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As US strikes against Iran fuel fears of a truce unravelling, oil prices are rising.
The price of oil rose by nearly 2% after the U.S. military conducted?airstrikes on Iran and reimposed crude sales sanctions. This sparked fears that their fragile truce could unravel, and Middle East supplies might be disrupted once again. U.S. Central Command announced on Tuesday that the U.S. airstrikes came in response to Iranian attacks against three commercial vessels transiting through the Strait of Hormuz. The Strait of Hormuz is an important waterway used to transport Middle Eastern oil shipments into wider markets. Brent crude futures rose $1.38 or 1.9% to $75.54 a barrel, while U.S. West Texas intermediate crude climbed $1.37 or 1.9% to $71.81 a barrel at 0128 GMT. The two benchmarks both rose by about 3% after the U.S. withdrew the general license authorizing the sale of Iranian crude oil following the Iranian attacks. Saul Kavonic is the head of research for MST Marquee. He said that this is a counter-indicator to the perception that the market will be oversupplied, and that some may not want to cover their record short positions. If tensions continue, and the traffic on the waterway remains below 50% of the pre-war level, then the supply constraints that result could lead to higher oil prices. Oil prices fell to pre-war levels after the U.S. signed its truce agreement with Iran last month. Traders accumulated large short positions on oil futures or made bets about further price drops. The price drop was caused by the expectation of a surge of Middle East supplies that would be released onto the market. Iran has not claimed responsibility for the attacks on vessels, but Qatar has blamed Iran. One of these was a drone attack that caused an engine room fire aboard a Qatari LNG tanker. According to maritime security sources, a crude oil tanker with a Saudi flag, believed to be Wedyan the supertanker, was also damaged off Oman. It was not immediately known what caused the incident. The attacks renewed concerns about tanker traffic in the Strait of Hormuz. Before the war started, cargoes equivalent to one-fifth of the global energy supply were transported through this route. Iran asserts its control over the Strait. It has ordered ships to take a route that is closer to its coastline rather than one that is nearer?Oman which borders the waterway. The U.S. insists that the waterway should remain open to all, as it was prior to the conflict. Since the start of the war, nations have drained their inventories in order to make up for the shortage. Market sources reported on Tuesday that U.S. crude inventories dropped?again' last week. They cited data from the American Petroleum Institute. The analysts polled had predicted that crude stocks would decline by 2.4 million barrels during the week ending July 3. (Reporting from Yuka Obayashi, Tokyo; Additional reporting from Florence Tan in Singapore; editing by Jamie Freed & Christian Schmollinger).
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US oil prices rise after US military strikes against Iran
U.S. Oil Prices jumped by?nearly 3 percent in early trade Wednesday, continuing the previous session’s gains. This was after a series of strikes launched by the U.S. Military against Iran. The U.S. military's actions raised concerns about a fragile ceasefire. U.S. Central Command said on Tuesday that the strikes against Iran were a response to Iranian attacks on commercial vessels that were?transiting the Strait of Hormuz?. As of 2215 GMT, U.S. West Texas Intermediate Crude was up $1.95 or 2.8% at $72.39 per barrel. WTI closed 2.8% higher on Tuesday, before continuing to rise?in the post-settlement trading after the U.S. revoked its general licence authorizing the sale of Iranian oil following the Iranian attack on commercial ships. Qatar accused Iran of attacking the vessels. This included the massive 'Qatari LNG tanker Al Rekayyat which reported that it was struck by a drone, causing a fire to start in its engine room. The crew was safe and being evacuated. Maritime security sources confirmed that a Saudi-flagged crude?tanker was also damaged near Oman. It is believed to be the supertanker Wedyan. The cause of the incident was not immediately clear. The recent developments have re-ignited concerns about disruptions in tanker traffic along the Strait of Hormuz. Reporting by Yuka Obaashi; editing by Jamie Freed
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Canada and Teck agree on potential investment of C$400M for strategic metals production
In a Tuesday statement, Canada's Natural Resources Ministry announced that the government could invest up to C$400m ($281.93m) in Teck Resources to expand the facility Trail Operations in British Columbia to produce strategic metals. Tim Hodgson of Canada's Natural Resource Minister said that because there is no equity that can be purchased, the investment would be made in a facility in Trail whose value will fluctuate with production. The agreement includes a framework agreement for an "offtake agreement" from the Canadian Government to secure Teck's rights for future production of rare-earth metals like germanium, gallium, and antimony. These?metals can be used in many industries, including infrared optical systems in semiconductors and defense. Hodgson stated that "this?investment" will enable them to'significantly increase production. This will allow us share our essential minerals with our alliance partner." Teck plans to invest C$850m to maintain and enhance Trail Operations' critical minerals processing capability. The government investment is part of that plan. Hodgson said in a statement that providing capital to a mining giant like Teck gives companies the confidence they need to invest in critical Canadian mineral mining and processing project, even in volatile global markets. Canada and its G7 partners have been stockpiling a variety of?strategic metals? that are currently controlled by China. Canada announced earlier this year an agreement to purchase graphite for a predetermined price from Montreal's Nouveau Monde Graphite and sell it on to its allies. Over the last two years, the G7 nations have proposed several steps to combat China's dominance in rare earths - difficult-to extract metals that are used in high-tech weapons, cell phones and EVs. China controls over 90% of this metal and implemented export controls last year as a retaliation to U.S. Tariffs. Teck Resources is the biggest producer of germanium on North American soil.
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Oil prices spike, Wall Street falls as tensions between the US and Iran increase
Late on Tuesday, oil prices spiked on renewed fears of a fragile peace between the U.S. Stocks fell on investor concerns about the?longevity of the AI rally. The Nasdaq Composite, which is heavily tech-heavy, suffered the biggest decline of 1.16%, to 25,818.69. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.25%, to 52,925.15. And the S&P 500 declined 0.45% to 7,503.85. MSCI's global index of stocks fell by 0.64%, to 1,121.20. The selloff started after Samsung Electronics's blockbuster results, despite the fact that the company forecasted a 19-fold increase in operating profit from April to June at 89.4 trillion dollars ($58.4 billion), marking the third consecutive quarter of record-breaking?operating profits for the world’s largest memory chipmaker. The results did not reassure investors but rather triggered a sell-off in Samsung and rival SK Hynix. Investors are increasingly questioning whether artificial intelligence-related profit growth can be sustained in the event that supply bottlenecks for key components like memory chips ease. A report that Chinese startup DeepSeek is developing its own AI chip was also weighing heavily on the markets. This could help it reduce its dependence on other major chipmakers for training and running its AI models. The market pessimism grew after Qatar accused Iran of an attack on vessels in the Strait of Hormuz. One LNG tanker was forced to evacuate crew members due to the threat of explosion. As part of a move to reduce tensions after the three-month conflict that disrupted global energy supply, the White House revoked the license it had granted Iran to export oil. Both nations are in negotiations to reach a final settlement. The oil prices rose 3% on Tuesday and continued to rise after the settlement. U.S. crude oil was up 5.3% at $72.20 per barrel. Brent reached $76.09, an increase of 5.9%. Josh Young, Chief Investment Officer at Bison interests said that the U.S. sanctions against Iran are a major escalation. "Iran could respond with force and further limit exports through Strait of Hormuz. This would put oil prices at $100+ again in the short term." NATO MEETS TURKEY NATO Leaders met in Turkey on Tuesday. European leaders announced arms deals worth billions of dollars. U.S. president Donald Trump, however, expressed frustration over what he called 'insufficient support for U.S. and Israeli war against Iran. He also resurfaced his calls for the U.S. gaining control of Greenland away from Denmark. NATO allies were expected to discuss plans for a multinational naval mission in the Strait of Hormuz on the sidelines of this summit, along with Gulf Arab Foreign Ministers. Trump stated on Monday that the U.S. will either reach a deal or "finish the task" with Iran. He renewed his threat of military actions as Tehran shows defiance after the funeral of Supreme leader Ayatollah Ayatollah?Khamenei. The dollar index, which measures the U.S. dollar against six other currencies, rose 0.21% at 101.07 while the euro fell 0.24% when compared to the dollar. The yen was hovering above its 40-year low and was at 162.06 dollars per yen. The traders were on alert for any?intervention, given the signs of a possible change in strategy from Japanese?authorities. Before the release on Wednesday of the minutes from the Federal Open Market Committee’s last meeting, the yield of benchmark U.S. 10 year notes had risen 7.01 basis points. Investors may get a better idea of how the new Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh will approach monetary policy. (Editing by Mark Potter and Kevin Liffey; Additional reporting by Satoshi sugiyama in Tokyo, and Amanda Cooper in London)
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United States revokes license which authorized Iranian oil exports
On Tuesday, the United States revoked a general license which authorized the sale of Iranian crude oil. A U.S. official had warned that Iran's actions in the Strait of Hormuz are "wholly unacceptable" and that they will be met with consequences after attacks on tankers along the strategic waterway. The announcement led to an increase of more than 5% in oil prices. The U.S. Treasury announced that it would allow Iran to wind down its oil transactions until July 17, which were allowed under the license now revoked. An official from the United States said that despite this latest escalation, negotiators were still working in good faith towards a final deal with Iran. In a recent report, the British Navy-affiliated?UKMTO reported that the U.S. action was taken after three tankers had reported being?hit by unknown projectiles near and in the Strait of Hormuz over the past few days. No immediate response from Tehran was received, nor any claim of blame. The attacks and U.S. reaction 'threaten to place a fragile diplomatic agreement between Washington and Tehran in a precarious position, raising the?risk that further retaliation could derail negotiations for a wider agreement. Unnamed U.S. officials said that initial indications indicated that Iran fired on three commercial vessels. Both sides were working towards a deal which included restrictions on Iran's oil exports and relief from certain sanctions. The Strait of Hormuz is a narrow waterway that connects Iran and Oman. It's one of the most important energy chokepoints in the world, as it accounts for a fifth of all global oil consumption, and a large volume of liquefied gas shipments pass through every day. A prolonged disruption would likely increase the cost of fuel and put pressure on both consumers and government. Oil exports are a major source of revenue for Iran. They provide billions of dollars in hard currency to fund government expenditures and support an economy that has been weakened by U.S. sanctions. Tehran has been able to increase oil sales in recent years - mainly to China - despite the restrictions. A renewed effort to curb these exports would put Iran's finances under additional strain, and could affect its ability to maintain domestic programs and regional initiatives. Reporting by Steve Holland and Jarrett Renshaw, with additional reporting from Ismail Shakil and Timothy Gardner; editing by Costas Pittas and Michelle Nichols.
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Canada has agreed to a possible C$400-million investment by Teck for strategic metals production.
In a statement released on Tuesday, Canada's Natural Resources Ministry announced that the government could invest up to C$400,000,000 ($281.93,000,000) in Teck Resources to expand the facility Trail Operations in British Columbia to produce strategic metals. The agreement includes a framework agreement for an offtake contract from the Canadian Government to "secure rights" for Teck's production of rare earths metals like germanium, gallium, and antimony. These metals are widely used in industries like infrared optical systems in defense, semiconductors and radar systems. Teck plans to invest C$850m to maintain and improve critical minerals processing capacity at Trail Operations. The Canadian Natural Resources Minister Tim Hodgson stated that the plan was designed to be practical, giving companies the confidence they need to invest in critical Canadian mineral mining and processing project even in volatile global markets. Canada and its 'Group of Seven' partners have been stockpiling a variety of strategic metals that are currently controlled solely by China. Canada announced earlier this 'year an offtake deal, in which it would buy graphite at a fixed price from Montreal-based 'Nouveau Monde Graphite' and sell it to allies. Over the past?two-years, the G7 countries have proposed a number of measures to combat the dominance of China in rare Earths - difficult-to extract metals that are used in high-tech weapons, cell phones and EVs. China controls a whopping 90% of this metal and implemented export controls in response to U.S. Tariffs last year. Teck Resources is the biggest producer of germanium on North American soil.
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Official: US revokes license which authorized Iranian oil exports
A U.S. official announced on Tuesday that the United States was revoking the 'general license' that allowed the sale of Iranian oil. The official warned that Iran’s actions in the Strait if Hormuz are "wholly unacceptable", and that they would be met with consequences following the attacks on tankers along the strategic waterway. In a recent report, UKMTO (an agency affiliated with the British Navy) said that three tankers had reported being hit by unknown projectiles near and in the Strait of Hormuz. Tehran has not yet made any comment or claimed responsibility. An official from the United States said that despite this latest escalation, negotiators continue to?work in good faith towards a final deal with Iran. The attacks and the U.S. reaction threaten to undermine a fragile diplomatic agreement between Washington, D.C. and Tehran. This raises?the possibility that further retaliation may derail negotiations for a larger agreement. The 'potential escalation' comes at a time when?both sides were working towards a deal which included limitations on Iran’s nuclear program, and relief from certain sanctions including restrictions on oil imports. The Strait of Hormuz is a narrow waterway that connects Iran to Oman. It's one of the most important energy chokepoints in the world, as it passes through a large volume of LNG shipments and a fifth of global oil consumption each day. A prolonged disruption can increase?energy costs and put pressure on governments and consumers already dealing with higher fuel prices. Oil exports are a major source of revenue in Iran. They provide billions of dollars of hard currency to fund government spending and bolster an economy that has been weakened for years by U.S. sanctions. Tehran has been able to increase oil sales in recent years - primarily to China - despite restrictions. If Iran continues to export these products, it could face additional financial pressure and be unable to maintain its domestic programs or regional activities. (Reporting by Steve Holland and Jarrett Renshaw, additional reporting by Daphne Psaledakis, editing by Costas Pitas).
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Gold prices fall as Middle East tensions drive oil prices up. Fed minutes are awaiting.
Investors watched the Middle East hostilities that pushed oil prices higher and waited for the minutes of the U.S. Federal Reserve meeting in June to get a sense of the outlook for monetary policy. By 2:00 pm ET (1800 GMT), spot gold had fallen 0.5% to $4,144.36 an ounce. U.S. gold futures for delivery in August settled at $4,157.40 per ounce, down 0.3%. Bullion?hit a 2-week high on monday as markets lowered expectations of interest rate hikes in the near future after a weaker-than-expected U.S. jobs report last week. Peter Grant, senior metals analyst at Zaner Metals and vice president, said that "higher for longer seems to be the most likely Fed path." According to the CME FedWatch tool, traders still expect a 60% chance of a rate increase in September. The minutes of the Fed meeting, which are scheduled to be released on Wednesday, have now caught our attention. Two tankers were damaged in the Strait of Hormuz, and Iran announced that there would be no peace talks until U.S. president Donald Trump stopped his threats to restart war. The news prompted a slight increase in oil prices, which fueled inflation fears as fuel prices continue to rise. When inflation worries keep interest rates high, gold is often under pressure. This reduces the appeal of non-yielding investments such as bullion. China's central banks has maintained its gold purchasing for the 20th consecutive month. Its?reserve reached 75.44 millions fine troy pounds by the end of June, an increase from 74.96 one month earlier. Hong Kong has launched a gold central clearing system on Tuesday and revived the gold futures market as it aims to become a regional bullion reserve hub. Silver spot fell 1.7%, to $61.00 an ounce. Palladium rose 0.9% and platinum gained 1.2%. (Reporting by Sukanya Mitra in Bengaluru; Editing by Diti Pujara and Jonathan Ananda)
Oil prices rise and bonds fall as US strikes Iran
Bond futures fell and oil prices rose after the U.S. imposed trade sanctions on Iran following the attacks on tankers at the Strait of Hormuz. Stocks wobbled, as the momentum from the record-breaking AI rally waned.
U.S. crude oil futures rose 2.7% to $72.40 per barrel, while 10-year Treasury futures fell seven ticks. Traders priced in the rising risk of inflation and interest rate increases.
Jason Wong is a senior strategist with BNZ Wellington. He said that the market does not like these attacks, but it's still not in full panic mode. He said that the past few months have shown the oil market's ability to handle a large supply shock. However, the current vulnerability is the low global reserves.
The U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve's crude oil stocks fell to their lowest levels since 1983, according to data released this week.
Nikkei Futures indicated a?fall in Japanese stocks and S&P500 futures were down about 0.1%.
Wall Street indexes fell overnight, after a sharp drop in Samsung Electronics' shares. Despite blockbuster earnings from the company, investors were wary about extending an upswing that had lifted South Korea’s chipmaker-heavy stock market by 82% so far this year.
U.S. officials said that the U.S. strikes are the latest in a series of challenges to last month's ceasefire. They targeted coastal surveillance, anti-ship and aerial launch sites as well as air defences.
Washington has also pulled out of a deal that allowed?Iran's oil to be sold on the world market. Iran's Foreign Ministry said this was a breach of the framework agreement to end the war.
The dollar was strong on the currency markets, pushing the euro to $1.14 and the Australian dollar down to $0.6925.
The Reserve Bank of New Zealand will set interest rates later on Wednesday. Markets are pricing in an 85% probability of a rate hike, and most economists predict a similar rise. (Reporting and editing by Jamie Freed; Tom Westbrook)
(source: Reuters)