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Speculators and a weak dollar push copper prices to a three-month high

The copper price rose to its highest level in almost three months on Friday, driven by the weakening dollar, supply concerns and speculators buying after technical levels had been broken.

The price of three-month copper at the London Metal Exchange rose 1.6%, to $9,867 per metric ton, by 1000 GMT. This was its highest since March 28.

Alastair M. Munro is a senior metals analyst at Marex. He said, "What's key for us is the dollar weakness, and that it is trending downward, which is supportive of our space."

The dollar index fell to its lowest level since early 2022, as fears about the future independence and soundness of monetary policy in the United States undermined confidence.

The dollar is weaker, making commodities priced in U.S. dollars less expensive for buyers of other currencies.

The LME Cash Copper Contract Premium for the Three-Month The price of a ton rose to $200 from $101 on Tuesday, but was down from $280 a day earlier. This is the highest it has been since November 2021.

While traders expected deliveries of copper to LME warehouses would ease the tight situation, these have yet to materialise.

Munro stated that the market was still short of offers for July.

He noted that the Chinese were buying copper in large quantities. Long positions and open interest on the Shanghai Futures Exchange are also increasing.

The ShFE copper contract most traded rose 0.6%, to 11 022,74 yuan per tonne, its highest level since June 11.

A trader stated that the LME copper price has been below $9,800 for several months. The break above this level on Thursday resulted in automatic buy orders.

LME copper is up 22% from its low of $8,105 (November 2023) in April.

U.S. Comex Copper Futures rose 2.7% to $5.05 per lb. This brings the premium of Comex to LME copper up to $1,277 per ton. It is now at its highest level since April 28.

The expectation of U.S. steel tariffs triggering a surge in metal into Comex warehouses is what has caused the higher copper prices.

Other metals include LME aluminium, which rose by 0.5% to 2,575 per ton. Lead gained 0.6%, nickel increased 0.8%, zinc rose 1.4%, and tin climbed 0.6%. (Reporting and editing by Frances Kerry. $1 = 7.1670 Chinese Yuan)

(source: Reuters)