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Where does the US obtain its copper?
On Tuesday, U.S. president Donald Trump said that he would be announcing a new initiative. Imports of copper are subject to a 50% tariff Later in the day, a global industry, whose output is crucial for electric vehicles, military equipment, semiconductors, and a variety of consumer goods, was surprised. Trump had a February election. Ordered a Probe As part of efforts by the United States to rebuild its production of copper, there is a deadline of November for possible tariffs. The investigation, which was meant to evaluate the imports of copper concentrates, copper scrap, and copper alloys, was still ongoing. The U.S. Commerce Department's Howard Lutnick announced on Tuesday that the duties will likely be implemented by the end or August 1 of this year. What you should know about U.S. Copper Imports US IMPORTS Just over half of the refined copper that is consumed in the United States each year is produced domestically. Over two-thirds are mined in Arizona where the construction of a new massive mine has been held up for over a decade. The remainder of refined copper is imported, which amounts to just under 1 million metric tonnes per year. The White House has framed these new tariffs to counter China's dominance on the global market. However, in reality the United States imports the majority of its refined copper products from the Americas. According to the United States Geological Survey, more than 90% (90%) of copper refined imports were made by Chile, Canada, and Peru last year. GLOBAL PRODUCTION China is the world's largest copper refiner, but it gets most of its ore from Latin America. According to the USGS, Chile and Peru mined a combined third of global cobalt last year. China, however, is increasing its influence over the world copper mining industry through its major investment in mines located in the Democratic Republic of the Congo. Due to massive Chinese investments in the African nation's mining industry, the DRC has now overtaken Peru as the second largest copper producer in the world. The Chinese copper sector dwarfs the rest. Last year, the country operated dozens of copper-smelters. According to the USGS, there are only two primary copper-smelters in the United States.
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Stocks almost flat, yen continues to fall; Trump expands trade war
The major stock indexes showed little change on Tuesday, as investors digested Donald Trump's latest tariff announcement. Meanwhile, the yen continued to fall against the dollar due to planned 25% duties for goods coming from Japan. Trump expanded his global trade battle on Tuesday by announcing a tariff of 50% on imported copper and announcing that long-threatened duties on semiconductors, pharmaceuticals, and other goods would be coming soon. Freeport-McMoRan shares were up by 4%. Trump wrote to 14 countries on Monday, including Japan and South Korea. He warned that the United States would impose a sharply increased tariff rate for imports starting August 1. The market has not reacted as strongly as it did in the wake of Trump's announcement on tariffs in April. Market watchers predict that countries will seek to reach trade agreements with the United States prior to the new deadline. Sources said that European stocks held steady, and the European Union would not receive a letter outlining higher tariffs. The EU could also reach a deal with the United States by Wednesday. It's a slow day. Yesterday (Monday), people digested tariff news, and we noticed weakness. "People are on hold until second-quarter earnings start," said Peter Tuz of Chase Investment Counsel, Charlottesville, Virginia. S&P 500 companies are soon to report results for the quarter ending June 30. The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 156.46, or 0.35% to 44,249.90. The S&P 500 fell by 2.88, or 0.05% to 6,226.88. And the Nasdaq Composite grew by 13.72, or 0.07% to 20,426.23. The MSCI index of global stocks rose by 0.03 points, to 919.96. The pan-European STOXX 600 ended the day up by 0.41%. The hope of trade agreements boosted risk appetite on Tuesday, as MSCI’s broadest Asia-Pacific index outside Japan rose by 0.5%. Japan’s Nikkei recovered from its early losses and ended the day 0.26% higher. Southeast Asia's largest economies are facing some of the highest U.S. Tariffs. South Korean shares posted their biggest daily gain in the past two weeks, and the won strengthened by 0.4%. Since Trump in April capped what he termed reciprocal tariffs for trading partners to 10% for three-months, allowing for negotiation, the lack of progress has been a looming shadow over the markets. Two agreements have been made, with Britain, and Vietnam. In June, Washington and China reached an agreement on tariff rates. The minutes of the Federal Reserve's last meeting will be published on Wednesday. The central bank is taking a wait and see approach to monetary policies. The export-dependent Japanese currency, the yen, has fallen to a two-week-low of 146.65 against the dollar. It also fell against other currencies. The dollar gained 0.46% against the Japanese yen to reach 146.69. The Australian dollar rose as the central bank of Australia defied expectations by keeping its cash rate at 3.85%. The yield on the benchmark U.S. 10 year notes increased by 2.2 basis points to 4.417% from 4.395% on Monday. U.S. crude oil rose by 40 cents, settling at $68.33 per barrel. Brent settled at $70.15 a barrel, an increase of 57 cents.
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Rescue teams find three additional bodies following central Texas flooding
According to Kerr County officials, the death toll has risen to 87 as three more bodies were recovered by search and rescue teams in the hills of central Texas that had been ravaged by floods. Teams from the federal government, states adjacent to Kerr County, and Mexico have joined efforts in search of survivors. The local effort has been hampered by downpours and thunderstorms. The teams are working through the missing persons lists and have yet to find a survivor since Friday. At least 109 people, including dozens children, have died in the floods. At a press conference, Lieutenant Colonel Ben Baker from the Texas Game Wardens stated that the work was extremely dangerous and time-consuming. It's dirty. "The water is still there." The Guadalupe River was flooded by torrential rains that began before dawn Friday. It burst through its banks, killing dozens of people and leaving behind piles of trees, debris and cars. The local and federal emergency officials were questioned for days about whether or not they could have warned the flood-prone Texas Hill Country residents sooner. Sheriff Larry Leitha announced at a Kerr County press conference that 56 adults and 30 kids have died in the county. More than two dozen other victims are still unidentified. Authorities are still unsure if the 87th person is an adult or a child. Some flood victims slept at Camp Mystic near Hunt, a riverside Christian summer camp for girls. Five children and one counselor were still missing on Tuesday. The sheriff refused to answer questions regarding emergency management and preparedness in the county. He also declined to reveal who was responsible for monitoring weather alerts, issuing flood warnings or evacuation orders and distributing a flood order. He said that his office began receiving 911 calls at 4 am and 5 am on Friday morning, several hours after a local National Weather Service station had issued a flood alert. Leitha explained that they were in the process "of trying to put together" a timeline. According to local media and sheriffs, the floods have killed another 22 people. Seven of them were in Travis County; seven in Kendall County; five in Burnett County; two in Williamson County; and one in Tom Green County. A spokesperson for Republican President Donald Trump confirmed that he plans to visit the region devastated by flooding this week. Democrats in Washington are calling for an investigation to determine if the Trump administration's cuts at the National Weather Service impacted the agency's response. (Reporting from Jonathan Allen in New York, Rich McKay and Deepababington in Atlanta. Editing by Rod Nickel & Deepababington).
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EIA: US natgas production and demand will reach record highs by 2025 before declining in 2026
The U.S. Energy Information Administration's (EIA) Short-Term Energy Outlook, released on Tuesday, predicted that the U.S. Natural Gas output and demand would both reach record highs by 2025. However, they will then decline in 2026. EIA projects that dry gas production will increase from 103.2 billion cubic feet per day in 2024, to 105.9 in 2025, before slipping to 105.4 in 2026. This compares to a record of 103.6 bcfd for 2023. The agency also predicted that domestic gas consumption will rise from 90.5 bcfd, a record in 2024, to 91.4bcfd by 2025 and then ease back to 91.1bcfd by 2026. The EIA's June forecast of 105.9 billion cubic feet per day for supply in 2025 has not changed, but its July forecast is higher than the 91.3 billion cubic feet per day forecast. The agency predicted that average U.S. LNG exports will reach 14.6 billion cubic feet per day (bcfd) in 2025, and 16.0 billion cubic feet per day in 2026. This is up from 11.9 bcfd at a record in 2024. The EIA predicted that U.S. coal output would increase from 512.1 million short tonnes in 2024 - the lowest level since 1964 - to 519.9 millions tons in 2020, before dropping to 475.1million tons in 2030, the lowest level since 1962. EIA predicted that carbon dioxide (CO2) emission from fossil fuels will rise from a low of 4,777 billion metric tonnes in 2024, to 4.836 in 2025, as oil, gas and coal use increases. Then, the emissions would ease to 4.775 in 2026, as oil, gas and coal use decreases. (Reporting and Editing by Franklin Paul, David Gregorio and Scott DiSavino)
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Second quarter copper production at Ivanhoe Congo Mine jumps
Ivanhoe Mines said that its production at the Kamoa-Kakula Mine in the Democratic Republic of Congo increased by 11% on an annual basis to 112,009 tons of copper during the second quarter. The output increased despite the seismic problems that disrupted operation earlier this year. The Canadian miner resumed its operations in June, and reduced its production guidance for 2025 by almost 30%. It now expects to produce between 370,000 and 420,000 tonnes. Open Mineral's Senior Africa Commercial Officer, Zack Hartwanger said: "Ivanhoe’s rapid ramp-up, and its steady outlook, underscore Kamoa Kakula's status as one of the world's lowest-cost, high-margin producers of copper." Robert Friedland, Ivanhoe's Executive Co-Chairman, said that "operational recovery plans" are in full swing at Kamoa/Kakula. Ivanhoe started mining low-grade areas in the western part of Kakula. It is currently producing ore that contains 3-4% copper. A two-stage dewatering program has been implemented to gain access to the eastern sections. According to the statement, mining operations on the west side resumed in early June and ramped up to 300,000.00 tons per month by the middle of June. The company announced that it would invest $70 million into high-capacity infrastructure for de-watering, and five submersible pump will arrive from China in the next month. Ivanhoe stated that mining in areas with a higher grade of copper (approximately 5%) on the western side would resume by the end of this year. The operational turnaround comes as Kamoa-Kakula prepares for the September ramp up of its 500,000-ton-per-annum copper concentrate facility. The first anode is expected to be produced in October. The facility will change the operation from an exporter of concentrates to a producer 99.7% pure Copper Anodes, according to the company. The Kamoa Kakula Complex is one of the largest copper mines in the world, and crucial to global supply due to the rising demand for energy transition metal. The copper price has risen by more than 8% this year in comparison to the same time last year. Yassin Kombi reported. Maxwell Akalaare Adombila contributed to the reporting and writing. Editing by Pratima Deai and Mark Potter.
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WGC reports that gold ETFs attracted the largest inflow for five years in the first half of 2025.
The World Gold Council reported that from January to June, physical gold exchange traded funds experienced their biggest semi-annual inflows since the first half 2020. Investors sought refuge from political and economic instability in gold ETFs after a trade war was sparked by President Donald Trump's tariff policies. These ETFs account for the majority of demand for precious metals. After three years of high interest rate outflows, the active first half of 2024 follows a modest inflow of net funds into gold ETFs. The WGC, a global industry group whose members are gold miners, reported that gold ETFs had an inflow in the first half 2025 of $38 billion. Their collective holdings increased by 397.1 tons of gold. The total amount of grain held by the end June was the highest since August 2022. The previous record was 3,915 tonnes in October 2020. According to the WGC, U.S. listed funds led inflows with 206.8 tonnes in the first six months, while Asia listed funds attracted 104.3 tons. The WGC reported that "despite slowing momentum in June and May, Asian investors purchased a record amount gold ETFs for the first half of this year, contributing a staggering 28% of net global flows, with only 9% the total assets managed around the globe." The spot gold price is up 26% in this year after hitting a record of $3,500 an ounce per troy. (Reporting and editing by Rod Nickel; Polina Devlin)
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Investors react to tariff developments as stocks and yen continue to fall.
The major stock indexes were little altered on Tuesday, as investors digested Donald Trump's latest tariff announcement. Meanwhile, the yen continued its decline against the dollar due to planned 25% duties on Japanese goods. Trump wrote to 14 countries on Monday, including Japan and South Korea. He warned them that they would face a sharply increased tariff rate for imports from the United States, starting at a new date, August 1. The market has not reacted as strongly as it did in April after Trump announced his sweeping tariffs. Market watchers predict that countries will seek to reach trade agreements with the United States prior to the new deadline. Sources said that European stocks were stable, and the European Union would not receive a letter stating higher tariffs. The EU could also reach a deal with the United States by Wednesday. It's a slow day. Yesterday, people digested tariff news and we saw weakness. "People are on hold for now until the second-quarter earnings report is released," said Peter Tuz of Chase Investment Counsel, Charlottesville, Virginia. S&P 500 companies are soon to report on the quarter ending June 30. The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 101.09 points or 0.23% to 44,305.27. The S&P 500 declined 2.26 points or 0.04% to 6,227.72. And the Nasdaq Composite increased 1.33 points or 0.01% to 20,413.83. The MSCI index of global stocks fell by 0.36 points or 0.04% to 919.57. The pan-European STOXX 600 rose by 0.33%. The hope of a trade deal boosted risk appetite on Tuesday, as MSCI’s broadest Asia-Pacific index outside Japan rose by 0.5%. Japan's Nikkei recovered from its early losses and ended the day 0.26% higher. Southeast Asia's largest economies are facing some of the highest U.S. Tariffs. South Korean shares posted their biggest daily gain in the past two weeks, and the won strengthened by 0.4%. Since Trump in April capped what he termed reciprocal tariffs for trading partners to 10% for a period of three months, allowing for negotiation, the lack of progress has been looming over markets. Two agreements have been made, with Britain, and Vietnam. In June, Washington, and Beijing, agreed on a framework for tariff rates. The minutes of the Federal Reserve's last meeting will be published on Wednesday. The central bank is taking a wait and see approach to monetary policies. The export-dependent Japanese currency, the yen, fell to a two-week-low of 146.65 against the dollar. It also fell against other currencies. The dollar's last gain against the yen was 0.6%, at 146.9. The Australian dollar rose as the central bank of Australia defied expectations by keeping its cash rate at 3.85%. Investors are awaiting Treasury's sale of $119 billion of coupon-bearing bonds this week. The yield on the benchmark U.S. 10 year notes rose 3.6 basis points to 4.431% last week, its highest level since June 20, U.S. crude oil rose by 0.19%, to $68.06 per barrel. Brent increased to $69.86 a barrel.
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The death toll from the Texas floods continues to rise as rescue efforts continue
According to county officials, the death toll has risen to 87 in Kerr County as the search and rescue effort continues in central Texas. The disaster that has claimed more than 100 lives is still ravaging the area. The Guadalupe River burst into flames as torrential rains fell before dawn Friday, killing dozens and leaving behind piles of trees, debris and cars. At a recent press conference, Kerr County Sheriff Larry Leitha announced that at least 56 adults and children had been killed. More than two dozen other victims have yet to be identified. The authorities have not yet determined whether the 87th person was an adult victim or a child. Five children and a camp counselor were still missing on Tuesday. Some of the victims spent their summers at Camp Mystic, near the river. Local officials were questioned about whether they should have warned of the dangers of flash floods that occurred in Texas Hill Country earlier. Thunderstorms have hampered local efforts in searching for survivors. Rescue teams from Mexico and neighboring states have joined the local effort. At the press conference, Lieutenant Colonel Ben Baker from the Texas Game Wardens stated that the work was extremely dangerous and time-consuming. It's dirty. "The water is still there." A spokesperson for Donald Trump said that he plans to visit the region in question this week. Reporting by Jonathan Allen from New York, Rich McKay from Atlanta and Rod Nickel in Atlanta.
China's steel sector is softening, but with resilience: Russell
There are two ways of taking a look at the 1.7% decrease in China's steel output last year.
The first is that it confirms that the world's largest producer of the key commercial metal is now in a developed downtrend, and even more weakness is likely this year.
The second is that the steel industry is actually remarkably resilient in the face of major financial challenges, and that output has been essentially flat at extremely strong levels for the previous 5 years.
Both are basically factual, and show the classic glass half-full or half-empty predicament.
On the half-empty side of the ledger is the truth that China's steel production peaked at 1.065 billion metric tons in 2020, and has actually trended lower ever since, with 2024 output coming in at 1.005 billion tons.
However another way to take a look at China's steel output is that it has been within a 70 million heap variety between 2019 and 2024, which is in fact rather a steady efficiency.
Perhaps the very best way to characterise China's steel production is that it likely has actually peaked, however the decrease up until now has been mild, and output remains relatively high in spite of the well-publicised battles of the world's second-biggest economy considering that the COVID-19 pandemic.
The question then ends up being, what is the likely trajectory for China's steel sector in 2025?
Comparable to other markets, the response remains uncertain and based on aspects yet to come into play, chief amongst them what trade tariffs are put in place by the brand-new administration of U.S. President Donald Trump, who resumed the workplace on Monday.
It's likewise unsure regarding whether 2025 is the year China's. struggling house sector gets back on its feet, or. whether it stays hostage to weak designer balance sheets and. consumer wariness.
A 3rd factor is what will occur to China's steel exports. in 2025, after they struck a nine-year high of 110.72 million tons. in 2024.
This was up 22.7%, or just over 20 million loads, from the. previous year, with the increase helping to balance out some loss of. domestic usage for steel mills.
The volume of Chinese steel striking global markets has actually led. to some consternation among nations such as India, which is. trying to enhance the speed of growth of its own steel sector.
This raises the possibility that China may discover it harder to. boost steel exports in 2025.
But it is worth keeping in mind that not all importing nations are. opposed to buying more steel from China, specifically those. without a domestic steel sector.
BEST-CASE CIRCUMSTANCE
The best-case circumstance for China's steel sector this year is. one where trade tariffs aren't too punitive, the domestic. economy continues to regain momentum and building activity. stabilises, or perhaps even increases.
Under such a situation, the very best result for China's steel. production would be constant output around 1 billion lots.
This also suggests that China's need for iron ore is likely. to stay stable also, although it might alleviate from the record. high of 1.24 billion heaps in 2024.
This is largely because much of the 4.9% rise in imports,. which was comparable to 57.5 million loads, went to replenish. stockpiles instead of fulfill increased need for the crucial steel. raw material.
Port stocks kept an eye on by specialists SteelHome. << SH-TOT-IRONINV > ended in 2015 at 146.85 million heaps, up 32.4. million from the 114.5 million at the end of 2023. It's unlikely that stockpiles will rise again strongly in. 2025, which is most likely to restrict iron ore imports, although if the. down trend in rates of 2024 extends into this year, traders. might be lured to make the most of cheaper products. The views revealed here are those of the author, a columnist.
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(source: Reuters)