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MORNING BID AMERICAS-Europe jolted by Macron's snap election call

A take a look at the day ahead in U.S. and worldwide markets by Samuel Indyk

The expected rightward shift in the European Parliament after a four-day election has actually still managed to jolt European markets as gains for the far-right in France prompted French President Emmanuel Macron to call a snap parliamentary election.

French bonds and stocks were sold while the euro dropped as political unpredictability had financiers heading for the exits.

French banks were some of the hardest struck, with BNP Paribas , Credit Agricole and Societe Generale all tumbling in between 4.5% -7.4%.

It's a huge unfavorable shift after what had actually been appearing like a. more favorable outlook for Europe.

The European Central Bank recently started decreasing borrowing. expenses after its steepest ever tightening up cycle, inflation has. been wandering back towards target and surveys have shown. growth might have bottomed.

On the other hand, the Federal Reserve looks like it could refrain. from cutting rates of interest until the fourth quarter, growth. seems unstable - albeit after more robust development at the. start of the year - and inflation looks stickier.

So as international investors had been warming to European markets,. the election results and heightened political uncertainty may. produce a shift in belief.

A minimum of in the meantime, that's evident. France's primary CAC 40 stock. index was down 1.9%, dragging other European markets. lower. Germany's DAX, Britain's FTSE 100, Spain's IBEX and. Italy's FTSE MIB were all off between 0.4% -1%.

Yet U.S. futures were relatively undisturbed. E-mini S&P. futures are down around a quarter of one percent, while. futures on the Nasdaq are lower by a similar amount.

French bonds are likewise as unloved as the equity market.

The spread in between France and Germany's 10-year yields, a. gauge of threat premium financiers seek to hold French bonds over. German paper, broadened over 6 basis points.

The euro was down 0.4% versus the dollar to its least expensive. level in a month.

The U.S. day looks quieter however with U.S. CPI figures and the. conclusion of the Fed's June conference on Wednesday, the week is. not anticipated to remain that way for long.

Markets are pricing with near certainty that the Fed holds. rates today while a July cut has been almost completely. dismissed too. September is now just a 50/50 shot.

A shift in tone from the Fed this week or softer CPI figures. could once again have markets betting on more than one rate cut. this year.

Key developments that must supply more direction to U.S. markets later on Monday:

* U.S. work trends data

* U.S. to sell 3- and 6-month costs, 3-year notes

(source: Reuters)