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Oil wobbles as shares drift ahead of Nvidia earnings

After the U.S.'s "economic D-Day", sanctions against Iran, turned out to not be as severe as they had feared. U.S. Treasury rates are down from their recent highs after a report stating that the Treasury Department may tap into its cash account to fund increased debt buybacks. This could reduce the requirement for additional short-term bill sales.

Investors are well aware of the high expectations that Nvidia will have to meet.

Analysts expect quarterly revenues to nearly double, to $92 billion. Full-year earnings are expected to range between $103 billion and $105 billion.

"Those are high expectations that must be met," said Fabien Yp, a IG market analyst.

"Judging by Nvidia's past performance, it won't be shocking if they achieve the headline figures, but the bigger piece is that people are trying understand if there are any concerns about the circular deals driving its 'growth' and a sustainable growth percentage in the coming quarters." MSCI's broadest Asia-Pacific share index outside Japan fell 0.1%. Japan's Nikkei recovered from early losses and traded 0.3% higher, while South Korea's Kospi dropped 0.2%.

China's CSI300 blue chip index fell 0.2% while Hong Kong Hang Seng Index was down by 0.3%. Alibaba's $10.2 billion share offering at a steeply discounted price to fund its AI ambitions, as well as Samsung Electronics' disappointing shareholder-return program, were two factors that weighed on the tech sentiment.

Nasdaq Futures rose 0.36%, while S&P500 Futures gained 0.1%. EUROSTOXX Futures declined by 0.2%, FTSE Futures remained flat, and DAX Futures gained 0.13%.

SANCTIONS AND THE FED The Trump administration issued a warning on Monday to countries that they must cut off their business with Iran, or else face secondary sanctions. This was part of an "economic D-Day" which the Trump administration referred to. However, the Treasury Department did not impose any sanctions.

Brent crude futures were down 0.04% at $92.13 per barrel on Tuesday. U.S. crude climbed 0.1% to $85.08 per barrel, both measures falling more than 2% the previous session. Iran has promised to retaliate for the increased U.S. sanction and expressed confidence in major trading partners' ability to resist Washington’s pressure campaign.

Joseph Capurso is a strategist with Commonwealth Bank of Australia. He said: "We don't expect China, Iran's biggest trade partner, to bow to U.S. demands to stop commerce with Iran."

The U.S. campaign against Iran threatens the trade truce that the U.S. has with China before the next leaders' meeting.

The threat of being cut off from the dollar-based system has stoked rumours about some countries and their banks needing to buy dollars as a precaution, lending support?to the greenback.

The U.S. Dollar extended gains against its Canadian counterpart, and stood last at C$1.3860 following a gain of more than 0.5% the previous session. Donald Trump, the U.S. president, threatened on Monday to increase U.S. tariffs to 50% on all Canadian cars, trucks, and auto?parts starting January 1. This escalated a trade war after negotiations broke down last week.

The euro fell 0.08% to $1.1656, and sterling slipped 0.04% at $1.3624.

Investors will be watching the Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh’s speech on Friday in Jackson Hole Wyoming. They are hoping to get some clarity about U.S. Interest Rates.

Standard Chartered analysts stated that "Fiscal Uncertainty?is not likely to fade anytime soon... but there is still scope for the Warsh-led Fed?to ease some monetary uncertainty by clarifying their?reaction functions - namely, how long they are willing to hold rates to see inflation reach its 2% goal."

All eyes will be on the Jackson Hole address by Chair Warsh for a sign, if no other guidance.

Spot gold fell 0.3% to $4,635.89 per ounce.

Bitcoin crossed the $80,000 mark for the first since mid-May. It last traded at $81,506.75, 2% higher.

(source: Reuters)