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Investors prepare bids for CXMT's $8.6 Billion IPO, aiming to jump in valuation

Chinese investors who are interested in CXMT’s $8.6billion IPO believe that the chipmaker’s value will increase ten-fold following its Shanghai debut, thanks to an AI-driven upcycle and Beijing’s ambition to become technologically independent.

CXMT or ChangXin Memory Technologies will be Asia's largest share sale this year. It comes at a time when Beijing wants to be independent in the semiconductor industry amid a fierce tech rivalry between the U.S.

Wu Zhou, a Shenzhen Deyuan Investment fund manager, has said he'll bid on new CXMT share, betting China's leading memory chipmaker can one day overtake global giants such as South Korea's Samsung Electronics or SK Hynix.

Wu said that CXMT's value will likely reach 3 trillion yuan (443.33 billion dollars) and even 5 trillion yuan after listing... adding that whoever wins lottery portion of IPO subscription will be able to make money.

This compares to an IPO 'valuation' of 579.18 bn yuan, after the company priced its offering on Tuesday at 8.66 yuan per share. Retail and institutional investors will have one day to subscribe for the IPO - Thursday.

According to sources with knowledge of the situation, its listing in Shanghai will take place on July 27. The sources declined to name themselves publicly as they were not authorized to speak with the media. CXMT has not yet officially revealed its debut schedule, despite the fact that it did not respond to requests for comment.

Wu believes CXMT - China's largest maker of dynamic random access memory (DRAM), used in smartphones, servers, computer and other electronic devices - will "become a global giant", after a capacity expansion that is driven by AI.

"If you look at Micron, Samsung and SK Hynix, they are all trillion-dollar-class companies despite the recent volatility," said Eddie Tam, ?chief investment officer at Hong Kong's Central Asset Investments.

CXMT - is the fourth largest DRAM manufacturer in the world behind SK Hynix, Samsung Electronics, and Micron.

Tam stated that CXMT's IPO price is very low, even though China has been lagging behind the top players in DRAM technology and high-bandwidth memories (HBMs) for two to four years. He believes CXMT shares will "surge multiple-fold" in their first day of trading.

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Yao Kai, fund manager of Shanghai Zhuangyan Private Fund Management said he would also bid on CXMT shares "to test luck", but is concerned that the listing may knock other tech stocks down.

CXMT’s public offering is the largest by a Chinese chipmaker and represents Beijing’s latest attempt to channel capital to strategic industries vital to its rivalry against Washington.

The company was designated by the U.S. Department of Defense as a 'Chinese Military Company' under the Biden Administration. It has stated that it intends to use the proceeds of the IPO to upgrade production and technology.

According to a?filing made on Tuesday, if the over-allotment for the IPO was fully exercised, gross profits would reach approximately 66.6 billion yuan.

"I will definitely subscribe for CXMT share. "It's a given," said Shanghai-based investment Chen Zhi. He added that the odds of winning shares are slim because China uses a lottery system to distribute new stock.

CXMT released a statement Wednesday stating that the IPO price valued CXMT at more than 300 times the earnings for 2025 and approximately 5 times the book value.

Some investors are concerned about the high?values of semiconductors, while others dismiss them, citing the booming demand for memories chips.

Semiconductor manufacturing International Corp., China's largest contract chipmaker was listed in Shanghai on July 2020. The stock price almost halved in less than two months from its initial listing.

Investors are putting their trust in CXMT’s earnings growth for the time being.

CXMT reported a first-quarter revenue of 50.8 billion yuan. This is up 700% compared to a previous year. It also recorded a 25 billion yuan net profit, compared to a loss of 1.6 million yuan a year earlier, according its prospectus.

Fund manager Wu believes CXMT will reach a profit of 100 billion yuan in this year.

He said that the demand for memory will increase due to the rapid adoption of driverless cars and robots, as well as AI-based personal computers.

(source: Reuters)