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Copper record high before Fed rate decision

Copper record high before Fed rate decision
Copper record high before Fed rate decision

The copper price opened the week strongly, reaching a new record on Monday. This was boosted by the expectation of a rate cut from the U.S. Federal Reserve, and the prospect of squeezing supply.

The Shanghai Futures Exchange's most active copper contract closed the daytime trade 1.54% higher at 92,970 Yuan ($13152.91) a metric ton.

Shanghai copper reached a record high of 93,300 Yuan in this session.

The benchmark three-month Copper on the London Metal Exchange gained 0.79%, to $11,712 per ton at 0700 GMT. It had previously reached a high of $11,771.

The markets are pricing in an interest rate reduction of a quarter point by the U.S. on Wednesday. Only 19 out of 108 economists voted against any change.

Copper prices rose in Asia as signs of a lower supply were evident. The weekly stock report of the SHFE showed that the amount of delivered copper in SHFE sheds had declined by 9.22% at the end of the last week. This was the second week of declines.

Last week, cancellations were also observed in copper stocks available or on warrant in LME warehouses.

Copper inventories at the U.S. Comex Exchange The number of short tons (which is equivalent to 396,306 tons metric) has continued to rise after reaching a record in late November.

Analysts at Chinese broker GF stated that the strength of copper is due to a structural mismatch in supply and available stock as a persisting Comex-LME Premium has diverted metal towards the U.S. tightening the supply in the remainder of the world.

The disruption of mines in China and the agreement by major smelters to reduce output by 10% have also fueled supply concerns.

Citi analysts said in a Friday report that they expect the price of copper to rise into next year. They estimate it will average $13,000 per ton in the second quarter, up from their previous forecast of $12,000.

On Monday, the prices of most base metals rose.

Aluminium, zinc, lead, and tin all gained in value.

Aluminium rose by 0.57% on the LME, while zinc, lead, tin, and tin-copper all gained 0.45%. Nickel, however, posted a loss of 0.17%. $1 = 7.0684 Chinese Yuan Renminbi (Reporting and editing by Dylan Duan, Lewis Jackson)

(source: Reuters)