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Climate spending may push some nations to the brink of bankruptcy due to record debt costs

The IMF/World Bank's spring meetings will see emerging countries pay an unprecedented $400 billion in debt service this year. Nearly four dozen of these countries cannot afford to spend money on climate adaptation or sustainable development, without risking default, according to the report by Boston University.

The report of the Debt Relief for Green and Inclusive Recover Project (DRGR), found that 47 developing nations would reach the threshold of external debt insolvency, as defined by IMF in the next five year if they invest the necessary amount to achieve the 2030 Agenda and Paris Agreement Goals.

If they tried to raise this kind of funding, they would have been in such debt distress, they would be on the verge of default, given the current debt climate, said Kevin Gallagher. He is the director of Boston University’s Global Development Policy Center.

Another 19 developing countries do not have the financial resources to meet their spending targets, even though they are still below the default threshold.

The report recommended a restructuring of the global financial system, debt forgiveness for countries at risk and increased access to affordable credit and finance.

Gallagher, a reporter, said: "We must mobilize more money and lower the cost of capital to countries if we are to be able to do anything to address this."

The DRGR Project is collaboration between the Boston University Global Development Policy Center, Heinrich-Boll-Stiftung, the Centre for Sustainable Finance, SOAS and the University of London.

The report also urges the International Monetary Fund (IMF) to change the way they calculate debt sustainability - arcane assessments that are vital to determining the amount of debt relief countries defaulted on receive.

If the IMF decides that a nation can manage a debt amount too high, they can put the nation in a situation where it cannot afford to pay the payments. This could push them back into default.

The Fund's analysis has been criticized by private creditors as being too pessimistic. This makes them politically charged and closely monitored.

The DRGR states that the IMF is reviewing the analyses for years and must include climate spending requirements as well as buffers against shocks, such a pandemics, economic crises or climate.

The report warns that "if the international community fails to act swiftly and uniformly in providing comprehensive debt relief, where necessary, alongside new liquidity and grants, and concessional financing for development, the costs of inaction would be exorbitant",

(source: Reuters)