Richard Chang; Valerie Volcovici)
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NATO launches "Eastern Sentry" to strengthen eastern flank following Russian drone incursion
NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte announced that NATO launched on Friday an operation called Eastern Sentry in response to Russian drones entering Polish airspace this week. Rutte said at a NATO press conference in Brussels that "we must make it clear to the world our determination and our capability to defend our territories." He said this while standing next to NATO's top commander U.S. Air Force general Alexus Grynkewich. Rutte stated that NATO was still assessing possible intentions behind the incursion. This led to Polish and NATO allies shooting down drones, the first such action NATO has taken since Russia's invasion of Ukraine in 2022. He said that the Russian action was "reckless" and "inacceptable", regardless of whether it was intentional. Russia claimed that its forces were attacking Ukraine when the drones entered the country and they had no intention of hitting any targets in Poland. Warsaw rejected this explanation and said the incursion had been a deliberate attack. FLEXIBLE RESPONSE ALONG EASTERN FLANC Grynkewich stated that Eastern Sentry is designed to be a flexible, integrated operation for bolstering defences along NATO’s entire Eastern flank. This extends from the Baltic States in the north all the way down to Romania and Bulgaria. He said, "Poland's citizens and those from the Alliance in general should feel assured of our swift response this week as well as our important announcement today." NATO has already deployed thousands of troops in Eastern Europe. The number of additional troops involved in this new operation was not specified. The announcement listed a modest amount of new military assets, including two F-16 fighters and a Danish frigate, three Rafale jet fighters from France, and four Eurofighter aircraft from Germany. Grynkewich, however, said that the new operation also aimed to adopt a more flexible strategy to defend the eastern flank in general rather than having static forces dedicated to a specific area. He said: "We will adjust our posture across the eastern flank in a way that keeps the enemy off-guard, while also responding to specific threats when we see them emerge." Reporting by Andrew Gray, Bart Meijer; Writing by Charlotte Van Campenhout, John Irish, Editing by GV de Clercq Alexandra Hudson, Aidan Lewis
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EU countries delay deal on new climate goal, diplomats say
Three EU diplomats said on Friday that the European Union has shelved its plans to adopt a new target for climate change next week after France and Germany resisted plans to reach a quick agreement. The countries are discussing a legally binding target of reducing net EU greenhouse gas emission by 90% from 1990 levels by 2040. A portion of this will be covered by purchasing foreign carbon credits. According to the European Commission, this will provide investors with certainty and help Europe reach net zero emissions in 2050. Climate change has caused Europe to become the fastest-warming continental in the world, unleashing deadly wildfires and record-breaking heatwaves. The EU is divided on how ambitious it should be when tackling global climate change, while also trying to increase defense spending and support struggling industry. On September 18, EU ministers were to have approved the 2040 target for climate change. Three EU diplomats have said that the ambassadors of EU countries cancelled this plan at a Friday meeting. The ministers said that next week they will discuss the goal of 2040, but any agreement will be discussed with EU leaders before the discussion is concluded. The diplomats asked to remain anonymous when discussing the closed-door discussion. If the EU fails to reach a deal by next week, it could miss the mid-September deadline set by the U.N. for all countries to submit their new climate plans in preparation for the COP30 summit on climate change scheduled for November. Diplomats have said that Denmark, Spain, and the Netherlands all support the 90 percent reduction in emissions target. France, Poland, and Italy, among others, have rejected the goal and asked that it be taken up with the heads of government at their next meeting in October. This could make it more difficult to reach an agreement. EU leaders make decisions in a unanimous manner, unlike ministers. Diplomats are discussing ways to convince sceptical nations, such as covering a larger share of the climate goal with carbon credits or tying a deal to other EU laws, like the carbon border tax or the 2035 phase-out of combustion engine cars. A spokesperson for the Environment Ministry said that Germany supports the goal of cutting emissions by 90%, but believes it is important to have discussions among the government leaders prior to a final deal. (Reporting and additional reporting by Holger Hanen in Berlin.)
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Poland contradicts Trump by saying that the Russian drone incursions were not a mistake.
Poland rejected Donald Trump's suggestion that Russian drone incursions in its airspace may have been an error, a rare contradiction from one of Washington’s closest European allies. Poland, supported by aircraft from NATO allies, shot down drones on Wednesday that violated its airspace. This is the first time an alliance member has fired during the Russian war in Ukraine. Russia claimed that its forces were attacking Ukraine at the moment and had no intention of hitting any targets in Poland. Trump told Washington reporters on Thursday that it could have been an accident. Donald Tusk, the Polish Prime Minister, responded on X. "We too would wish that the drone strike on Poland was a miscalculation." It wasn't. "We know it." Trump told Fox News in an interview on Friday that he was losing patience with Russian president Vladimir Putin. Germany announced on Friday that it had increased air patrols over Poland after European leaders strongly condemned Russia over the incident. It also summoned Russia's ambassador. On Poland's initiative, the United Nations Security Council would meet Friday to discuss this incident. NATO's top military officials, including its chief, Mark Rutte and Supreme Allied commander Europe Alexus Grynkewich (a U.S. Air Force General), were scheduled to hold a joint press conference on Friday afternoon. Questions about European Defence It is rare for Warsaw to directly contradict Trump. This shows the alarm of Europe at Trump's willingness, in this case, to accept Moscow's version of events. Poland is one of the closest U.S. ally in Europe. The Trump administration has praised Poland for its commitment to greater European military expenditures. Warsaw has described the drone incursions by Russia as an attempt to test the response capabilities of Poland and NATO. The incident this week has raised concerns about NATO's readiness for drone attacks, and the safety of civil aviation in Europe. The European leaders claim that this is yet another demonstration of Moscow's lack of interest in a peace agreement in Ukraine. This comes weeks after Trump met with President Vladimir Putin in Alaska, and retracted his demand for Russia to accept a ceasefire immediately. Trump has repeatedly given Moscow deadlines to reach a ceasefire, or else face new sanctions. But he's backed down. This week, European officials are in Washington to coordinate sanctions against Russia with the U.S. government. Previously, such announcements of sanctions were made in tandem. However, this hasn't happened since Trump took office. The U.S. Treasury urged allies in the Group of Seven (G7) and European Union to impose "meaningful" tariffs on Chinese and Indian goods to stop their purchases of Russian crude oil. A G7 emergency finance meeting was convened to discuss ways to increase pressure on Moscow and end the conflict in Ukraine. The EU member states have agreed to extend by six months the existing travel bans, and to freeze bank accounts for individuals and companies in response to the Russian invasion. Dmitry Peskov, Kremlin spokesperson, said that peace negotiations had been halted and "the Europeans" were hindering the peace process. The French announced that they would be deploying three Rafale jet fighters to Poland to protect their airspace, and the Germans said they would increase their commitment to NATO's eastern borders. RUSSIA AND BELARUS HOLD MILITARY ACTIVITIES On Friday, Russia and Belarus began a joint military drill that had been planned for years. The drills took place in both countries as well as in the Baltic Sea and Barents Sea. Peskov dismissed concerns about the exercise abroad, saying that Western European countries suffered from "emotional overload" and that Russia was not a threat. Local Ukrainian prosecutors reported that Russia continued to attack Ukraine and killed three people in Sumy, a region located in northern Ukraine. The regional governor reported that Ukrainian drones had attacked the port of Primorsk in Russia's northwest, setting a fire to both a vessel as well as a pumping station. This was the first drone attack on a major oil and fuel terminal in the country. (Additional reporting from Anna Koper in Warsaw; Anastasiia Melenko in Kyiv; John Irish and Michel Rose, in Paris; Andrea Shalal, in Washington; William James and Marktrevelyan, in London. Writing by Timothy Heritage. Editing by Peter Graff.
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Russia unveils monument for Ukraine war dead near St Petersburg
On Friday, hundreds of people, including Russian soldiers' relatives, gathered in front of St Petersburg to unveil a memorial for those killed in Ukraine. It was the first time such a memorial had been erected so close to one of Russia’s two largest cities. "A monument is one way to immortalize history." "Now we have a brand new history," Anna Krasnova said, after seeing the statue of two soldiers with guns unveiled at Kudrovo in a commuter city of 60,000. She said that her husband is fighting there and that her brother's name is missing in action. The memorial is unique in its proximity to Moscow and St Petersburg. Similar monuments were erected throughout Russia in the provinces. At the dedication ceremony, Alexander Drozdenko said, "The memory of our people is the most valuable asset we have." "Our cause will prevail, our enemy will be defeated, and we will win." The inscription on the monument, which is located above the figures, does not mention a date nor the location of the battles it honors. The inscription reads: "To the Heroes of the SMO", which is an acronym for Special Military Operation (the official term used by the Kremlin for this conflict). Kirill Drantsov, another spectator, stated that the monument would remind young people how to serve their country. We will not have to explain to anyone why and how we love and defend the Motherland. (Reporting in Kudrovo, writing by Lucy Papachristou).
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Gold nears all-time high as markets eye Fed rate reduction
Gold prices increased on Friday and remained close to the record highs set earlier in the week. Signs of a weakening U.S. labour market reinforced expectations that the Federal Reserve would deliver its first rate reduction of the year, next week. As of 9:19 am EDT (1319 GMT), spot gold was up by 0.4% to $3,649.54 an ounce. This is still close to the all-time high set on Tuesday of $3,673.95. This week, the metal is up 1.8% and on track for a fourth straight weekly gain. U.S. Gold Futures for December Delivery were up 0.4% to $3,688.10. Daniel Pavilonis is a senior market analyst at RJO Futures. He said that metals are rising because of the longer-term risk of inflation. The recent data that showed a surge in jobless claims last week, while consumer prices rose at their fastest rate in seven months, in August, have shifted expectations in the direction of higher rates. Investors are prioritizing signs that the labor market is weaker than inflation when determining rate expectations. Fed fund futures fully reflect a 25 basis-point cut during the Fed's meeting on September 17, though expectations of a 50-bps increase have eased. UBS analyst Giovanni Staunovo said: "Given the tailwinds, and after the recent increase in ETF flows (exchange-traded funds), we expect gold to reach $3,900/oz mid next year." Investors value the yellow metal as a hedge to inflation and uncertainty. It has increased 39% this year. China's central banks has asked the public for feedback on its plans to streamline gold import and export regulations by streamlining licensing. Other metals rose as well. Spot silver rose by 1.3%, to $42.08 an ounce. This is a record high for the 14 years. Platinum was up 1.4%, to $1,396.71, and palladium jumped 2.2%, to $1,214.70. All three metals are set to gain weekly. (Reporting and editing by Krishna Chandra Eluri, Sherin Elizabeth Varighese and Sarah Qureshi in Bengaluru).
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EU brings forward review of 2035 Vehicle Emissions Targets
EU sources confirmed on Friday that the European Commission would review its CO2 emissions targets for 2035 by the end of the year, instead of 2026. This was after the EU's chief executive met with auto executives to discuss their future. The EU set a goal of a reduction of 100% in CO2 emissions by new cars and vans, but auto industry groups said that this was no longer possible. This target is interpreted as the end of internal combustion engines in new vehicles. A member of the team led by Executive Vice President Stephane Sejourne said that the review would focus on vans. Electric vans only account for 8.5% of new vans in the EU. This is about half of the market share for electric vehicles. Details of the new proposal for 2035 are not yet clear. However, it could include biofuels that would be CO2 neutral and could power internal combustion engines as well as plug-in hybrids and range extenders. The Commission will present a proposal for a new category of small electric vehicles that could benefit from a lower tax treatment, and help to meet CO2 reduction targets. (Reporting and Editing by Benoit VanOverstraeten, Joe Bavier, and Charlotte Van Campenhout)
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Copper prices reach five-month high on hope for US rate cuts
Investors' expectations of U.S. rate cuts and concerns over possible shortages have fueled copper prices to their highest levels in five months. The price of three-month copper at the London Metal Exchange rose 0.2% in open-outcry official trading to $10,068 a metric ton. This is its highest level since march 26. The price of copper has increased by around 15% in the past year, but it has been unable to break through the $10,000 psychological barrier. Base metals rallied along with other markets after U.S. jobless claims surged on Thursday, confirming the belief that Federal Reserve would cut interest rates. "I thought the consensus was for a quarter point cut, but I now think that it could be more." "I think the market has been lifted by this, and the bullish mood helped copper," Robert Montefusco of broker Sucden Financial said. CTAs bought dips below $10,000 and pushed it higher. The Chinese came in overnight and that got us started. Commodity Trade Advisor investment funds (CTAs) are driven primarily by computer programs that use technical signals. The Shanghai Futures Exchange's most-traded copper contract gained 1.22%, to 81.060 yuan (11,384.67) per ton. Supply concerns also supported prices. The massive Grasberg Copper Mine in Indonesia, one of the largest copper mines in the world, remained closed on Friday while the search for trapped workers continued. In July, copper production in Peru, which is the third largest copper producer in the world, dropped 2% on an annual basis to 228,007 tons. Nickel was the biggest gainer on LME. It climbed 1.3% to $15,340 per ton in official activity after a taskforce in Indonesia, the world's top nickel producer, seized large plots of land from miners as part of a crackdown against illegal exploitation. Lead was up by 0.1% to $1,998 while tin increased 0.2% to $34,750. Click here to see the latest news in metals.
OPEC+ has oil rate and demand issues. It needs to resolve demand: Russell
OPEC+ has two issues and two services.
The very first problem is that petroleum costs are too low for the comfort of most of the members of the group, which pulls together the Company of the Petroleum Exporting Countries ( OPEC) and its allies consisting of Russia.
The 2nd issue is that unrefined demand has up until now dissatisfied the rather positive forecasts made by OPEC for 2024 growth.
The very first solution is for OPEC+ to amaze the marketplace and change its mind on increasing output from the fourth quarter onwards.
The second solution is to increase output as planned, allow additional cost weak point and trust that gradually the lower cost of the crucial product that powers the global economy will result in faster development and increasing need.
Up until now the signs are that the very first option is off the table, with sources within the OPEC+ group informing Reuters last week that they still intend to go on with alleviating their production curbs.
Eight OPEC+ members are arranged to enhance output by 180,000 barrels each day (bpd) in October, the very first stage of relaxing production cuts of 2.2 million bpd, which is around 2% of international day-to-day need.
When the group announced the decision to begin increasing output from October, it was against a background of widespread forecasts of strong need growth for the rest of 2024, largely led by a healing in China, the world's top crude-importing nation.
The initial response to the OPEC+ statement was slightly bullish for unrefined rates, with worldwide benchmark Brent futures increasing from a six-month low of $76.76 a barrel on June 4 to reach $87.85 on July 5.
However since then the rate has actually trended downwards, with Brent moving to $78.80 a barrel at the close on Aug. 30. The weak point continued on the very first trading day of September, with the cost dropping as low as $76.23 during Asian trade on Monday.
What has changed is that there is no genuine indication of any acceleration in import demand in China, and even more broadly in Asia, while concerns have actually increased about slowing economies across Europe and North America.
The most current monthly report from OPEC did go a small method to recognising the weak point in demand growth, with the group paring its 2024 projection to 2.11 million bpd, down a modest 140,000 bpd from its previous expectation.
OPEC still expects China to offer 700,000 bpd of the overall international demand development, a forecast that looks increasingly out of touch with the realities of the physical market.
China's crude imports dropped to 9.97 million bpd in July, the lowest daily because September 2022, and below June's 11.3 million bpd.
For the very first seven months of the year, unrefined imports were 10.90 million bpd, down 2.9% from the 11.22 million bpd over the same duration in 2023.
This suggests that China's oil imports are about 320,000 bpd lower in the very first 7 months of 2024 compared to the very same period last year.
LONG-LASTING HOPE
It appears significantly not likely that China will fulfill OPEC's. expectations, and it likewise seems improbable that the rest of the. world will see need growth in line with the manufacturer group's. projections.
If demand development does disappoint OPEC's expectations, where. does that leave the producer group and its allies within OPEC+. as far as output policy goes.
The short-term alternative is to try and surprise the marketplace by. deserting the dedication to alleviate production curbs from October.
This might have the immediate impact of boosting costs by. squeezing brief positions in the paper market.
But any boost will likely be short-lived before the focus. returns to the state of demand and the environment of uncertainty. in numerous parts of the world, consisting of the Middle East and what's. shaping up to be a tightly-contested presidential election in. the United States.
It may be the much better option for OPEC+ to take a somewhat. longer term view and put up with lower crude costs in the. interim.
If the group does lift output as prepared from October. onwards and demand does continue to dissatisfy, it's most likely that. oil rates will come under additional down pressure.
However this may wind up being an advantage insofar as lower. rates will assist inflation rates to alleviate, which in turn will. motivate more global central banks to reduce monetary policy.
This in turn will help financial development to recuperate, which. will lead to stronger oil demand growth.
Lower rates might also assist curb some supply, specifically. high-cost shale oil in the United States.
Whether OPEC+ is prepared to endure lower prices for a. period of six months to a year stays to be seen.
But the existing strategy of cutting output hasn't resulted. in rates increasing as much as the group most likely would have hoped.
Rather it has actually kept rates higher than they most likely should. be for the state of the worldwide economy, and also likely worked. versus a faster bounce back for world growth.
The viewpoints expressed here are those of the author, a writer. .
(source: Reuters)