Latest News

LME Aluminium reaches nearly 4-year high amid supply fears

The escalating conflict between Israel and Palestine in the Middle East has fueled concerns over a'shortage of global supplies. This is countering downward pressure on demand due to a stronger dollar.

The benchmark?three-month Aluminium on the London Metal Exchange reached its highest level since March 31, 2020, earlier in the session, when it hit $3,544 per ton. By 0706 GMT, it was up 0.75% to $3,472 per metric ton.

The Shanghai Futures Exchange's most traded aluminium contract closed the daytime session up 1.61% to 24,950 yuan (US$3,607,84) per tonne after reaching its highest level since January 30, at 25,860?yuan.

The U.S. and Israel war against Iran has caused shipping to be disrupted through the Strait?Hormuz. This is a vital waterway in the Gulf that accounts for about 9 percent of global aluminum production.

Last week, the light-weight metal?used for construction and packaging?posted its largest weekly gain since January 2023. This was due to supply concerns that grew after Qatari smelter Qatalum halted production and Aluminium Bahrain declared a force majeure on shipments.

"An extended disruption in the Strait will simultaneously choke off alumina exports from Middle Eastern smelters and alumina imports." This would result in a significant tightening of global supply," EwaManthey, commodities analyst at ING wrote in a report.

Manthey said that the escalation in the Middle East could push aluminum prices above $4000 per ton.

The rise in oil prices by more than 25% has largely tamed the price of other base metals.

The dollar's strength makes commodities that are denominated in other currencies less affordable to investors.

Copper, nickel, lead, and tin all fell in price, while zinc rose 0.55%.

The better?inflation figures in China have boosted sentiment and helped to reduce losses for other base materials.

Due to the effects of the Lunar New Year holiday, China's consumer price inflation increased at its highest level?in over three years.

Shanghai copper fell 0.59%. Tin dropped 2.4%. Nickel eased 0.16%. Lead shed 0.15%. Zinc rose 0.62%.

(source: Reuters)