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Oil prices rise as investors consider new US tariffs

Oil prices rise as investors consider new US tariffs

The oil prices rose on Monday as investors considered the latest threat from U.S. president Donald Trump to impose tariffs on all steel and aluminum imports. This could slow global economic growth and reduce energy demand.

Brent crude futures rose 51 cents or 0.7% to $75.17 per barrel at 0444 GMT, while U.S. West Texas intermediate crude was $71.45 per barrel, up 45cents or 0.6%. Last week, the market saw its third consecutive decline on worries about a trade war.

Trump announced that he would announce 25% tariffs on steel and aluminum imports to the U.S. on Monday, marking another major step in his trade policy overhaul.

The president announced tariffs against Canada, Mexico, and China a week earlier, but then suspended them the following day for neighbouring countries.

Tony Sycamore is an analyst based in Sydney at IG. He said that investors are ignoring the threat of steel and aluminum tariffs for the time being, given Trump's temporary retreat last week.

He said that the market had realised tariff headlines would likely continue for the next few weeks and months. However, he added there was a chance they might be reduced or even raised at some point.

Investors may be coming to the realization that it is not best to react negatively to every negative headline.

China's retaliatory duties on certain U.S. imports are set to go into effect on Monday. There is no progress yet between Beijing and Washington.

Oil and gas traders want Beijing to waive import duties on U.S. crude oil and liquefied gas.

Trump claimed on Sunday that the U.S. and Russia are making progress in ending the Ukraine War, but he declined to give details of any communications with Russian President Vladimir Putin.

The sanctions imposed by the United States on Russian oil on January 10, 2010 disrupted Moscow’s supply to its major clients, China and India.

Washington increased pressure on Iran as well last week. The U.S. Treasury issued new sanctions against a few individuals, and on tankers which help ship millions of barrels per year of Iranian crude oil to China.

Citi analysts in a recent note said that sanctions on Iran and the failure to reach a deal over nuclear energy are downside risks for oil prices, even though Trump’s policies aim to drive down energy prices.

They said that they expected crude oil to trade sideways or down in the next few months, and that fundamental downward pressure would continue throughout the year.

Citi forecasts that Brent will average $60-$65 per barrel in the second half 2025, as Trump is determined to reduce energy prices and will prove to have a negative influence on the market. (Reporting and editing by SonaliPaul and Jamie Freed; Reporting by Florence Tan)

(source: Reuters)