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Oil prices drop as the market evaluates Middle East tension

Oil prices fell on Thursday, reversing gains earlier in the Asian session. Market participants analyzed a U.S. move to remove personnel from the Middle East before talks with Iran about its nuclear activities.

Brent crude futures fell 30 cents or 0.4% to $69.47 a bar at 0433 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate Crude was 23 cents or 0.3% lower at $67.92 a bar.

Brent and WTI both rose more than 4% the day before, reaching their highest levels since early April.

Donald Trump, the U.S. president, said that the U.S. is moving personnel to the Middle East because it "could become a dangerous area". He said that the United States will not allow Iran to possess a nuclear device. Iran claims its nuclear activities are peaceful.

The increased tensions with Iran have raised the possibility of oil supply disruption. Both sides will meet on Sunday.

The rise in Brent oil prices to above $70 per barrel is overdone. The U.S. did not identify any specific threats regarding an Iranian attack, said Vivek Dahar, director of Mining and Energy Commodities Research at Commonwealth Bank Australia.

Dhar stated that the response from Iran depends only on U.S. escalated,

He said: "A price pullback makes sense. But a geopolitical bonus that keeps Brent at $65 per barrel is likely to persist until more clarity about U.S. nuclear talks with Iran is revealed."

U.S. sources and Iraqi ones reported that the U.S. was preparing to evacuate its Iraqi Embassy and allow dependents of military personnel to leave Middle East locations due to the increased security risks in the region.

Iraq is the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries' second largest crude oil producer, after Saudi Arabia.

A U.S. official confirmed that military dependents could also leave Bahrain.

Kelvin Wong, senior market analyst at OANDA, says that prices have weakened after hitting key technical resistance levels in Wednesday's rally. Some market participants also bet on a reduction of tension following the U.S.Iran meeting scheduled for Sunday.

Trump has said repeatedly that the U.S. will bomb Iran if both countries are unable to reach an agreement regarding Iran's nuclear activities, including uranium enrichment.

Aziz Nasirzadeh, Iran's Minister for Defense on Wednesday, said that Iran would strike U.S. military bases in the area if negotiations fail or if the U.S. starts a conflict.

Steve Witkoff, the U.S. Special Representative for Iran, plans to meet with Abbas Araghchi on Sunday in Oman to discuss Iran's reaction to a U.S. deal proposal.

Analysts at ANZ say that despite Trump's statements, the chances of a deal disappearing are decreasing. Trump said he was less confident in his ability to convince Iran to cease its nuclear activities.

The Energy Information Administration reported that U.S. crude oil inventories dropped 3.6 million barrels, to 432.4 millions barrels, last week. The analysts polled had predicted a drawdown of 2 million barrels. Reporting by Arathy S. Somasekhar, in Houston; Emily Chow, in Singapore. Editing by Sonali Paul & Christopher Cushing

(source: Reuters)