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Peru's new President faces protests that resulted in dozens of injuries and one death
The state ombudsman’s office reported on Thursday that at least one person died and dozens were injured during widespread protests in Peru overnight against President Jose Jeri who took power only days before. The demonstration on Wednesday night was called by Gen Z protesters and transport workers, as well as civil groups. It was part of a series against rising crime and corruption that culminated in the ouster at midnight of former president Dina Boluarte. Around the country, thousands of protesters gathered. Hundreds clashed with police in front of Congress in Lima. The police fired tear gas, while protesters hurled rocks, fireworks and burning objects. "Everyone must leave!" "Everyone must go!" protesters shouted when they reached Congress, and then tried to tear down the metal barriers protecting it. This led to clashes. Fernando Losada from the Ombudsman office of the country said that a 32-year old man named Eduardo Mauricio Ruiz was killed in the protest. His death will be investigated. The prosecutor's offices in Peru said Ruiz was shot to death. Oscar Arriola, head of Peru’s national police, told reporters later on Thursday that Luis Magallanes was physically assaulted by a PNP member and had committed the shooting. Arriola said Magallanes had been taken to hospital for treatment and was removed from his position. Jeri posted on X that she was sorry for the death and said it would be investigated "objectively". He blamed the violence on "delinquents" who had infiltrated peaceful protests to create chaos. He wrote: "The full force will be on these people." Jeri, who attended a meeting at Congress about protests on Thursday afternoon, told reporters that he would "ask Congress for the authority to legislate" on issues of public safety. Jeri stated that prison reform would be a major focus, but she did not elaborate what these powers would include. Vicente Tiburcio was appointed as the new Interior Minister shortly after the protest. He spoke to Congress and said that the government will push for a comprehensive reform of the national police. The interior ministry didn't immediately respond to an inquiry for comment about the reform of police or Jeri’s request for increased legislative powers. The protests on Wednesday were a good indicator of how Jeri’s presidency could end next July, due to elections scheduled. Jeri has pledged to put crime at the top of his agenda, but he has been involved in a number scandals, including allegations of corruption and an investigation that has now been shelved for sexual assault. Jeri, 38, has expressed his willingness to work with any investigation into corruption. He has denied all wrongdoing and is willing to cooperate. Boluarte was the subject of widespread protests when she took power in 2022. This led to dozens deaths and a drop in her popularity, which fluctuated between 2% to 4% during the days before her removal. Congress, which Jeri led before becoming president, is also unpopular. It has a one-digit approval rating. (Reporting from Marco Aquino, Lima; writing by Alexander Villegas and editing by Deepa Babyington and David Gregorio).
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Italian appeals Court upholds conviction of Milan prosecutors in Eni Nigeria Case
Two Milan prosecutors were sentenced to eight months in prison by an Italian appeals court for not filing documents that would have backed up the position of energy group Eni in an international case of corruption. Eni, Shell and all defendants were acquitted by a jury in March 2021, in what was dubbed the biggest corruption case in the oil industry, which involved the $1.3 billion purchase of an oilfield in Nigeria a decade earlier. The judges in Brescia, a northern city in Italy, confirmed the verdict of last year that Fabio De Pasquale & Sergio Spadaro had failed to comply with their legal obligations by failing to submit documents that would have been helpful to the defence. Spadaro, before Thursday's verdict read to the court a long statement in which he stated that "there was not omission, no refusal" and the prosecution had acted according to "conscience and law". Massimo Dinoia said that the two attorneys for the prosecution would appeal their case to Italy's highest court, The Court of Cassation. De Pasquale & Spadaro are able to continue working during the appeals process. The Milan court which acquitted defendants in Eni and Shell's trial stated that the prosecutors failed to include a video taken by an ex-external lawyer for Eni. This court considered the video relevant to the case. The Brescia Court has jurisdiction over judges in Milan and prosecutors there. (Reporting and editing by Gavin Jones, Emilio Parodi)
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Brazil looks to financial guarantees and tax breaks for strategic mineral deposits
According to the agenda for the first meeting of the National Mining Policy Council, held on Thursday, the Brazilian government plans to offer financial guarantee to fund strategic mining projects and tax incentives to encourage their processing and industrialization. Document stated that the meeting will take place at 3:30 PM (1830 GMT) in Brasilia. The resolution to create a group of experts tasked with developing the supply chain in Latin America's biggest economy is expected to be voted on. The committee was created by President Luiz inacio Lula to promote a new policy that treats strategic minerals as an issue of national sovereignty and aims to limit exports without domestic processing. In August, the Brazilian government said that the framework will help Brazil maintain control over its mineral resources and position Brazil as a leader in the global energy transition. Rare earth elements, abundant in Brazil, are critical minerals that are essential for advanced technologies. They have also become a flashpoint of tensions between the United States and China following Beijing's decision to move its embassy to tighten Export controls were implemented earlier in October. According to the U.S. Geological Survey, Brazil's rare earths production is less than 1% despite having the second largest reserves in the world after China. Brazil is also seeking to engage with the United States again following the aforementioned a Get 50% off Donald Trump's Administration imposed tariffs on its products citing the case of former President Jair Bolsonaro who was later convicted. The sentence is: To 27 years of prison for trying to stage a coup in 2022 after the election was lost. Brazilian officials floated the idea of rare earths in the context of trade negotiations with Washington. However, the dialogue has only recently gained traction. This was notably after Lula briefly spoke to Trump at the U.N. General Assembly on September 30. On Thursday, Foreign Minister Mauro Vieira The meeting is scheduled to take place U.S. Secretary Marco Rubio at Washington. Reporting by Marcela Gregorio; editing by David Gregorio
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Russian rouble falls on concerns about oil exports
On Thursday, the Russian rouble fell sharply in relation to the U.S. Dollar and the Chinese yuan due to market worries about future oil revenues after U.S. pressure was applied on India and China. Donald Trump, the U.S. president, said that on October 15, Indian Prime Minister NarendraModi had promised to stop purchasing oil from Russia. He would then try to convince China to do the exact same thing. The rouble fell by 1.7% against the U.S. Dollar in the over-the counter market and by 2% to 11,20 against the Yuan at the Moscow Stock Exchange where the Chinese currency is the most actively traded foreign currency. The rouble strengthened this week to its highest level since July, on the back of a decline in demand for foreign currencies from importers. Fears of a possible future decline in oil revenues led to some profit-taking, which had a direct impact on the thin Russian markets, said a Russian currency trader who declined identification. Another currency dealer stated that "our illiquid market broke", mainly because there was a general feeling of inadequacy about the recent strengthening the rouble. The rouble has not reacted to the news that Trump is to hold a telephone call with Russian president Vladimir Putin on Thursday evening, just a day before he hosts Ukraine's Volodymyr Zelenskiy at the White House. (Reporting and editing by Gareth Jones, Gleb Brynski)
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Peru's new President faces protests that resulted in dozens of injuries and one death
The state ombudsman’s office reported on Thursday that at least one person died and dozens were injured during protests in Peru overnight against President Jose Jeri who took power only days before. The protest, organized by Gen Z, civil groups and transport workers, took place on Wednesday night. It was part of a series against rising crime and corruption that culminated in the dramatic ouster at midnight of the former president Dina Boluarte, last Thursday. Around the country, thousands of protesters gathered. Hundreds clashed with police in front of Congress in Lima. The police fired tear gas, while protesters hurled rocks, fireworks and burning objects. "Everyone must leave!" "Everyone must go!" protesters shouted when they reached Congress, and then tried to tear down the metal barriers protecting it. This led to clashes. The Ombudsman's Office confirmed that a 32-year old man, Fernando Losada was killed in the protest. It said the death will be investigated. The Peruvian prosecutor's said that Losada died after being shot but didn't say who fired. Jeri posted on X that she was sorry for the death and said it would be investigated "objectively". Jeri had earlier claimed that 55 police officers were injured and 20 civilians in the protest. She blamed "delinquents" who "infiltrated peaceful demonstrations to sow confusion." He wrote: "The full force will be on them." The protests on Wednesday were a good indicator of how Jeri’s presidency could end next July, due to elections. Jeri has pledged to put crime at the top of his agenda, but he has been involved in a number scandals, including allegations of corruption and an investigation that has now been shelved for sexual assault. Jeri, 38, has expressed his willingness to work with any investigation into corruption. He has also denied wrongdoing and a number of scandals. Boluarte was met with widespread protests when she took power late in 2022. This led to dozens deaths and a drop in her popularity, which fluctuated between 2% to 4% during the days before her removal. Congress, which Jeri led before becoming president, is also unpopular. It has a one-digit approval rating.
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Kazakhstan freezes fuel and utility prices amid inflation
Kazakhstan's Government announced on Thursday that it would freeze the price of some diesel and petrol as well as suspend utility tariff increases until 2026. This is due to the double-digit inflation rate continuing to increase. In a Telegram statement, the government announced that price freezes for diesel and AI92 gasoline will remain in effect until inflation stabilizes. It also said it would increase funding for the domestic agriculture to help prevent any price increases on what it called "socially important" food products. The government also claimed that it would reduce the tax revenue collected by small businesses, and make affordable mortgages more available. Inflation rates in Kazakhstan, which is a mineral giant and produces around 2% the world's supply of oil, were 12.9% in September. This was significantly higher than those in Russia, Kazakhstan's neighbour and main trading partner, where the prices have risen since the start of the war in Ukraine. Kazakhstan's central banks raised rates last week to an unprecedented 18%. Since the invasion of Ukraine, inflation has also spiked in other Central Asian countries with economies that are closely tied to Russia. The price of LPG soared suddenly in January 2022, causing the worst unrest in Kazakhstan since 1991 when the 20-million population gained independence from the Soviet Union. The fuel price protests that year grew to widespread unrest and hundreds of deaths. Russian troops were deployed to restore order.
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Gold reaches new records as Fed rate-cut betting drives gold to record highs
Gold reached a record-high for the fourth consecutive session on Thursday as investors flocked into the metal of safety due to brewing U.S. China trade tensions, and the U.S. Government shutdown. Bets on interest rates cuts also fueled the momentum. As of 09:10 am, spot gold was up by 0.8% to $4,242.65 an ounce. ET (1310 GMT), after bullion reached a record high earlier of $4,254.61. U.S. Gold Futures for December Delivery were up 1.3% to $4,256.70. Yellow metal is up over 60% in the past year, thanks to geopolitical tensions and aggressive bets on rate cuts, central bank purchases, dedollarisation, and strong ETF flows. The rate-cut scenario heading into 2026, as well as developments surrounding U.S. China will determine the trajectory of gold. "If no deal is made between the U.S. and China, the relationship will continue to deteriorate. That could be what gold needs to break the barrier of $5000/oz," said Zain Vwda. Analyst at MarketPulse. This week, investors have been focused on the U.S.-China Trade Spat. Washington criticised China's increased rare earth export controls on Wednesday as a danger to global supply chains. Traders have priced in a rate cut of 25 basis points by the U.S. Federal Reserve in October and a second in December with probabilities as high as 98% and 95%. Gold that does not yield is usually a good investment in an environment with low interest rates. Vawda stated that short-term gold pullbacks are likely to be temporary as bullish investors use dips to enter positions. HSBC increased its forecast for the average price of gold in 2025 to $3,355 per ounce, citing geopolitical tensions and economic uncertainty, as well as a weaker U.S. Dollar. The ongoing U.S. shutdown has also halted the release of scheduled economic data. A Treasury official warned that the loss in output could be as high as $15 billion per week. Silver spot fell by 0.2%, to $52.96 an ounce. It had hit a record high $53.60 per ounce on Tuesday. The rally in gold was mirrored and the tightness of the spot market supported this decline. Palladium rose 1.8%, to $1,564.00, while platinum was up 0.7% at $1,665.24. (Reporting and editing by Vijay Kishore in Bengaluru, Sherin Elizabethvarghese from Bengaluru)
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HSBC increases average gold price forecasts 2025 and 26
HSBC raised its forecast for the average price of gold in 2025 to $3,355 from $3,215 because of safe-haven demand fueled by geopolitical tensions and economic uncertainty. In a note from October 15, the bank stated that "sentiment is bullish" as it expects rallies to continue into 2026, aided both by buying from the official sector and demand for gold among institutions as a diversifier. HSBC has also increased its forecast for the average 2026 gold price to $3.950 from $3.125. GOLD HITS A NEW RECORD HIGH HSBC reported that the demand for gold is increasing due to mounting fiscal deficits across major economies, including the U.S. Gold has been traditionally viewed as a safe haven during economic and geopolitical instabilities. Its value has increased by over 60% this year and reached a new record of $4,250.89. China accused the U.S. on Thursday of inciting panic over Beijing's controls on rare earths and said Treasury Sec. Scott Bessent made "grossly distortion" remarks about an important Chinese trade negotiator. The Chinese rejected a U.S. request to roll back curbs. HSBC stated that "central bank demand will likely remain high due to geopolitical risk and dollar diversification but lower than peak levels in 2022-23". HSBC stated that a lower rate cut than the Federal Reserve's current projections for this year or next could dampen the rally. Investors have priced in a rate cut of 25 basis points at the Fed meeting this month, and expect another in December. HSBC stated that the gradual decline in global inflation could also dampen jewelry purchases, which are driven by inflationary fears. The bank also maintained its average 2025 price forecasts of palladium and platinum at $1,100 and $1,215, respectively. Reporting by Noel John, Bengaluru. Editing by Mark Potter
Investors recoil as this year's 'whatever rally' shrieks to a stop
Financiers are ditching some of this year's favourite trades as a retreat in the glitzy megacaps threats growing out of control into a multipronged selloff that has hit everything from cryptocurrency to gold, and made calling the market's next relocation ever more intricate.
Shares on Wall Street ended lower on Thursday, adding to losses after the S&P 500 and Nasdaq on Wednesday suffered their worst day considering that late 2022.
The 2024 everything rally - stocks, and particularly tech, up; gold and crypto - up; dollar - up; emerging markets, up - might be on hold.
A diverse set of elements has lit the fuse of market anxiety over how extended evaluations in Big Tech may be, against a. background of rising U.S.-China trade stress and lukewarm. revenues.
Quarterly results from Tesla and Alphabet. , the very first of Wall Street's most valuable business to. report, have tense financiers ahead of a deluge of results. next week.
Microsoft reports on Tuesday, followed by Meta. Platforms on Wednesday, and after that Amazon and. Apple on Thursday. Those 4 business have a combined. stock market value of over $9 trillion and account for a 5th. of the whole S&P 500.
Financier placing was pretty pro-risk and people had. become rather positively likely towards markets and appraisals. had actually ended up being rather stretched, stated Toby Gibb, head of investment. solutions at fund manager Artemis in London. It's hard to. call whether the marketplace is going to continue fixing.
The S&P 500 ended 0.5% lower on Thursday after spending much. of the session in favorable territory.
Volatility has picked up, with the VIX index increasing. on Wednesday by the most in a day for two years.
The S&P 500 is trading at practically 22 times expected revenues,. an over-two year high, according to LSEG data. The criteria's. recent dip has actually left it up 14% in 2024.
On the benefit, (markets) are assessment insensitive and this. is the exact same on the downside. The volatility compression you have. on the way up enters the opposite direction en route down,. Mario Baronci, portfolio manager at Fidelity International,. said.
Wall Street's AI boom has actually produced a two-tier stock exchange,. with megacap stocks driving most of the S&P 500's ascent to. record highs, as the rest primarily bumble along.
Keith Lerner, co-chief investment officer at Truist Advisory. Solutions, preserves a beneficial long-lasting view on tech stocks. but thinks they may be vulnerable to more volatility going. forward.
Tech is remedying following the strongest two-month. relative outperformance since 2022, he composed in a Thursday. report. Our base case is that the longer-term booming market. stays undamaged, however it's typically two steps forward, one step. back.
Meanwhile, China's economy is slowing quicker than financial experts. and Beijing authorities prepared for, drawing products into. the down-draught. Europe's home-grown high-end megacaps. , another favoured trade, have actually shed a quarter of a. trillion dollars in value given that their peak in March.
WHITE HOME ROLLERCOASTER
Adding to the mix is a rollercoaster race for the White. House, where Democrat President Joe Biden rescinded his. candidateship for Vice President Kamala Harris soon after an. assassination effort on Donald Trump. The Republican. candidate's anti-China rhetoric and possibly inflationary. policies have hit chipmakers around the globe and hurt U.S. 30-year federal government bonds.
However some huge financiers are specific this is a bull market dip. that ended up being undeservedly shrouded in geopolitical risk. language.
I believe these stories are being used to develop some. excuse for what was most likely just some sort of summer revenue. taking, said Richard Clode, tech portfolio supervisor at Janus. Henderson Investors.
As stocks and other 2024 star assets like gold, up. 14% this year, have been pounded this week, little cap shares. and traditional sanctuaries such as the Swiss franc and. the Japanese yen, have surged.
That is more than simply a flight from risk.
These currencies have actually been used for years to fund holdings. with juicier returns. As the Federal Reserve prepares to cut. rates of interest and doubt sneaks in about the toughness of the. equity market rally, those so-called bring trades are. unwinding.
This loads more pressure on the dollar, although. shorter-dated Treasuries have actually acquired today, pulling yields. down to almost six-month lows.
A great deal of investors had been selling the yen to purchase tech,. and with the recent strength in the yen and the loosen up of those. carry trades, that's developed some forced selling in the. large-cap tech space too, stated Jeff Schulze, Head of. financial and market technique ClearBridge Investments.
BITCOIN SYNDROME
With summertime trading normally thin and a common volatility. spike in the early fall, this is a time financiers take. earnings, Clode said, adding that this might present a buying. chance.
Lots of financiers, long-primed to see pull-backs as bull-market. blips and typically more focused on asset prices over valuations,. might concur.
I call this the 'bitcoin syndrome'. When it goes down. individuals do not mind. People think sooner or later it will go up. and that a correction is a good time to return to the market,. Fidelity's Baronci stated.
Bitcoin itself, however, has dropped 5% in as many. days to around $64,000.
Trade Nation senior market strategist David Morrison warned. against complacency.
More gains are asserted on solid 2nd quarter. outcomes, together with positive guidance for the existing. quarter. If that isn't upcoming, then anticipate more. profit-taking to emerge, he stated.
Financiers have a muscle-memory for this kind of thing.
(source: Reuters)