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Asia spot LNG price increases on hotter summertime projection, supply issues

Asian spot melted natural gas (LNG) rates rose this week on forecasts for greater cooling need this summertime and tracking a rally in European gas rates underpinned by supply concerns due to Middle East stress and weak point in U.S. feedgas need.

The average LNG price for June delivery into north-east Asia << LNG-AS > increased to $10.40 per million British thermal units ( mmBtu), from $10.20/ mmBtu in the previous week, industry sources estimated.

Uncertainty over the Middle East dispute and differing U.S. feedgas rates stay a key focus of attention for traders, supporting rates at a time of otherwise bearish basics, stated Alex Froley, senior LNG analyst at information intelligence company ICIS.

Froley stated that China's April 2024 imports were at 6.7 million metric lots, a record for the month, beating April 2021's 6.5 million tons and follows the record March and February imports into China likewise seen this year. In south and southeast Asia, heats have recently buoyed power need, raising power sector gas burn and offering assistance to require in India and Thailand, with some timely area demand emerging in both markets today, said Samuel Good, head of LNG pricing at commodity rates firm Argus.

China has tape-recorded strong getting activity ahead of the start of summertime; however, everyday highs are anticipated to stay below seasonal norms through May and into early June, Good said.

The marketplace is carefully seeing how rapidly U.S. Freeport LNG would return from maintenance and debottlenecking works, which started in March and are anticipated to be finished in May.

If all goes to plan, the plant could come back at a. slightly greater capability than before, but there's also the. possibility of delays that could get rid of more freights from the. near term if the work takes longer, ICIS's Froley stated.

In Europe, gas stocks are 62.6% full, high levels for the. time of year, leaving the continent well on track to fill up. ahead of next winter.

Market speculators have gotten in a net long position, that. recommends that the markets are expecting even more upside pressure. to gas costs. The short-term outlook is controlled by lower. temperatures, which will lead to a slower feed of European gas. inventories, stated Hans Van Cleef, primary energy financial expert at PZ. - Energy Research & & Technique.

S&P Global Commodity Insights evaluated its day-to-day North West. Europe LNG Marker (NWM) rate standard for freights delivered in. June on an ex-ship (DES) basis at $9.252/ mmBtu on May 2, a. $ 0.25/ mmBtu discount rate to the gas price at the Dutch TTF center.

Argus assessed the June delivery price at $9.550/ mmBtu,. while Glow Commodities assessed it at $9.508/ mmBtu.

On area LNG freight, both the Atlantic and Pacific rates. were stable today amid adequate vessel schedule, with the. Atlantic area rate estimated at $42,500/ day on Friday and the. Pacific area rate at $46,250/ day, said Glow Commodities analyst. Qasim Afghan.

(source: Reuters)