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Gold gains are reduced as peace talks with Ukraine progress. US jobs data is the focus.
Spot gold retreated from its earlier gains after progress was made in the crucial?talks' between U.S. officials, and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy?aimed at ending?the war. Traders awaited important U.S. employment data. By 01:55 pm, spot gold had risen 0.2% to $4,309.82 per ounce. ET (18:55 GMT), following a rise of more than 1% in the earlier session. U.S. Gold Futures closed 0.2% higher, at $4335.2 per ounce. Jim Wyckoff, senior analyst at Kitco Metals, says that the progress in Russia-Ukraine talks appears to be dampening demand for safe-haven gold. He also added that the gold market is under pressure due to profit-taking, and liquidation of futures contracts by traders who purchased them earlier. Steve Witkoff, the U.S. Special Envoy to Ukraine, said that "a lot of progress has been made in Ukraine discussions," while an?U.S. Officials from both sides said that they have made progress in reducing the differences between Russia, Ukraine and other countries. The Federal Reserve will release its non-farm payrolls and retail data on Tuesday. This information could provide traders with more clues about the direction of the Fed's policy. According to CME FedWatch Tool, the markets are pricing in 78% of a rate reduction in January 2026. Gold is traditionally seen as a safe haven asset. It tends to do well in times of geopolitical or economic uncertainty. Silver spot rose 2.6%, to $63.61, from a record high of $64.65 reached on Friday. It is still within striking distance of the $65/oz mark. Silver is the most popular precious metal. Bob Haberkorn, senior market strategist at RJO Futures, said that by the end of next year we could be trading above $65 and as early as quarter one of the following year I could see up to $70. While spot platinum rose 2.5%, to $1.788.55, its highest level since Sept. 2011, palladium also reached a new two-month high with a nearly?5% increase to $1.560.25 an ounce. Nornickel of Russia, the largest palladium producer in the world, stated that the market for palladium could be deficient by 0.2 million ounces, including investment demand.
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Sources: U.S. Treasury rejects Xtellus' bid for Lukoil Assets
Four people familiar with the matter said that the U.S. Treasury rejected an 'offer' from a group headed by U.S. Bank Xtellus Partners to buy foreign assets of Russian Oil Company Lukoil. Xtellus was in a race with Exxon Mobil, Chevron and Abu Dhabi Group International Holding Company. MOL from Hungary and the U.S. Private Equity firm Carlyle are also still involved. The U.S. Treasury declined comment. Lukoil was willing to sell its assets in October after the U.S. sanctioned it and Kremlin controlled rival Rosneft to encourage Russia to reach a peace deal with Ukraine. Over a dozen companies bid on the assets of Lukoil, valued at approximately $22 billion. The assets include upstream gas and oil projects, refinery and more than 2,00 filling stations in Europe, Central Asia and the Middle East. Sources said that Xtellus offered to arrange a swap between Lukoil securities owned by U.S. 'investors, in a cashless transaction? to return them to Lukoil for the Russian firm's global assets. Sources said that Lukoil preferred the Xtellus offer, but that it was difficult to implement. Xtellus advises bid partners Todd Boehly, an American billionaire, and Allied Investment Partners, a group of Emirati investors. According to one source, Lukoil has already signed a purchase agreement with the Xtellus led group. Source: The Treasury informed the group it didn't have permission for them to use sanctioned security in a transaction. This was the reason their proposal was turned down. The plan now is to take?their proposal to a senior decision maker and try to reverse the rejection. They said the group would also apply for a licence to access these securities. U.S. investment fund owners have large Lukoil?shares which were written off and frozen after Russia's invasion of Ukraine in 2022, costing them billions of dollars. The plan was to sell the assets and then pay investors, or to return the shares to Lukoil as an exchange for the assets. The U.S. last week extended the deadline to negotiate with Lukoil until January 17. Reporting by Jarrett Renshaw and David Gauthier Villars, Writing by Dmitry Zhdannikov, Editing by Tomasz and David Goodman
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Sources: U.S. Treasury rejects Xtellus' bid for Lukoil Assets
Three people familiar with the matter said that the U.S. Treasury 'has rejected the offer of a group led U.S. -based Xtellus Partners to purchase the foreign assets owned by Russian oil.company Lukoil. Xtellus was competing with U.S. oil giants Exxon Mobil, Chevron and Abu Dhabi Group International Holding Company. Hungary's MOL, and U.S. Private Equity firm Carlyle are also still in the race. The U.S. Treasury declined comment. Lukoil was willing to sell its assets after the U.S. sanctioned it in October, along with the Kremlin controlled rival Rosneft to try to?push Russia towards a peaceful deal with Ukraine. Over a dozen companies bid on the assets of?Lukoil, valued at approximately $22 billion. Assets include upstream oil and gas projects, refining, and more than 2,00 filling stations in Europe, Central Asia and the Middle East. Sources said that Xtellus offered to arrange a swap between Lukoil securities owned by U.S. shareholders and the Russian?company’s global assets in exchange for a cashless transaction. Sources said that Lukoil preferred the Xtellus offer, but execution was difficult. Xtellus advises bid partners Todd Boehly, an American billionaire, and Allied Investment Partners of Emirati investors. U.S. investment fund owners have large amounts of Lukoil stock that was frozen and written off?after Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in 2022, resulting in a loss of?billions? of dollars. The plan was to sell the assets and then pay investors. The U.S. last week extended the deadline to negotiate with Lukoil until January 17. Reporting by Jarrett Renshaw and David Gauthier Villars, Writing by Dmitry Zhdannikov, Editing by Tomasz and David Goodman
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Gold gains are reduced as peace talks with Ukraine progress. US jobs data is also being watched.
Spot gold pared gains made earlier on Monday, despite progress in crucial talks between U.S. officials &?Ukrainian President Volodymyr?Zelenskiy to end the war. Traders awaited important U.S. employment data. Spot gold was steady at $4,295.20 per ounce as of 12:16 pm. ET (17:16 GMT), following a rise of more than 1% in the earlier session. U.S. Gold Futures dropped 0.1% to $4325.60 per ounce. Jim Wyckoff, senior analyst at Kitco Metals, says that the progress in Russia-Ukraine talks appears to be dampening demand for safe-haven gold. He also added that the gold market is under pressure due to profit-taking, and a week-long liquidation of some traders who have bought?futures in the past. Steve Witkoff, the U.S. Special Envoy to Ukraine, said that "a lot of progress has been made in Ukraine discussions," while an official from the U.S. told reporters that both sides are moving closer to reducing differences between Russia and Ukraine. The Federal Reserve will release its non-farm payrolls and retail data on Tuesday. This report should provide traders with more information on the Federal Reserve’s policy direction. According to CME FedWatch Tool, the markets are pricing in 78% of a rate reduction in January 2026. Gold is traditionally seen as a safe haven asset. It tends to do well in times of geopolitical or economic uncertainty. Silver spot rose 2.2%, to $63.39 after hitting a record high of $64.65 last Friday. It is still within striking distance of the historic $65/oz mark. Silver is the most popular precious metal. Bob Haberkorn, senior market strategist at RJO Futures, said that by year's end we will be trading above $65 and could even see $70 early in quarter one of?next years. The spot price of?platinum rose 2.6% to reach $1,789.80. This is the highest since September 2011. Palladium also reached a new high with a?5% increase to $1.569.68 an ounce. Nornickel of Russia, the largest palladium producer in the world, stated that the market for palladium could be deficient by 0.2 million ounces, including investment demand.
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Italy's Competition Authority drops investigation into Eni Plenitude
The Italian Competition Authority (AGCM), in its weekly bulletin, announced that it had closed the investigation into alleged unfair commercial practices involving Eni's Plenitude unit. Eni's retail and renewable business was investigated in the investigation launched in March. The authority stated that between May and September 2024, customers complained about their contracts for electricity and gas being renewed without any prior notice and with new terms and conditions. The Italian competition watchdog also enforces consumer rights. The AGCM bulletin stated that Eni would intensify its efforts to alert customers to changes in terms and conditions and compensate those who have suffered a loss. The regulator stated that approximately 90,000-110,000 Eni customers would be eligible for compensation at a cost of?2-6?million euro ($2.35-7.05million). The agency concluded that "the commitments proposed by Eni?Plenitude (...) will be suitable to remedy the potential illegality (of the commercial practice in March)". Reporting by Alvise Armell, Editing by Gavin Jones. $1 = 0.8511 euro
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Health ministry reports that Israeli forces killed a Palestinian teenager in West Bank.
According to the Palestinian Health Ministry, an Israeli soldier shot and killed a 16-year old Palestinian on Monday during a raid in Tuqu', marking the latest in a spate of violence in Israel-occupied West Bank. According to a report from the Palestinian state news agency WAFA, the boy was shot when?Israeli militay forces gathered late Monday in the town centre and started firing "indiscriminately". According to the report, the military fired a live bullet into the chest of the Ammar Yaser Sabah. The report said that he was taken to hospital, but sadly he did not survive. The Israeli military did not respond immediately to a comment request. Since the beginning of the Gaza war, in October 2023, violence has increased in the West Bank. Israeli settler attacks against Palestinians are on the rise, and the military is tightening restrictions on movement. According to the United Nations, more than a thousand Palestinians were killed in the West Bank from October 7, 2023 until November 14, 2025. In the West Bank, 59 Israelis were killed over the same time period. According to official Palestinian statistics, 53 Palestinian minors were killed by Israeli forces this year in the West Bank. The West Bank is home for 2.7 million Palestinians, who enjoy limited autonomy under Israeli military occupation. There are hundreds of thousands of Israelis who have settled in the West Bank. Many world powers consider Israel's settlements, on land it gained in a war of 1967, illegal. Numerous U.N. Security Council Resolutions have also called for Israel to cease all settlement activities. Israel denies that the settlements are illegal, citing historical and biblical connections with the land. Israeli forces have cleared refugee camps and forced thousands of Palestinians to leave their homes. They are also maintaining a presence in some West Bank cities that they've had for decades. Human Rights Watch accused Israel of war crimes in November, and crimes against mankind for what it called forced expulsions from the West Bank. Israel denies that it has committed such crimes. Reporting by Ali Sawafta, Pesha Magd and Aidan Lewis; writing by Pesha Magd. Editing by Aidan Lewis.
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Official: White House to continue 'historic' deals with mining sector
A senior official revealed on Monday that the Trump administration is planning to make more "historical deals" with U.S. mines in order to increase?production and supply of minerals critical for national defense, high-tech, and other sectors. The administration acquired equity stakes earlier this year in MP Materials Lithium Americas, and Trilogy Metals. These transactions were made as part of President Donald Trump’s efforts to increase domestic production and use of minerals for the national defense. Jarrod Agen is executive director of White House National Energy Dominance Council. He said that the U.S. should be able to control its own destiny, especially when it comes to the supply chain and critical minerals. "We have set a good pace, but it is only the first year." Korea Zinc announced on Monday that it would build the first U.S. mineral refinery in many years with Washington's financial assistance. Agen said at a conference on critical'minerals' hosted by the Center of Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) in Washington D.C., "You will see historic deals in the area of critical minerals throughout this administration, as well as historic partnerships with private sector companies, which will lead to a real revitalization in mining in the United States." The remarks were broadcast on the web. Agen, a former employee of?defense contractor Lockheed Martin who has held various roles, stated that Trump wants to "jumpstart' mining projects in Alaska as well as in Arizona where Rio Tinto BHP plan to build the largest copper mine in the world.
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Gold prices rise on expectations of rate cuts and a weaker dollar ahead of US employment data
Spot gold hovered near a seven-week high on Monday, buoyed by a weaker dollar and expectations of U.S. rate cuts before the release of important jobs data. Silver held below its record high set on Friday. By 10:21 am, spot gold had risen 0.4% to $4.321.25 per ounce. ET (1521 GMT), following a rise of more than 1% in the earlier session. U.S. Gold Futures increased?0.6% at $4,352.90 per ounce. Dollars are nearing a two-month-low, which makes greenback-priced gold?more appealing for overseas buyers. Tomorrow, the U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls Report and Retail Data will be released. Traders will examine these data to get a better idea of Federal Reserve policy. Bob Haberkorn, senior market strategist at RJO Futures, said that traders are attempting to get ahead of the Fed. They expect the data to be better than expected and the Fed will be more likely to continue to cut rates. In a low-interest rate environment, gold, which is a nonyielding investment, thrives. Last week, the Fed delivered its third and final quarter-percentage-point rate cut of the year, while signaling a pause on further easing until more data emerges. According to CME FedWatch Tool, the markets are pricing in two rate cuts next year with a 73% probability of a move by January 2026. Spot silver increased 2.6% to $63.64 after hitting a record high of $64.65 last Friday. It is still within striking distance of the historic $65/oz mark. The metal has grown 120% in the past year. Silver is the most popular precious metal. Haberkorn said that by the end of this year, silver will be trading at $65 or more. He added that he could even see $70 as early as quarter one of next year. Spot platinum rose 2.8% to $1.793.69 and reached its highest level since Sept.?2011. Palladium also hit a new two-month high with a 5.2% increase to $1.564.25 an ounce. Nornickel, world's biggest palladium producer said in a review of the metals market that the palladium industry could experience a deficit this year, including investment demand.
Stocks surge as traders bet on December Fed Cut
Investors began a week of events on a positive note on Monday as they took comfort in the growing expectation that the Federal Reserve will cut rates by December, even though policymakers are divided on such a move.
The markets were preparing for possible catalysts. These included the release of U.S. retailer sales and producer price data, due later this week. In addition, British Finance Minister Rachel Reeves will also be releasing her highly anticipated Budget.
After the United States, Ukraine and other countries announced that they had developed a "refined and updated peace framework" in order to end the conflict with Russia, the geopolitical developments also dominated the trading rooms. This pressure was kept on the oil price by the hope of an increase in supply.
The session on Monday in Asia provided much-needed relief for stocks after a turbulent week in global equity markets, largely due to concerns over high tech valuations.
The trading was light with Japan's markets closed. However, MSCI's broadest Asia-Pacific index outside Japan rose by 0.4%. South Korea's Kospi index, which is dominated by tech stocks, was up 0.7%.
Nasdaq and S&P futures both rose by 0.64% apiece, while EUROSTOXX futures gained 0.78%.
The latest boost was a result of comments made by influential Fed policymaker John Williams on Friday, who stated that interest rates could fall "in a near-term" and boosted the likelihood of further easings in December.
Goldman Sachs' chief economist Jan Hatzius wrote in a report that "we expect another Fed reduction in December followed by two additional moves in March 2026 and June 2026, which will bring the funds rate down to 3-3.25%."
The risks of more cuts are likely to be a reality in 2019, as the news about underlying inflation is positive and the decline in the job market, especially for those with college degrees, could be hard to control by the modest growth we expect.
Fed funds futures indicate that there is a 57% probability the Fed will reduce by 25 basis points in January, up from a less than 30% chance just a week earlier.
Due to the Japanese holiday on Monday, trading of U.S. Treasury cash bonds was suspended in Asia. However, futures remained steady.
The record U.S. shutdown, which ended earlier this week, has clouded the outlook of U.S. interest rates as policymakers struggle with data gaps that would normally inform their view on the world's biggest economy.
The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics announced on Friday that it would not be releasing the October Consumer Price Report due to the shutdown which prevented data collection.
ALERT FOR YEN INTERVENTION
The yen was the main currency of focus on the market. It fell by 0.2%, to 156.72 dollars per yen and remained near its 10-month low.
The Japanese authorities have warned that they may intervene to support the yen as it falls, due to growing concerns about Japan's fiscal health.
Satsuki Katayama, the Finance Minister, increased her jawboning in the last week. This seems to have given currency a temporary floor, but investors are increasingly concerned about an intervention.
"The dollar/yen is going to go up even if you intervene. They will have to accept this. They can only intervene to slow down the pace, but they cannot stop the direction. Saktiandi Supat, Maybank's regional head of FX strategy and research, said: "I don't believe that they will be able to change the course."
It'll cost you... You'll have to fight against the tide. The dollar appears to be in a very strong position right now."
Takuji Aida, a member of the private sector of an important government panel, stated in a Sunday television program on NHK that Japan could actively intervene on the currency market in order to mitigate the negative impact on the economy of a weakening yen.
The dollar was strong in other markets, despite greater Fed easing betting, and the euro is still near its two-week low of $1.1506. The pound fell 0.06%, to $1.3091, ahead of the budget announcement on Wednesday.
Brent crude futures fell 0.16%, to $62.46 per barrel, and U.S. crude dropped 0.17%, to $57.96.
Spot gold fell 0.3%, to $4.054.19 per ounce.
(source: Reuters)