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US diesel reaches $4 per gallon amid rising fuel prices in the Middle East
The average retail price of diesel in the United States surpassed $4 a gallons for the first time in almost two years on Tuesday. Prices are expected to continue to rise 'later this week, as the 'U.S. - Israel conflict with Iran drags on. This could cause sticker shock to consumers on everything from furniture to food. Diesel prices, which are primarily used in manufacturing and for freight, have surged since Iran began to retaliate against U.S.-Israeli strikes by bombing energy infrastructure in the Middle East, and disrupting shipping through the Strait of Hormuz – a major global trade route. According to AAA, the national average price of diesel increased by 14.7 cents on Tuesday, to $4.04 per gallon. This is the largest?daily rise since March 2022 when Russia's invasion in Ukraine upended the global oil market. GasBuddy analyst Patrick De Haan said, "We could see an average increase to $4.25-4.45/gal over the next few days. But any new developments can push the needle in either direction." The highest price for U.S. Diesel Futures was $3.45 on Wednesday. This is the highest price since September 2024. Analysts said that diesel inventories remain tight due to a lack of refining capacity and heavy demand during the harsh winter season in the U.S. Alex Hodes is the director of StoneX's market strategy. He said that the tightness on the market makes diesel fuel more sensitive to conflict in the Middle East. Hodes said that the disruption in Middle East crude oil supplies also affects distillate supply disproportionately because crude oil from this region tends be more distillate rich grades. According to cargo tracking company Vortexa, around 900,000 barrels of diesel per day (bpd), and 350,000 barrels of jet fuel per day (bpd), leave the Gulf. This is equivalent to approximately 10% and 20% of seaborne supplies worldwide, respectively. Consumers will face higher costs In tandem with the Middle East crisis, prices of all fuels have risen. This poses a serious risk to President Donald Trump and the Republican Party ahead of November's midterm elections. Voters will be concerned about inflation, as many are struggling to keep pace with rising prices. Energy economist Philip Verleger stated that "the costs of all products would rise if diesel prices increased?transport costs." He added that food prices could rise if farmers are forced to reduce their plantings due to high diesel costs. On Monday, the average retail price of gasoline in the United States reached $3 per gallon for the first since November. The gasoline futures price reached $2.54 on Monday, its highest level since July 2024.
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As Iran's conflict disrupts the oil market, Americas heavy crude price reaches multi-year highs
The price of heavy crude oil produced in Americas reached multi-year-highs on Wednesday as a result of the U.S. and Israeli attacks against Iran, which slowed down the exports similar oil produced elsewhere in the Middle East. Brent crude is at its highest level since January 2025, and benchmark crude oil has surged ever since the first attacks last week. Iran has threatened that it will fire at any vessel passing through the'shipping lanes' of the Strait of Hormuz near its southern coast as a retaliation to the U.S. and Israeli attacks. This has effectively shut down the Strait of Hormuz, cutting off a fifth or more of the global oil supply and leaving hundreds anchored outside. The Middle East supply has been curtailed and the price of heavy crude oil produced in Venezuela, Canada, and the United States is on the rise. Mars sour oil, the U.S. Gulf of Mexico's flagship crude and the preferred crude by refiners worldwide, was trading at a premium of $5.50 to the U.S. Brokers said that benchmark West Texas Intermediate crude (WTI), traded at a $5.50 premium to U.S. This was the highest price since April 2020 and represents a $1.75 increase from Tuesday. Rohit Rathod is a senior analyst at ship tracking firm Vortexa. He said that buyers are rushing to purchase these barrels because they expect the Middle East conflict will continue for a longer period of time. Even plants that are not directly affected will see their margins eroded. The refineries in the United States are designed to handle heavier crude and will use it to boost diesel production as a response to higher prices. OIL SUPPLY SQUEEZE Iraq is OPEC's 2nd largest producer and could be forced to reduce production by over?3 million barrels a day in a matter of days if oil tanks cannot reach loading points in Gulf freely, according to Iraqi oil officials. Refiners from India, South Korea and the United States purchase Basrah crude oil produced in Iraq. They would need to replace it with oil of similar quality from other regions. Heavy Louisiana Sweet crude, produced off the U.S. Coast, closed Tuesday at a $5.25 premium, its highest price since 2020 and $1 more than Light Louisiana Sweet. This indicates a higher demand for heavy grades, which usually trade at a lower price than lighter grades. Analysts said that the discount between heavy Canadian oil and WTI, which is one of the largest producers of heavy crude in the world, has decreased by $1.25 per barrel since last Friday. This is because buyers in India, China, and other countries affected by the Middle East's supply shortage, are more likely to look to Canada as a source of heavy crude. The Trans Mountain pipeline that transports heavy crude oil from Alberta's sands up to the British Columbia coast, for export, is not yet full. Patrick O'Rourke, ATB Cormark Capital Markets, said that if the Iran crisis continues we could see a significant take-up of the Trans Mountain spot capacity within weeks or a month. A source confirmed that Venezuelan heavy crude oil was being sold at higher prices. Fuel prices have risen in the U.S. where they are a political hot button. The cost of motor fuel has jumped over $3 per gallon for the very first time since November. This is a serious risk for Trump and the Republicans heading into the midterm elections this November. The diesel price reached a record high of $3.45 per gallon in Wednesday's session. It was the highest since October 20,23. The Middle East is a major source of diesel, so the conflict there is likely to have an impact on the price. Analysts and traders have said that inventories are down sharply following a period of strong demand, resulting from the harsh winter in the U.S. Neil Crosby of Sparta Commodities, an analyst, says that prices for sweet light barrels will start to increase soon because of the shortage. Two traders say that premiums are already rising for certain grades, like Brazilian light crude in?China where the offers were few and the premium over ICE Brent jumped to $13 or $14 per barrel. This is compared to a $2 to $3 premium before the 'conflict. U.S. WTI traded at a discount as high as $8.75 per barrel to Brent on Wednesday, the highest in over three years. This was due to the belief that U.S. supplies would be less affected by global events. Idemitsu Kosan, Japan's second largest refiner, bought 2 million barrels of West Texas Intermediate Crude from SK Energy on Monday for delivery in June.
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US Interior Secretary meets Rodriguez and mining companies in Venezuela
U.S. Interior Secretary Doug Burgum and Venezuelan acting president Delcy Rod met on Wednesday after arriving in the South American nation earlier that day. The encounter was briefly filmed by a number of media outlets. In Caracas, the Miraflores Presidential palace, two representatives of the United States met with Laura Dogu, U.S. Representative in Venezuela. Burgum had earlier met with executives of foreign mining companies. Two sources confirmed this, while the interim Venezuelan Government is weighing changes to mineral regulations. The U.S. is trying to open Venezuela up to American investment in the oil, gas, and minerals sectors, particularly, after a January raid by the U.S. The raid captured Nicolas Maduro. This is the second time a U.S. Cabinet Secretary has visited since Maduro was ousted. He courted allies like China and Russia. Trump has praised Rodriguez publicly for his cooperation with the U.S. He also hailed Venezuela in his State of the Union Address as "our newest ally and friend". The Trump administration is building a case against Rodriguez, which could include charges of corruption and money laundering, according to a report Tuesday citing four sources familiar with the issue. Burgum is also the head of the U.S. Energy Dominance Council which focuses on increasing?U.S. Burgum, who also heads the U.S.?Energy Dominance Council, which focuses on boosting?U.S. Mining Law Reforms The Venezuelan national assembly, headed by Jorge Rodriguez, Rodriguez's younger brother, is working on a reform to the main mining law of the country, which will include provisions that allow foreign companies the opportunity to exploit rare earths, gold and diamonds. The current mining law in Venezuela dates back to 1999. After two decades of massive nationalizations, the South American country is owed billions of dollars by industrial conglomerates, mining and oil companies, including Crystallex, Gold Reserve, and Rusoro Mining. Burgum, according to sources, is paying attention the proposed mining law and met with mining companies on Wednesday. Sources say that Burgum is scheduled to meet with oil and gas companies on Thursday, to discuss investment and expansion. Last month, U.S. Energy Sec. Chris Wright made a visit to Venezuela. Venezuela has yet to conduct exploration to confirm the reserves of 'rare earths', a grouping 17 minor metals which are used to produce magnets that convert power into motion. Rare earths is a subset critical minerals that are produced primarily by China. The Venezuelan government's 2018 report on mineral deposits uses key terms from the mining industry, such as reserve and resource, interchangeably. This makes it difficult to determine the actual measurements. A map from 2021 listed the reserves of antimony and copper but not their volumes. Iranian companies have been exploring for mining resources within the country as part of bilateral agreements in recent years, but this has not led to any investments.
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Cuban oil embargo causes blackouts across the country
The national electricity union UNE?said that a power outage had struck a majority of Cuba including Havana's capital on Wednesday. This was as the island's socialist-run government 'faces 'increasing' pressure from the Trump Administration. Cuba experienced several major blackouts over the past few years, before the U.S. stopped oil shipments. Cuba's government has blamed its economic crisis on decades of?economic?sanctions imposed by the U.S. The current shortages have been exacerbated by the recent scarcity of oil due to U.S.-imposed pressure from Venezuela and Mexico. The UNE electricity 'union' said that it was working on restoring services and that the 'blackout' affected the entire island, from Camaguey in the central province to Pinar del Rio at the far western end. Cuba's Energy Ministry said that the Felton 1 thermoelectric plant in Holguin Province in eastern Cuba is still?online, and recovery protocols are in place. Venezuela, Cuba's largest oil supplier, hasn't sent any shipments since the end of December. After the capture of its President,?Nicolas?Maduro in an attack by the U.S. on the capital at the beginning of January, the U.S. now controls the country's oil exports. Mexico announced it would stop supplying oil to Cuba after the U.S. threatened to impose tariffs on countries that supply Cuba with oil. The government has rationed services due to the power cuts. (Reporting and editing by Brendan O'Boyle, Daina Beth Solon and Sandra Gaillard)
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US approves construction of Gates-backed TerraPower nuclear reactor in Wyoming
The U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission announced on Wednesday that it has approved the construction of a small nuclear reactor in Wyoming, backed by Bill Gates. TerraPower's 345 megawatt sodium-cooled Kemmerer reactor was approved by the Nuclear Regulatory Commission, marking the first commercial reactor approval in almost a decade. The reactor is to be constructed near a coal-fired power plant, and will become operational in the early 2030s. TerraPower announced in a press release that it will begin construction within the next few weeks. The NRC stated that the plant includes a system of energy storage to temporarily boost output up to 500 MW. The NRC completed its technical review of the design in less that 18 months. Last year, President Donald Trump issued executive orders to speed up the permitting process by the NRC. He wanted to reduce a multi-year permit process to just 18 months. TerraPower's Natrium nuclear reactor would use a fuel known as high-assay, low-enriched Uranium (HALEU), which is traditionally only produced in Russia. The NRC stated that its staff is expecting to issue the permit shortly. The U.S. Department of Energy has awarded American Centrifuge Operating (a subsidiary of Centrus Energy) and General Matter (backed by tech billionaire, Peter Thiel), $900 million to each of them for the 'development of domestic HALEU. HALEU fuel is uranium enriched to almost 20%, instead of the current 5% level used in reactors. HALEU is only enriched up to 12%, as non-proliferation activists want to avoid militants attempting to make crude nuclear weapons from targeting its supply chain. The Advanced Reactor Demonstration Program of the DOE provides funding up to $2 billion for the Natrium reactor.
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Pentagon seeks fresh supply of 13 essential minerals a day before Iran attack
A document reviewed by? showed that the U.S. Military asked mining companies to boost supplies of 13 critical minerals, which are used in semiconductors, weapons, and other products. This request was made the day before the U.S., Israel and other countries launched their attacks on Iran. It is the latest in a series of recent requests by Washington for greater access to materials widely used in warfare. The Pentagon has asked the Defense Industrial Base Consortium, a grouping of companies, universities, and other suppliers to the military, for proposals by the 20th of March on projects that would mine, process, or recycle "select minerals", according to the document. No indication was given as to whether or not the timing of the strike on Iran was deliberately coordinated. List of 13 minerals wanted includes: arsenic (bismuth), bismuth (germanium), graphite (hafnium), nickel,?samarium(tungsten), vanadium, zirconium, ytterbium and yttrium. The Pentagon requested detailed information on the costs of building a mine or processing plant, including labor,?material and other expenses. According to the request, projects could receive development funds from $100 million up to $500 million. The document didn't specify why these 13 minerals were selected. China, which is the world's largest producer, has imposed export restrictions on some minerals, including graphite, germanium and yttrium. The aerospace industry has been alerted to the shortage of yttrium. As one of 17 rare earths yttrium can be used to create coatings which prevent engines and turbines melting at high temperature. Engines?cannot function without regular application of these coatings. Indonesia is the world's largest producer of nickel. Jakarta has slowed down?exports? of this metal, which is widely used in stainless steel production and battery production. Requests for comments from the White House, DIBC, and Pentagon were not immediately responded to. Separately, on Wednesday, the Defense Logistics Agency, which purchases a wide range of goods for the U.S. Military, asked miners for information on acquiring lithium and chromium for stockpiles. Reporting by Ernest Scheyder, with additional reporting from Jarrett Renshaw and Polina Devitt in London. Editing by Veronica Brown.
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NYT reports that Iranian intelligence operatives have expressed an openness to dialogue with CIA about ending the war.
The 'New York Times' reported that operatives from Iran’s Ministry of Intelligence had expressed a willingness to talk with the U.S. Central Intelligence Agency about?ending the war. NYT reported that the offer came through a spy agency of an unnamed Middle Eastern nation, and officials from another Western country who spoke on condition of anonymity. Iran's semiofficial news agency, Tasnim, reported that a source in the Iranian intelligence ministry rejected the report. It called it "absolute lies" and "psychological warfare during a?war". The White House - and the CIA - did not respond immediately to a comment request. The report said that officials in Washington were sceptical about whether Iran or Trump's administration was really prepared for a "off-ramp", if not immediately. The Iranian ambassador to the United Nations in Geneva on Tuesday, after Israel and the U.S. launched joint strikes on Iran, ruled out a possible negotiating with the United States. On Tuesday, President Donald 'Trump' said that Tehran was willing to talk with the United States but it was too late as they continued their military campaign against Iran. (Reporting from Anusha in Bengaluru; additional reporting by Dubai Newsroom; editing by Gareth Jones, Emelia Sithole Matarise and Emelia Sithole)
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Aluminum supply problems intensify after Bahrain stops shipments and Qatar shuts down its smelter
Aluminium Bahrain, one of the largest smelters in the world, informed customers that it had halted all shipments because of the "widening" Middle East conflict. This exacerbated supply concerns following a Qatari melter shutdown the day before. After the news, the London Metal Exchange saw an increase of up to 5.1% in aluminium prices to $3,418 per ton, the highest since April 2022. Analysts said that prices could rise even further, since about 8% world supply is made in the region. Goldman Sachs stated on Monday that prices could reach $3,600 per ton if the production in this region is lost for one month. SHIPPING HALTED in the Strait of?HORMUZ Alba declared force majeure Wednesday and informed the affected customers about delays, according to a spokesperson. The shipping through the Strait of Oman between Iran and Oman has almost halted after Iranian vessels retaliated against U.S. We are unable to ship because of what is happening in the Strait of Hormuz. We're producing, but the metals are here in Alba," said the spokesperson. The spokesperson said that "the force majeure... was not caused by any disruption or damage at the smelter." The team is actively working to identify alternative shipping solutions in order to minimize the impact. Alba's website states that its smelter, which is the world's largest outside China, will produce 1.62 million tons of aluminum in 2025. The?price for lightweight metals used in construction and transport, as well as packaging, has risen 9% since Wednesday, following the U.S.-Israeli attack on Iran at the weekend. QATARI Smelter? TO SHUT Investors were on edge on Tuesday after the news that Qatari Qatalum smelter began to?shut down? and Norsk Hydro, its shareholder, issued a "force majeure" notice. Hydro has said that the shutdown of its 648,000-metric-ton smelter is expected to be complete by the end of March. A full restart may take up to 12 months. Smelters from Bahrain, Qatar and Saudi Arabia, as well as the United Arab Emirates, ship more than 5 million metric tons of metal through the Hormuz Strait every year. Bauxite, alumina and other large quantities of metal are transported 'the other way' to feed smelters. The European Aluminium Premiums (paid on top of LME metal prices) have increased to $436 per ton in April EPDc2, which is the highest level for 3-1/2 years. Meanwhile, U.S. Premiums have reached a new record of $1.075.
US diesel hits $4 per gallon mark as Middle East conflict drags on
As the 'U.S. - Israel 'war against Iran dragged along, the average U.S. diesel price surpassed $4 a litre?for nearly a?two year period on Wednesday.
The Middle East conflict has paralyzed the Strait of Hormuz - a major global trade route through which 10% of the world's diesel supply passes.
According to data from a market tracker, GasBuddy, the national average price for diesel has crossed $4 per gallon for first time since April 24th 2024.
GasBuddy analyst Patrick De Haan said that the average price could rise to $4.25 - $4.45 per gallon in the coming days. However, any new developments may have an impact on the market.
U.S. Diesel Futures reached $3.45 on their highest level on Wednesday. This is the highest since September 2024.
According to Alex Hodes, StoneX's director of marketing strategy, diesel inventories are in short supply due to a structural shortage in refining capacity. This makes it more sensitive to the conflict in Middle East.
Hodes said that the disruption in Middle East crude oil supplies also affects distillate supplies disproportionately because crude oil from this region tends to have higher distillate grades.
(source: Reuters)