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Australia provides nickel a fast fix, however surgical treatment of global market required: Russell

Australia is throwing a lifeline to its under pressure nickel mining sector, however the solution on offer is more of a band aid than the needed significant surgical treatment, the sculpting of the global nickel industry into dirty and green.

Resources Minister Madeleine King positioned nickel on the critical minerals list, a relocation that enables the market to access some of the A$ 4 billion ($ 2.7 billion) of federal government funding targeted at promoting minerals important to energy transition.

The worldwide nickel price is forecast to remain fairly low through 2024, and most likely for a number of years to come up until the surplus of nickel in the market is remedied, King stated in a Feb. 16 declaration.

In the meantime, this puts further Australian nickel operations at danger, she stated, including that 6 operating nickel facilities in the country have either announced cuts to output or gone into care and upkeep because December.

Australia is the world's fifth-largest manufacturer of nickel ore and the recent decline in prices has actually rendered much of the market unprofitable.

BHP Group, the world's biggest mining business, said on Feb. 15 it will record a $2.5 billion non-cash impairment charge on its nickel company in Western Australia state.

The worldwide benchmark nickel cost on the London Metal Exchange (LME) ended at $16,356 a metric heap on Feb. 16, up 3.2% from the low up until now this year of $15,850 on Feb. 7.

That low was the weakest price because April 2021 and LME nickel has been in a continual drop since reaching $33,575. a lot on Dec. 8, 2022.

An increase in supply from Indonesia has cratered prices, as. the South East Asian nation successfully improved production of. improved and semi-refined nickel, largely on the back of an. export ban on raw ore, which in turn caused massive investment. from China in new processing plants.

It's here where the nickel problem lies.

HOW TO SPLIT THE MARKET

Currently about 65% of nickel is used to make stainless. steel, but this percentage is anticipated to decrease in coming. years as more of the metal is used in batteries required to drive. the switch to electrical cars and eco-friendly power generation. with storage back up.

Much of the nickel produced in Indonesia is emissions. intensive, with coal-fired power the essential of the. energy-hungry smelting procedure.

What Australia requires is a bifurcation of the global nickel. industry, with a split between nickel that is produced with low. climate effect and that which is not.

In other words, the greener nickel will require to command a. rate premium over the dirtier metal produced in Indonesia and. turned into items like batteries in China.

The problem is how to cause what effectively will be a. two-tier market, and who will pay the unavoidable rate premium?

The LME shows no hurry to implement a two-tier system for. nickel, or certainly for other metals.

End users of energy transition metals such as automobile. manufacturers also appear unwilling to go down this course.

This is understandable from their viewpoint. It would. likely be an extremely difficult sell on a display room flooring to persuade a. prospective consumer to pay several thousand dollars additional for an. similar cars and truck made with green metals.

This means that federal governments, particularly those in developed. Western countries, will likely need to drive the change.

Australia's moves to support its nickel miners is a. short-term fix, and a longer-term option is required.

This is something King is aware of, and she stated Australia. is progressing important discussions with international. equivalents in the U.S., Canada and the E.U. to make sure the high. requirements applied in Australian mining and production of nickel. and other vital minerals are shown in future pricing on. global markets.

The above quote is government-speak for establishing a system. of taxation, carbon and policy expenses to drive up expenses for. Australia's dirtier mining rivals and blunt China's. producing heft.

In some ways, the Western world needs to choose if it truly. does want to construct an energy transition supply chain that has a. low environment impact and largely cuts China out.

It has to work out how if it does make that choice. it is paid for.

Ultimately it will fall on customers one method or another. The. trick is to either encourage the general public that this is a good. thing, or do it in such a method that they do not see.

The opinions revealed here are those of the author, a writer. .

(source: Reuters)