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MORNING BID EUROPE-No holiday for US core inflation

A look at the day ahead in European and international markets from Wayne Cole.

It's been a sluggish start to what will be a holiday-shortened week for numerous centres, though that will not stop the U.S. from releasing the Federal Reserve's favoured inflation measure on Friday even as markets there are shut. The U.S. core personal intake expenses (PCE) price index is seen increasing 0.3% in February, which would keep the yearly speed at 2.8%. The heading index is seen up 0.4% for the month and 2.4% for the year.

Anything greater would be taken as an obstacle to wish for a. Fed rate cut in June, which was put back on the menu last week. when Fed chair Jerome Powell sounded relaxed on the inflation. outlook.

Futures have a June easing implied at 75%, from 55%. a week previously, and have three to 4 cuts priced in for the. year.

Powell will participate in a moderated discussion at a. policy conference on Friday, while Fed guvs Lisa Cook and. Christopher Waller are also appearing today.

Following the surprise move by the Swiss National Bank (SNB). recently, markets are practically fully priced for a very first rate cut. from the ECB in June and have 91 basis points of reducing. pencilled in for 2024.

Europe has its own inflation tests today with customer. price data out from France, Italy, Belgium and Spain, ahead of. the general EU CPI report on April 3.

ECB President Lagarde is speaking later Monday and may. offer more guidance on whether the marketplace has it right.

One of the more hawkish Bank of England members is. talking later Monday and may have something to say about the. market's 76% possibility for a June cut.

Sweden's reserve bank satisfies on Wednesday and is generally. expected to keep rates at 4.0%, though the abrupt shift by the. SNB suggests a surprise can not be ruled out.

The People's Bank of China (PBOC) sprang a surprise of its. own last week by relatively letting the yuan fall past 7.2 per. dollar to a four-month low, though it set a firmer. repair on Monday likely as a protest versus too sharp a fall.

That sufficed to pull the dollar back to 7.2000 yuan. , from 7.2290. It likewise reduced a discuss the yen, in. part as Japan's top currency official was out warning against. severe relocations ahead of the 152.00 barrier where they stepped in. in the past.

Secret advancements that could affect markets on Monday:

- Involvement by ECB President Christine Lagarde at. EIB Group Climate and Environment Advisory Council

- Bank of England Monetary Policy Committee member Catherine. Mann offers a speech

- UK CBI Distributive Trades for March

- Fed Board Governor Lisa Cook gives lecture

- Fed Bank of Chicago President Austan Goolsbee is. interviewed on Yahoo Finance

- Fed Bank of Atlanta President Raphael Bostic takes part. in moderated conversation

- Data on U.S. February brand-new home sales, Chicago Fed activity. index, Dallas Fed index

(source: Reuters)