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Dollar up on declining Fed cut bets, Asia shares close to record high

Asian stocks rose on Friday, as the artificial-intelligence boom gained momentum. The dollar, meanwhile, held close to a six-week peak after positive U.S. data led traders to reduce bets placed on rate reductions in the United States.

After Donald Trump, the U.S. president, took a wait and see attitude towards the 'unrest' in Iran after threatening intervention earlier, oil prices suffered?losses. Gold and silver were also down.

The MSCI broadest Asia-Pacific index outside Japan rose 0.5%, hovering near a previous session's record high. This was due to the stellar results of Taiwanese chipmaker TSMC. These results have given new life to the AI market.

On Thursday, the U.S. also reached a deal with Taiwan that reduces tariffs on a number of semiconductor exports. It also directs new investment towards the U.S. tech industry. This could anger China.

Nasdaq Futures rose 0.22% overnight, as Wall Street gained from gains in financial and technology stocks. S&P futures also climbed 0.15%.

Tony Sycamore is a market analyst for IG. He said, "We know that there are lingering questions about capex spending and AI in general. Yesterday's TSMC report was solid and sounded optimistic. It certainly gave a boost to those AI names who have?been struggling in recent months on Wall Street."

"I wouldn't call it a galvanising moment or a boost, but I would say that it provided much-needed reassurance, that everything is still on track."

The Nikkei 225 index fell by 0.42% in Japan, due in part to a rebound in the yen from its 18-month low.

After European shares reached a record-high on Thursday, the futures of EUROSTOXX '50 fell 0.38% and FTSE futures slipped?0.18%.

The dollar was near its six-week peak in currencies after a series of positive economic reports from the United States, including data showing that the number of Americans who filed new claims for unemployment benefits unexpectedly dropped last week.

The euro was at a low of $1.1606, and the pound fell 0.06% to 1.0076.

The dollar was trading at 99.36 against a basket, which is not far off its high of 99.493, reached on Thursday, and the highest level since December 2.

As fixed-income investors grow more confident, they are less likely to see a cut in April. Instead, the next benchmark will be dropped by Powell's successor, Jose Torres.

According to CME FedWatch, the markets now price in a 67% probability that the Federal Reserve won't change rates?in April. This is up from 37% one month ago. The odds of a stable outcome in June are also up to 37.5% compared to just 17% last month.

The yen rose 0.1% to 158.48 dollars, but was still not far off the 18-month low of 159.45 that was hit earlier this week.

Investors bet that a snap election could take place in Japan next month. This would pave the way for a fiscal stimulus plan from Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi.

Daniel Hurley is a portfolio specialist with T. Rowe Price. He said that the snap election would give Takaichi the opportunity to gain a greater mandate both at home and abroad. However, failure could spell the end of her premiership.

Prices on the oil market recovered from the steep drop they had experienced in the previous session, after Trump's tempered comments about Iran eased concerns about possible military action against Tehran or disruptions to oil supplies.

Brent futures rose 0.11% to $63.83 per barrel after falling more than 4% the previous session. U.S. crude oil was also up 0.2% to $59.31 a barrel after Thursday's 4.6% drop.

Spot gold fell 0.16% to $4,607.50 per ounce. (Reporting and editing by Shri Navaratnam).

(source: Reuters)