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JPMorgan M&A global head Aiyengar says rising risks to drive surge in deals

Anu 'Aiyengar', JPMorgan Global Head of Advisory & M&A told a reporter that dealmakers will have another banner year - 2026 - with a record amount of deals on the way. CEOs are seeking the safety and scale of a large company to help them weather the mounting geopolitical and economic risks. Anu?Aiyengar, JPMorgan's Global Head of Advisory and M&A, said in an interview that last year saw the second highest amount of M&A deals ever, totaling $5.1 trillion. This was despite the stomach-churning gyrations caused by President Donald Trump’s changing trade policies, as well as a government shut down that stopped U.S. initial public offerings for over six weeks.

Aiyengar stated, "We live in a world with a wide range of shocks and shock sources."

"It is technology disruption, AI, supply chain risk, geopolitical risks, oil, energy, all of it."

Trump's second tenure has brought about a new era where policy changes that were once unheard of now present a daily challenge to corporate CEOs. U.S.-China and Russia relations remain volatile, as the Trump Administration launches risky and dramatic military operations. These include an attack on the?Iran nuclear facilities last summer and a military campaign in Venezuela which ousted Venezuela's president. Trump is facing increasing protests at home after ICE agents 'killed' a 37-year old Minneapolis woman on Wednesday. This was the day he vowed not to allow defense contractors to buy back their stock if they didn’t speed up weapons production. Aiyengar stated that "if you're running a business, the amount of information you have to deal with and process is immense... no one could actually deal with it and come up wth perfect answers."

She added, "Companies with scale can withstand this level of volatility because they have more levers at their disposal." Economic and political uncertainty are driving deals to get bigger. According to LSEG data, there were 68 record deals worth $10 billion and more in 2018, which is twice as many as 2024. JPMorgan ranked second in global M&A last year. In global M&A, last year, JPMorgan ranked No. Glencore confirmed on Thursday that it was in the early stages of talks with Rio Tinto to acquire its metals mining business. This could create the largest miner in the world.

Rio Tinto, the world's largest iron ore mining company, is worth approximately $142 billion. Glencore was valued at $65?billion as of the latest stock market closing.

She said that commodities will continue to be a sector to watch in this year along with energy and technology. She added that consumer and healthcare companies were also interested in various tie-ups.

She said that in the past, the M&A activity was driven by the optimism of the economy and excess capital. But this time, boardrooms look at larger combinations to survive the rising political turmoil, AI disruptions, economic uncertainty, and market volatility.

It reflects the mood. You don't wish to be left behind. "You know that there will be a lot of shots and volatility coming at you." (Reporting from Dawn Kopecki & Edmund Klamann).

(source: Reuters)