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Stocks rise after Trump names Kevin Warsh to the Fed

Gold and the dollar fell on Friday as global stocks rose, but the dollar rose.

Nominated

Kevin Warsh is his choice for the next

Federal Reserve

Chair. Warsh is a former Fed Governor and is seen as a supporter of lower interest rates. He is also considered one?of the?less radical choices from amongst all those who were suggested. The MSCI World Index was last 0.16% up as European shares rose, despite a drop in Asia-Pacific stocks. The pan-European STOXX 600 index was last 0.72% up, retaining gains made after Trump's announcement. It was on course to end January with a gain of more than 3%.

S&P 500 futures dropped 0.3%, while Nasdaq futures declined 0.4%. This is a slight improvement from the earlier declines.

After speculation spread that Warsh would be the next Fed Chair, precious metals continued to fall. The selloff was accelerated by Trump's announcement. Gold, which usually benefits when the dollar falls, fell as much as 5% on one of its largest one-day sales in years.

Markets React to Trump Picking WARSH

Investors are evaluating how Warsh would lead the Fed now that Trump has chosen him.

Chris Beauchamp said, "We'll see what happens from here. It's one thing for someone to be appointed and another to become the Chairman of Federal Reserve."

Trump may want low interest rates, but he is also aware that the U.S. faces a difficult situation right now, with inflation stubbornly remaining. "We should be able to see signs of weakness in the payrolls, and the unemployment rate rising," he added.

Beauchamp suggested that while Warsh may be perceived as "Trump’s man" in the central bank, it is possible he will try to distance himself from Trump once he takes office.

Sandra Horsfield is an economist with Investec. She said that Trump announcing the Fed Chair's choice does not mean all uncertainty has been removed.

We still wonder if this will be confirmed by the Senate in the near future, as there is still a standoff between some members of the Senate regarding Fed independence and Powell's Subpoena.

Horsfield stated that the overall backdrop remains volatile. This includes Iran. Brent crude fell by around 0.6% to $70.31 as oil markets assessed 'geopolitical risk' after Trump signed an executive ordering declaring a?national emergency? and setting up a process for imposing tariffs on goods coming from countries who sell or provide oil to Cuba. Trump also said on Thursday that he planned to speak to Iran in the face of rising tensions.

DOLLAR RETREATS from HIGHS

The U.S. Dollar Index, which measures the strength of the dollar against a basket?six different currencies, last rose 0.21% to 96.38. This is a slight decline from before Trump's announcement. The yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury bond rose 1.8 basis points to 4.249% after trading at a high of 4.279% in earlier sessions. Fed funds futures indicate an implied probability of 84.6% that the U.S. Central?bank will keep rates unchanged at its next meeting, in March. This is slightly less than the 87.5% the day before, according to CME Group's FedWatch. After a turbulent session on Thursday, precious metals' faltering recovery failed to materialize. Silver plunged by 11%, to $103, while gold fell around 5%, to $5129.39 per ounce. Bitcoin fell 2.1% to $82,592 while ether dropped 2.7% to 2,740. (Reporting from Sophie Kiderlin and Gregor Stuart Hunter, in London; additional reporting by Johann Cherian and Topra Chopra; editing by Kevin Liffey & Topra Chopra).

(source: Reuters)