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Oil prices fall, but stocks rise as Iran and chips drive markets

Wall Street gained in the midday trade on Monday, largely due to continued optimism about chip stocks. Oil fell as a result of an expected surge in supply.

All three major U.S. indexes rose in the early afternoon after European stocks had flirted earlier with'record peaks' before retreating, ahead of the crucial earnings season for AI. The Dow Jones Industrial Average climbed 0.07% to 52,938.04, while the S&P 500 rose by 0.73% to 7,537.75, and the Nasdaq Composite gained 1.25% to 26,155.56. The MSCI index of global stocks rose 0.45% to 1,128.87. Global AI continued to dominate the markets. South Korean chipmaker SK Hynix 00660.KS launched a U.S. shares sale on Monday to raise 43 trillion won (28.07 'billions) and received interest from up to $7 billion of major investors. Broadcom also announced that it has expanded its partnership to Apple for the development and supply of?custom chips until 2031. Microsoft announced that it would cut 4,800 jobs worldwide, or 2.1% of the global workforce. Investors are watching closely to see how companies that deal with artificial intelligence fare amid fears of a bubble during the upcoming earnings period. Delta Air Lines, PepsiCo and other big names in the U.S. are reporting earnings this week. Samsung Electronics will make a big splash on Tuesday, as analysts anticipate an 18-fold rise in profits.

OIL SLIPS

Oil prices fell but were still trading at levels similar to those seen before the Iran war. U.S. crude oil fell 0.55% to $68.31 per barrel while Brent dropped 0.51% to $71.75 a barrel.

While the fractious U.S. - Iran peace talks have not progressed, there are ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz. 160 vessels were reported to have transited the Strait of Hormuz from Monday until Saturday last week.

OPEC+ agreed to increase output targets from August by another 188,000 barrels a day.

According to Institute for Supply Management data, the drop in oil prices appears to have provided some relief to private sector workers, as it has helped slow down the rate of service inflation. ISM reported a decline in the U.S. service sector's activity in June. However, employment increased after declining for three consecutive months. The U.S. president will be attending a NATO summit in Turkey this week. Fed watchers can get a glimpse of how the new chairman Kevin Warsh is leading the central bank when the Federal Open Market Committee releases its first minutes under his leadership on Wednesday.

"We expect Warsh will make the FOMC Minutes less informative in terms of the views expressed during the FOMC Meetings. Warsh avoided 'policy guidance' in his statement and press conference. It seems unlikely that he will allow such guidance through a?minutes", Steve Englander wrote in a Standard Chartered Bank note. The yield on the benchmark U.S. 10 year notes increased 0.22 basis points to 4.481% from 4.479% at late Thursday.

The dollar index rose by 0.07% on the currency markets to 100.94, after it had dipped in response to the weaker than expected June U.S. payrolls data released Thursday. As speculators tested the Japanese authorities' willingness to intervene, the dollar rose 0.53% at 162.23 yen. This is not far off from a 40-year high of 162.84 yen. Gold was down 0.56% at $4,152.11 per ounce, after having risen 2% the previous week. Reporting from Washington by Pete Schroeder; Editing by Jacqueline Wong and Stephen Coates. Will Dunham, Thomas Derpinghaus, Jacqueline Wong.

(source: Reuters)