Latest News

MORNING BID EUROPE - Markets once again ask Trump: "Can he do this?"

Rocky Swift gives us a look at what the future holds for European and global markets.

The markets like when central banks are able to steer economic policy without interference from politics, and they value data that is in line with reality.

This faith helped the global stock market reach successive records highs in this month. But it was again shaken by Donald Trump's attack on the independence the U.S. Central Bank.

Stock futures and equity markets in Europe and America fell after Trump announced he would fire Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook for alleged irregularities in obtaining mortgages.

After the news, long-term Treasuries dropped while short-term debt increased. This shows both a diminished confidence in the United States' long-term credit and an increased certainty that Trump will receive the "rocket-fuel" Fed rate reductions he has been seeking.

Fed Funds futures are priced with 83% probability of a rate cut in September, according to CME Group’s FedWatch Tool.

Trump, who last week was relieved of his penalty but not found guilty of fraud for his own property deals, wrote to Cook in which he said that the "American people must have complete confidence in the honesty of those who set policy."

Cook, who has a term that runs until 2038 at the Fed, has vowed to remain, claiming the president does not have the authority to remove Cook. The legality of this move is not clear, but it follows a series of threats to remove Fed chair Jerome Powell.

Trump does not have the legal authority, except for "cause", to dismiss the Fed chairman. This, along with the Fed's chief's expiring term in May, has tempered Trump's attacks on the central bank.

The official of the Labor Department who was fired this month for delivering data on jobs that disappointed Trump was not so lucky.

Trump continued to play the hit game, threatening new tariffs against countries with digital taxes. This is another headache for the European Union. The Trump administration is considering sanctions against EU officials or state officials who are responsible for the implementation of the landmark Digital Services Act.

Today's data calendar is very light. The markets are focused on Nvidia’s quarterly earnings report on Wednesday. This is a crucial test for the booming artificial intelligence market.

Key developments on Tuesday that may influence the markets: – U.S. Treasuries 2-year auction – Earnings from Bank of Montreal and Foot Locker – Riksbank’s minutes of its August 19th monetary policy meeting

(source: Reuters)