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MORNING BID AMERICAS - Central banks take center stage

MORNING BID AMERICAS - Central banks take center stage
MORNING BID AMERICAS - Central banks take center stage

Anna Szymanski is the Editor-in Charge of Open Interest.

As markets awaited further details about the terms of the preliminary U.S. Iran deal, and looked for indications that it could?lead a meaningful increase of tanker traffic in the Strait of Hormuz, the global stock rally appeared to?moderate? on Tuesday. The Reserve Bank of Australia and Bank of Japan both kicked off the busy week for monetary policymakers on Tuesday. The BOJ announced a?quarter-point?rate?hike of 1%. This is a new high for 31 years.

Below, I'll go into more detail. Listen to the Morning Bid podcast. Subscribe to the Morning Bid daily podcast and hear journalists discussing the latest news in finance and markets seven days a weeks.

CENTRAL BANKS ARE THE STARS Despite Donald Trump's comment on Monday, that oil tankers are leaving the Strait of Hormuz - there were no significant crossings of tankers visible on vessel-tracking data for Monday - though ships continue to move up and down the coast of Oman under the U.S. Navy's watch. Brent crude fell further on Tuesday after a 5% drop on Monday. However, it remained above $80 a barrel. Global shares continued to rise as Asian indexes grew and European shares opened higher. Wall Street futures are largely flat before the bell. Trump said on Monday that it is still early and the deal will be revealed after the formal signing of the agreement on Friday. In Lebanon, the fighting between Israel's Hezbollah and its allies eased up on Monday. The BOJ's anticipated rate hike of?to 1% represents another step towards normalizing the country's monetary policies. It is a move to reduce price pressures caused by the Iran War-driven energy shock. Shinichi Uchida, BOJ Deputy governor, welcomed the U.S.Iran memorandum on Tuesday but expressed uncertainty about the "pace" of improvement regarding oil flows.

The move was well-telegraphed, but it had little effect on the yen. It remained at around 160 yen to the dollar. If the yen continues to weaken, it could trigger another round of government intervention in order to support the currency. The Reserve Bank of Australia held rates at 4.35% despite the slowing of the economy. However, it warned that inflation was still too high and it could raise rates.

Investors will closely monitor the language used by the Federal Reserve and Bank of England when they meet respectively on Wednesday and Thursday. They are assessing how the prospects of a settlement in the Iran War could affect their rate paths. Elon Musk’s SpaceX continues to soar after its massive IPO on Friday. It rose more than 19% Monday. The company's premarket trades have put it on course to surpass Amazon ($2.7 trillion) and become the fifth largest?company in the world.

SpaceX shares have traded for more than $1.16 Billion as of this morning's early hours. This is more than the combined trading volume of Nvidia and Apple, as well as Microsoft, Tesla, and Microsoft over this period. Nvidia announced on Monday a $25 billion U.S. Bond issuance. This is the first time since 2021 that it has tapped into debt markets. The chipmaker is the latest tech giant to raise money amid the AI boom, but the main reason for the raising of cash does not seem to be capex funding needs. Instead, it appears to be a desire to set a benchmark for the cost of credit. The G7 summit is taking place in Evian-les-Bains, a French resort on the lake. They are discussing war, global imbalances, and the rapid growth of AI.

Chart of the Day Approximately 24% of Americans approve of Trump's management of the cost of living. This is up from 20% one month ago and 22% just a week before. In the latest /Ipsos survey, 69% of Americans disapprove compared to 73% in a previous poll.

The poll was conducted before and after Trump's announcement on Sunday, that he had reached an agreement with Iranian leaders to end the "war" that had driven gasoline prices dramatically higher.

Watch today's events

* U.S. housing starts for May (8:30 am EDT), and May import prices (8.30 am EDT).

* ?U.S. Auction of 20-year bonds (1 p.m. ET)

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(source: Reuters)