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Stocks edge up, oil prices continue pullback on peace optimism

On Thursday, global stocks mostly maintained their gains - despite the fact that oil prices fell again due to optimism about a U.S. Iran peace deal. Meanwhile, it appeared as if there was no resolution for the Strait of Hormuz. The previous session's highs were maintained on?Wall Street. The?S&P500 was little changed and the Nasdaq composite rose 0.27%. Dow Jones Industrial Average increased by 0.12%. The STOXX Europe 600 index was down 0.37% after a 2.2% jump on Wednesday. MSCI's broadest Asia-Pacific share index outside Japan also hit a new all-time record. Last up 1.75 %. Japan's Nikkei surpassed 62,000 for first time after trading resumed following an extended holiday weekend. MSCI's All-Country World Index grew by 0.37%, trading at record highs.

Samy Chaar, Chief Economist at Lombard Odier, said that while the Middle East situation was uncertain, "the market has taken notice" of this momentum.

He said: "The oil price is now down from its peak, which relieves pressure on bond yields and yield curves. This is good news for the equity market and makes currencies move."

Chaar said that a strong earnings season, coupled with a macroeconomic climate that is relatively robust, contributed to the positive mood on the market.

TRUMP PROMISES A SHORT END TO THE WAR Sources and officials reported on Thursday that the United States and Iran are moving toward a temporary, limited agreement to end their war. The draft framework would stop fighting, but leave unresolved?the most contentious questions. Brent crude dropped almost 4%, to $97.38 per barrel. It had fallen nearly 8% Wednesday.

Brent oil is still 40% higher than it was in late February, when the conflict started, despite the recent drop. Meanwhile, 10-year Treasury yields are surging, a sign of the pressure that high energy prices continue to place on the world economy.

The 10-year Treasury yields fell by the last 2 basis points on this day to 4.334%.

Nick Twidale said that the market is grappling with execution risk. "Both?in terms of if a deal has been finalised, and how quickly disrupted flow would normalize, even if they have."

A spike in oil prices shook the global markets back in March, but a fragile truce and the prospect of a settlement have fueled a risky rally that has been fuelled since April by strong tech earnings.

S&P COMPANIES SET TO ROBUST PROFIT GREENWICH S&P '500 companies are on track for their best profit growth in over four years. Meanwhile, Samsung, SK Hynix, and TSMC all posted record results, which have boosted the positive tone in Asia. Survey of economists indicates that investors are waiting for the U.S. non-farm payrolls data on Friday. Jobs should have increased by 62,000 in April after recovering 178,000 in March, according to a survey. The euro has been gaining ground on the currency markets. It last traded at $1.1773 The pound was up slightly at $1.3624, as UK local elections were in focus. The dollar index (which'measures U.S. currencies against six units) was a little lower at 97.85. The yen was in the spotlight after recent spikes prompted speculation on the market that Tokyo intervened in order to support the battered currency. The yen remained unchanged at 156.36 to the dollar after hitting a 10-week-high of 155.36 on Wednesday.

(source: Reuters)