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Asian and European stock markets steady; US stocks jittery due to conflicting trade tension signals

Asian and European stock markets steady; US stocks jittery due to conflicting trade tension signals

The dollar is on track to see its first weekly gain in over a month as investors take comfort in signs that the U.S., China and other countries are willing to end their trade war.

In a sign that investors are unsure of how long this relief will last, U.S. Stock Futures were slightly down by 1048 GMT after the publication of an interview in Time magazine with U.S. president Donald Trump, where he stated that high tariffs on imports from abroad a year hence would be a "total win".

Trump said that his administration had been in contact with China about a possible tariff agreement and that Chinese President Xi Jinping called him. This was contrary to comments made by Chinese officials on Thursday.

The STOXX Index, the benchmark for Europe, rose by 0.27% after China removed some U.S. imported goods from its 125% tariffs. This was the clearest indication yet that Beijing responded to concerns over the impact of titt-for-tat duties on its economy.

U.S. Futures started positively after Alphabet, the parent company of Google and tech giant Alphabet, beat profit expectations and confirmed AI spending targets. Its shares rose nearly 5% after-hours and pulled along its peers.

S&P emini futures were down 0.26% by 1048 GMT, and NASDAQ 100 futures were down 0.36%. .

The dollar, after a turbulent few weeks that saw tariff announcements and reversals, as well as a flight from U.S. assets and assets, has found its footing at around $1.1354 for the euro and 143.3 Japaneseyen.

Eli Lee, Chief Investment Strategist at Bank of Singapore said that the peak of tariff threats is likely to be behind us.

Both sides have stated that they will not increase rates above current levels.

The tit-for-tat tariffs, which began on April 2, when U.S. president Donald Trump announced hefty import duties, had threatened to stall the trade between two of the world's largest economies. They also sparked concerns of a global slowdown.

UNEASY CALM

Hong Kong's Hang Seng index rose 1%, and mainland China’s Shanghai Composite Index and blue-chip CSI300 also saw small gains.

The Nikkei 225 index rose 1.8% in Japan on Friday, regaining all of its losses following Trump's announcement that the United States would be imposing the highest tariffs it has ever seen. Trump suspended most of these tariffs, with the exception of China, which will have a 10% tariff.

In a client note, ING currency analyst Francesco Pesole said that there is a sense among market participants that they can now impose a more favourable stance from the U.S. Government.

Investors will seek confirmation of a more optimistic view on U.S. Assets to justify further dollar gains.

The U.S. Dollar Index was up by 0.2% this week, at 99.623, while U.S. Treasury Yields remained flat.

WARNING SIGNAGE

The gold price, which has soared in this year due to investors seeking safe haven assets that are not tied to the dollar, fell 1% on the Friday, and was heading towards a weekly decline on signs of a possible de-escalation in trade tensions.

There were plenty of warnings that the calm surface on the markets may not last.

Procter & Gamble cut or withdrawn forecasts for American Airlines, PepsiCo and Chipotle Mexican Restaurant overnight due to increased consumer uncertainty.

The Gold/S&P500 ratio, which is a measure of investor gloom and reflects the mood of the market, has reached its highest level since 2020, when the bear market was triggered by the pandemic.

(source: Reuters)