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Gold falls to a two-month low amid inflation-fueled rate hikes

Gold prices fell to their lowest level in two months on Wednesday. This was due to expectations of a tighter monetary policy, which would help to curb inflation. The U.S.-backed conflict with Iran is not expected to end any time soon. As of 2:08 pm EDT (1808 GMT), spot gold was down by 1.3% to $4,447.71 an ounce. It had fallen earlier in the day to its lowest price since March 27. U.S. Gold futures for delivery in June settled at $4,448.40, a?1.2% decrease.

The Middle East continues to have the biggest impact. Peter Grant, senior metals analyst at Zaner Metals, said that there was a lingering optimism but that it is fading as the conflict continues. He added that inflation fears are increasing due to this ongoing conflict. Since the beginning of the U.S. - Israel war with 'Iran, the price of gold has been on the rise. Brent crude prices have risen due to the effective closure of Strait of Hormuz, causing inflation worries and raising expectations of rate increases.

Iranian state TV reported Wednesday that Tehran would restore shipping in the Strait to its pre-war level within a month as part of a framework agreement with the U.S. The deal also included the withdrawal by the U.S. military from the vicinity of Iran. The gold price briefly recovered some of its losses following this report.

The market is still predicting energy-driven inflation, which will lead the U.S. Federal Reserve will increase its overnight benchmark interest rate by 25 basis point by the end this year. Gold, despite being a hedge against inflation, is not yielding in high-rate environments.

Neel Kazhkari, the Minneapolis Fed president, said that it is "far too early" to predict whether or not it will change its current policy rate. Investors are awaiting the release of U.S. Data on Personal Consumption Spending (PCS) can provide clues about the direction of monetary policy.

Spot silver dropped 3.2% to $74.46 an ounce.

Bank of America said in a Tuesday note that while a gold rally could boost silver to $100/oz again in the next few months, it is unlikely to be sustained due to an easing of fundamental demand. Platinum fell 2.1% to $1.916.90, while palladium rose 0.1% to $1.386.47.

(source: Reuters)