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Oil prices drop as traders evaluate US tariffs and OPEC+ production increase

The oil prices fell on Tuesday, after a rise of almost 2% the previous day. Investors analyzed new developments regarding U.S. Tariffs and a larger-than-expected OPEC+ production increase for August.

Brent crude futures fell 21 cents to $69.37 per barrel at 0041 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate Crude fell 24 cents to $67.69 per barrel. U.S. president Donald Trump began informing trade partners on Monday, including major suppliers South Korea, Japan, as well as smaller U.S. importers such as Serbia, Thailand, and Tunisia that the U.S. will begin imposing sharply higher tariffs starting August 1. This marks a new phase of his trade war, which he started earlier this year.

Trump's tariffs caused uncertainty on the market, and there were concerns that they could negatively impact the global economy, and therefore, oil demand.

Prices have been supported by the fact that there are signs of a strong demand, especially in the U.S. Last week, AAA data showed that a record number of Americans are expected to travel over 50 miles (80km) during their Fourth of July holidays. The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission published data on Monday that showed money managers had increased their net-long positions in futures and options contracts for crude oil in the week leading up to July 1st. Concerning supplies, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC+) and its allies agreed on Saturday to increase production by 548,000 barrels a day in August. This is more than the 411,000 bpd they increased for the previous three months.

Goldman Sachs analysts expect OPEC+ will announce a final increase of 550,000 bpd for September during the next meeting, on August 3. Analysts said that the actual increase in production has been lower than what was announced so far, and the majority of the supply comes from Saudi Arabia. (Reporting and editing by Christian Schmollinger; Stephanie Kelly)

(source: Reuters)