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China, India increase seaborne thermal coal imports as power demand rises: Russell

China and India lifted imports of seaborne thermal coal to threemonth highs in March as the world's 2 biggest purchasers took advantage of lower global prices of the fuel to meet strong domestic power demand.

China, the world's greatest coal producer and importer, saw arrivals of seaborne thermal coal of 29.7 million metric heaps in March, according to information put together by product analysts Kpler.

This was up from 23.03 million loads in February and was likewise greater than the 28.62 million in March 2023.

For the first quarter, China's seaborne imports of the grade of coal used mainly to create electrical power were 80.64 million lots, up 17.2% from the 68.82 million tape-recorded in the same duration in 2023.

The strength in China's imports is being driven by a. mix of strong development in power need and by seaborne. costs being competitive with domestic coal.

Official information revealed China's power consumption was 11%. greater in January and February this year compared to the exact same. months in 2023, and power generation rose 6.9% in 2023,. outmatching the 5.2% growth rate for the economy as a whole.

China's electricity demand is being enhanced by a range of. factors, including increasing electrification of the car. fleet, higher need from a/c unit and home appliances, and. increased electrification of industrial processes, such as some. kinds of smelting.

A drop in hydropower output amidst drought has actually also increased. fossil fuel generation, primarily coal-fired, further. lifting demand for the fuel.

China's domestic coal prices have likewise stayed reasonably. high with thermal coal at Qinhuangdao << SH-QHA-TRMCOAL > ending at. 825> yuan ($ 114) a load on Monday.

While this is down from a recent peak of 940 yuan on Feb. 27, the prices of seaborne grades popular in China have likewise. been decreasing.

Australian coal with an energy content of 5,500 kilocalories. per kilogram (kcal/kg), as assessed by. product price reporting firm Argus, slipped to $87.37 a load. in the week to March 28, down from the current high of $96.66 in. the seven days to March 1.

Indonesian coal with an energy content of 4,200 kcal/kg. ended recently at $55.70 a heap, down from the. recent high of $58.17 from the week to March 8.

Even allowing for freight costs, Chinese import responsibilities and. differences in energy content, imported seaborne grades are. presently a little less expensive than domestic supplies, specifically. for energies in China's southeast.

The competitiveness of seaborne grades can be seen in. China's imports, with arrivals of 20.24 million lots of. Indonesian thermal coal in March, up from 16.96 million in. February.

Imports of Australian thermal coal struck a three-month high of. 5.08 million tons in March, up from 3.45 million in February.

INDIA STRENGTH

It's a similar story for India, where robust development in power. demand is fuelling coal imports, which reached 15.21 million. lots in March, up from 14.09 million in February and 13.41. million in March 2023, according to Kpler.

First quarter thermal coal imports were 42.79 million tons,. up 23.8% from the 34.57 million in the same duration a year. earlier.

Coal demand is most likely to remain elevated in India as the. South Asian country braces for more heatwave days than normal. between April and June.

In the 2nd quarter, different parts of the nation could. record 10 to 20 heatwave days compared to the normal 4 to. eight days, Mrutyunjay Mohapatra, director-general of the India. Meteorological Department, told a virtual press conference on. Monday.

India's top provider of seaborne thermal coal is Indonesia. with March arrivals of 10.23 million loads being the greatest in. 4 months.

Australia isn't a major provider of thermal coal to India,. with most of the coal trade in between the two countries being. metallurgical coal, which is used to make steel.

However, it's worth keeping in mind that U.S. materials to India have. been increasing, with March imports at a three-month high of. 1.10 million loads and an estimated 1.62 million anticipated to. get here in April, which would be a record high.

At the very same time, India's imports of Russian thermal coal. have been slipping, with March arrivals of 730,000 lots being. the lowest considering that November.

A combination of Western sanctions on shipping and issues. over the security of transiting the Red Sea has actually boosted the landed. rate of Russian coal in India.

The opinions revealed here are those of the author, a columnist. .

(source: Reuters)