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Stocks and bonds remain steady as Nvidia's earnings test looms

Stocks and bond rates held steady on Monday as markets took a breather after a wobble last week in tech stocks that could be repeated or reversed when $5 trillion chipmaker Nvidia releases earnings on Wednesday.

Investors are also awaiting the headline U.S. job data, due on Thursday. However, the report could do little more than confirm private market surveys that showed the labour market was slowing.

The benchmark European index of 600 large stocks gained 0.1% during a subdued morning trading session. Wall Street is expected to follow suit as S&P futures moved up 0.6% and Nasdaq futures rose 1%.

After policymakers sounded hesitant, the expectation of a U.S. rate cut in December has fallen to less that 50%. This has put pressure on the stock market, particularly in the volatile and rate-sensitive technology sector.

ASIA STOCKS CHINA-JAPAN TENSION SNAKES

After China warned its citizens to avoid Japan, the Nikkei index in Asia fell by 0.2%. Tourism and retail stocks were also down.

Shares of department store operator Isetan Mitsukoshi, Muji parent Ryohin Keikaku, and cosmetics manufacturer Shiseido have declined by around 10%.

In Australia, the Australian bourse was flat due to a 0.6% drop for BHP following Britain's High Court finding it responsible for a Brazilian dam collapse. Hong Kong and China's indexes both fell by around 1%.

Data revealed that Japan's economy contracted in the first quarter of this year due to tariffs imposed by the United States. A Nikkei article on a $110 Billion stimulus plan weighed down on bonds, sending yields on 20-year bonds to their highest level in 26 years.

Analysts also see risks for the yen if confidence in fiscal discipline is shaken. This was evident in Britain, where stocks, bonds, and sterling fell on news that Finance Minister Rachel Reeves would not be pursuing tax increases.

The yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note was unchanged at 4.1347%. Germany's benchmark 10-year bond, which is the standard for the Euro zone, also remained steady at 2.715%, after reaching its highest level since October 7, at 2.718%.

Wall Street indexes recovered on Friday from a steep selling off to post a mixed closing, with the S&P 500 registering a slight drop and the Nasdaq registering a modest gain.

NVIDIA EARNINGS AND US JOBS SLOW DOWN IN FOCUS

This week, the headline U.S. release will be Thursday's September jobs report.

Private surveys have already indicated a slowdown in the labour market, so these figures are likely to be too old.

The Fed's more hawkish officials will not change their tune if it only confirms this. The CPI data will be crucial for them, as they are more concerned about inflation risks.

On Friday, the expectation of a rate cut was dampened when Kansas City Fed president Jeffrey Schmid and Dallas Fed president Lorie Logan questioned whether it would be necessary to reduce rates next month.

Home Depot, Target and Walmart report their earnings this week in the U.S. All eyes are on Nvidia, as the market response will be a test for the recent rally.

Nvidia's shares have increased by about 1,000% in value since the launch ChatGPT, which took place in November 2022. Nvidia's market value surpassed $5 trillion last month after a gain of over 40% year-to date.

The U.S. Dollar was slightly higher in foreign exchange. It held the euro at $1.16, and crept up on the other majors.

Gold has dropped to $4,072 per ounce. However, the precious metal's price has increased by 55% since January 1, when it was $2,624 per ounce. This is due to a rise in demand for safe havens, geopolitical tensions, and expectations that rates will fall.

Brent crude futures fell 0.64% to $63.98 after loading resumed in a Russian hub that had been hit by an attack from Ukraine.

Bitcoin, which in recent months has acted as a barometer for the mood of technology stocks, is suffering its biggest weekly drop since March. It lost more than 10 percent last week. It was up 2% at $95,517 on Monday. Reporting by Lawrence White, London; Tom Westbrook, Singapore; and Jamie Freed and Christopher Cushing.

(source: Reuters)