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The price of oil is expected to fall for the second consecutive week

Early Friday trading saw oil prices fall and they were expected to close lower than last week as the prospects for a Russia-Ukraine deal outweighed concerns about supply disruptions due to a blockade on venezuelan tankers.

Brent crude futures were down 9 cents or 0.2% to $59.73 a barge by 0111 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude traded 16 cents or 0.3% less at $55.99 a barge. Both benchmarks are down over 2% on a weekly basis.

Donald Trump, the U.S. president, said on Thursday that he believed talks to end the?war? in Ukraine were "getting closer to something". This is ahead of an upcoming U.S.-Russian?officials meeting this weekend.

It was not clear, in the case of the second potential geopolitical trigger, how the U.S. could enforce Trump's declaration to blockade oil tankers that enter and leave Venezuela (which?makes 1%?of global supply) under sanctions. The U.S. Coast Guard seized an oil tanker from Venezuela in a historic move last week.

Tony Sycamore, IG analyst, said on Friday that "uncertainty about enforcement details and the optimism of a possible U.S. led Ukraine peace deal (are) easing supply concerns in global markets and reducing geopolitical risks premiums."

Analysts say that further measures against Russian oil may pose a greater risk to supply than Trump's Venezuelan?blockade on tankers.

According to sources familiar with Venezuelan oil export operations, Venezuela authorized on Thursday two very large crude carriers that were not sanctioned by the country?to sail towards China.

Analysts at the Bank of America predict that the lower oil price will reduce the supply of oil, preventing a freefall in prices.

Sycamore, IG's analyst, said that a rally above the resistance level of $56.70-$56.90ish could strengthen the argument that the selloff this week to the $54.98 bottom was a false breakdown lower.

"Conversely a break under $54.98/90ish will reignite the downside momentum and target the psychological $50.00 threshold." (Reporting and Editing by Shri Navaratnam).

(source: Reuters)